TIAN Hong-zhen,YANG Tai-bao,LIU Qin-ping.Relationship between Climate Change and Glacier Retreat over the Last 40 Years in Lenglongling Range of Eastern Qilian Mountains[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2012,19(05):34-38.
近40年来冷龙岭地区冰川退缩和气候变化的关系
- Title:
- Relationship between Climate Change and Glacier Retreat over the Last 40 Years in Lenglongling Range of Eastern Qilian Mountains
- Keywords:
- glacier retreat; climate change; remote sensing; Eastern Qilian Mountains; Lenglongling Range
- 分类号:
- P343.6
- 摘要:
- 运用比值阈值法(TM3/TM5)结合目视解译，从1973年、1999年和2010年3个时段的MSS、ETM、TM影像中提取了祁连山东段冷龙岭地区冰川的边界，并对距其较近的门源、乌鞘岭、武威和永昌4个气象站点1961-2010年的气象数据以及冰川区的气象数据进行了分析，结果表明：(1) 37 a来，冰川处在持续退缩状态；近10 a来，冰川消融速度加快；南坡退缩较快，北坡退缩较慢，其它坡向介于二者之间；(2) 该区增温趋势较明显；该区的降水虽有少量增加，但趋势却很不明显；(3) 37 a来，冰川退缩的主要原因是气温的升高；近10 a来，冰川加速消融反映了20世纪90年代末以来的气温变化特征；南坡冰川对气候变化的反应较敏感。
- Abstract:
- The glacier outlines of the year 1973 were delineated manually from a Landsat MSS scene. The glacier outlines of the year 1999 and 2010 were delineated in a semi-automated way using band TM3/TM5 ratio images of Landsat ETM or TM scenes. The decrease in glacier extent was 56.21% between 1973 and 2010 because of rise of temperature, and a rapid and accelerating shrinkage in the last decade was detected, which was consistent with the temperature increase from 1997. Overall, south facing glaciers shrank most, which indicated that glaciers on this aspect were more sensitive to climate changes in this region. Given the temperature increase in the future, based on IPCC, the glaciers in this region will continue to retreat. With glaciers retreat and mass loss, their contribution to runoff will decrease, thereby serious sustainability concerns will be raised.
参考文献/References:
[1] IPCC. The Physical Science Bbasis[R]. NY, USA: Cambridge University Press, 2007.
[2] Vuile M, Francou B, Wagnon P, et al. Climate change and tropical Andean glaciers: past, present and future[J]. Earth-Science Reviews, 2008, 89(3/4):79-96.
[3] 王宗太.中国冰川目录Ⅰ:祁连山区[M].兰州:中国科学院兰州冰川冻土研究所, 1981.
[4] Kaltenborn B P, Nellemann C, Vistnes I I, et al. High Mountain Glaciers and Climate Change Challenges to Human Livelihoods and Adaptation[R].Norway: Birkeland Trykkeri AS, 2010.
[5] 王宗太, 刘潮海.祁连山区现代冰川发育条件、分布特征及区划[J].地理学报, 1983, 38(2):141-153.
[6] 姚檀栋, 刘时银, 蒲健辰, 等.高亚洲冰川的近期退缩及其对西北水资源的影响[J].中国科学, 2004, 34(6):535-543.
[7] 康建成, 朱俊杰, 陈宏凯.祁连山冷龙岭南坡晚第四纪冰川演化序列[J].冰川冻土, 1992, 14(4):352-259.
[8] 郭鹏飞.祁连山中东段地区第四纪冰期探讨[J].冰川冻土, 1980, 2(1):1-16.
[9] 郭红伟, 陈晔, 李吉均.祁连山冷龙岭南麓的冰川序列、黄土记录和阶地系列的初步研究[J].兰州大学学报:自然科学版, 1995, 31(1):102-110.
[10] 艾南山, 伍光和, 赵镇.祁连山冷龙岭的冰川分布与新构造应力场[J].兰州大学学报:自然科学版, 1982, 18(4):182-183.
[11] 赵力强.冷龙岭冰川表面沙尘及冰川近期变化研究[D].兰州:兰州大学, 2009.
[12] 曹泊, 潘保田, 高红山, 等.1972-2007年祁连山东段冷龙岭现代冰川变化研究[J].冰川冻土, 2010, 32(2):242-248.
[13] 张华伟, 鲁安新, 王丽红, 等.基于遥感的祁连山东部冷龙岭冰川变化研究[J].遥感技术与应用, 2010, 25(5):682-686.
[14] Narama C, Kb A, Duishonakunov M, et al. Spatial variability of recent glacier area changes in the Tien Shan Mountains, Central Asia, using Corona(-1970), Landsat(-2000), and ALOS(-2007) satellite data[J]. Global and Planetary Change, 2010, 71(1/2):42-52.
[15] 符涂斌, 王强.气候突变的定义和检测方法[J].大气科学, 1992, 16(4):482-492.
[16] 朱良燕.基于M-K法的安徽省气候变化趋势特征R/S分析及预测[D].合肥:安徽大学, 2010.
[17] 施雅风.简明中国冰川目录[M].上海:上海科学普及出版社, 2005.
[18] 李艳丽.近10年来气候变化对东昆仑山北坡山地及山前绿洲植被的影响研究[D].兰州:兰州大学, 2010.
[19] Andreassen L M, Paul F, Kb A, et al. The new Landsat-derived glacier inventory for Jotunheimen, Norway, and deduced glacier changes since the 1930s[J].The Cryosphere, 2008, 2(2):131-145.
[20] Bolch T, Menounos B, Wheate R. Landsat-based inventory of glaciers in western Canada, 1985-2005[J]. Remote Sensing of Environment, 2010, 114(1):127-137.
[21] Paul F, Kb A, Maisch M, et al. The new remote sensing derived Swiss Glacier Inventory: I. Methods[J]. Annals of Glaciology, 2002, 34(1):355-361.
[22] RI Pyongsop, MA Zhangbao, QI Qingwen, et al. Cloud and shadow removal from Landsat TM data[J]. Journal of Remote Sensing, 2010, 14(3):534-545.
[23] 施雅风.中国冰川与环境:现在、过去和未来[M].北京:科学出版社, 2000.
[24] 中国科学院兰州冰川冻土研究所.中国冰川概论[M].北京:科学出版社, 1988.
[25] IPCC. Synthesis Report[R]. Geneva, Switzerland, 2007.
[26] 安富博, 丁峰.甘肃省民勤县土地荒漠化的发展趋势及其防治[J].干旱区资源与环境, 2000, 14(2):41-47.
相似文献/References:
[1]南峰,李有利,史兴民.新疆玛纳斯河水量波动与气候变化之间的关系[J].水土保持研究,2003,10(03):59.
NAN Feng,LI You-li,SHI Xing-min.Relationship of the Fluctuations of Stream Discharge of the Manas River and Climatic Changes[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2003,10(05):59.
[2]郑粉莉,刘元保,白红英,等.森林植被破坏对生态环境的影响[J].水土保持研究,1993,(01):99.
Zheng Fenli,Liu Yuanbao,Bai Hongying,et al.Effect of Forest Vegetation Destruction on Eco-Environment[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,1993,(05):99.
[3]郭宗锋,马友鑫,李红梅,等.1959-2000年流沙河流域降水与径流变化研究[J].水土保持研究,2006,13(04):150.
GUO Zong-feng,MA You-xin,LI Hong-mei,et al.Research on Variation of Precipitation and Runoff in the Liushahe Watershed in 1959～2000[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2006,13(05):150.
[4]李昭阳,李雪,汤洁,等.吉林省辽河流域土地利用对气候变化的响应研究[J].水土保持研究,2014,21(06):104.
LI Zhao-yang,LI Xue,TANG Jie,et al.Study on the Response of Land Use/Land Cover to Climate Change in Liao River Basin of Jilin Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2014,21(05):104.
[5]李成,王让会,黄进.天山北麓近50年气温和降水的变化特征[J].水土保持研究,2013,20(06):117.
LI Cheng,WANG Rang-hui,HUANG Jin.Variation Characteristics of Temperature and Precipitation in the North of Tianshan Mountains in Recent 50 Years[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2013,20(05):117.
[6]顾海敏,史建桥,邹长新,等.气候变化对开都河流域径流的影响研究[J].水土保持研究,2013,20(06):135.
GU Hai-min,SHI Jian-qiao,ZOU Chang-xin,et al.Study on the Effect of Climate Change on Runoff in Kaidu River Basin[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2013,20(05):135.
[7]刘旭辉,余新晓,赵阳.北京山区典型小流域景观格局变化对径流的影响[J].水土保持研究,2013,20(05):39.
LIU Xu-hui,YU Xin-xiao,ZHAO Yang.Impact of Landscape Pattern on Runoff in Small Watershed of Beijing Mountainous Region[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2013,20(05):39.
[8]任景全,郭春明,李建平,等.气候变化背景下吉林省风蚀气候侵蚀力时空特征[J].水土保持研究,2017,24(06):233.
REN Jingquan,GUO Chunming,LI Jianping,et al.Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Wind Erosion Climatic Erosivity Under Climate Change in Jilin Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2017,24(05):233.
[9]张富广,曾彪,杨太保.近30年祁连山东段冷龙岭地区寒冻荒漠分布范围及其对气候变化的响应[J].水土保持研究,2017,24(06):305.
ZHANG Fuguang,ZENG Biao,YANG Taibao.Changes in the Distribution Range of Alpine Desert and Its Responses to Climate Change in the Lenglongling Area of Eastern Qilian Mountains in Recent 30 Years[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2017,24(05):305.
[10]高峰,蔡万园,张玉虎,等.5种CMIP5模拟降水数据在中国的适用性评估[J].水土保持研究,2017,24(06):122.
GAO Feng,CAI Wanyuan,ZHANG Yuhu,et al.Evaluation on the Applicability of 5 Kinds of CMIP5 Simulated Precipitation Data in China[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2017,24(05):122.
[11]王聪强,杨太保,冀琴,等.1988-2013年布加岗日地区冰川变化及其对气候变化的响应[J].水土保持研究,2016,23(04):70.
WANG Congqiang,YANG Taibao,JI Qin,et al.Variation of Glacier and Its Response to Climate Change in the Bujiagangri Region From 1988 to 2013[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2016,23(05):70.
备注/Memo
收稿日期:2011-11-23;改回日期:2012-3-26。
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(40871057);兰州大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(lzujbky-2012-221)
作者简介:田洪阵(1979- )，男，安徽淮北人，博士研究生，讲师，主要从事遥感与全球变化研究。E-mail：broadsky2008@gmail.com
通讯作者:杨太保(1962- )，男，山西平陆人，博士，教授/博导，主要从事自然地理环境变化研究。E-mail：yangtb@lzu.edu.cn