CHANG Haojuan,LIU Weiguo,WU Qiong.Runoff Characteristics of Hongshanzui Hydrologic Station of Manas River in the Past 60 Years[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2016,23(06):128-134.
60年玛纳斯河红山嘴径流规律特征分析
- Title:
- Runoff Characteristics of Hongshanzui Hydrologic Station of Manas River in the Past 60 Years
- 关键词:
- 径流特征; 玛纳斯河; Hurst指数; Morlet小波分析; M-K非参数检验
- Keywords:
- hydrologic characteristics; Manas River; Hurst index; Morlet wavelet; M-K nonparametric test
- 分类号:
- P333.1
- 摘要:
- 基于玛纳斯河红山嘴水文站60 a的径流资料，综合运用R/S分析、Morlet小波、Mann-Kendall非参数检验以及集中度和集中期等多种分析方法对红山嘴站径流进行年际和年内的规律特征分析。结果表明：玛纳斯河红山嘴断面60 a径流年际变化不大，长期有上升趋势，径流序列有较强的长期持续性；年径流存在14～35 a、6～13 a和3～5 a周期，第一主周期为21 a，然后是28 a及13 a；径流周期在1980年以前变化频繁，且变化幅度小，1980年以后周期变长，变化幅度增大；丰枯水周期按照平、枯、丰的顺序变化；1994年为径流突变点。径流年内分配不均匀，集中程度高，主要集中在7月底；大部分月径流表现出显著上升趋势，月径流突变年份基本都在1990年以后。
- Abstract:
- We analyzed the interannual and inter-monthly runoff characteristics of Hongshanzui hydrologic station of Manas River by using R/S, Morlet wavelet, Mann-Kendall nonparametric test and concentration and concentrated period methods based on the Hongshanzui hydrologic runoff data in the past 60 years. Results show that in the past 60 years, interannual change of runoff of Hongshanzui hydrologic station was not significant, and had long-term upward trend, runoff series had strong long-term sustainability; annual runoff presented 14 to 35 years, 6 to 13 years and 3 to 5 years periods, and the first main cycle is 21 years, and then 28 years, the third was 13 years; runoff cycle changed frequently before 1980, but the change was small, and the cycle became longer and lager after 1980; the order of the rich and low water period was flat, rich and dry; the runoff abrupt occurred in 1994. The monthly runoff followed uneven distribution and high intensity, and the runoff mainly concentrated in the end of July; Runoff showed a significant rise, most of the runoff abrupt occurred after 1990.
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备注/Memo
收稿日期:2015-11-18;改回日期:2016-01-08。
基金项目:石河子大学高层次人才资助项目（RCZX201326）；校级人文社科中青年人才培育资助项目（RWSK13-Y33）；兵团社会科学资助项目（14QN09）
作者简介:常浩娟(1979-),女,江苏徐州人,博士,石河子大学信息科学与技术学院副教授,研究方向:系统科学与系统优化。E-mail:chj301@163.com