[1]LI Zirui,JIANG Bo,ZHANG Yu,et al.Evaluation and Prediction of Coordination Between New Urbanization and Intensive Use of Cultivated Land in Three Northeastern Provinces of China[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2021,28(06):260-267.
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Research of Soil and Water Conservation[ISSN 1005-3409/CN 61-1272/P] Volume:
28
Number of periods:
2021 06
Page number:
260-267
Column:
Public date:
2021-10-10
- Title:
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Evaluation and Prediction of Coordination Between New Urbanization and Intensive Use of Cultivated Land in Three Northeastern Provinces of China
- Author(s):
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LI Zirui,JIANG Bo,ZHANG Yu,ZHAO Yi
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(School of Public Administration and Law,Northeast Agricultural University,Harbin 150030,China)
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- Keywords:
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intensive use of cultivated land; new urbanization; three provinces in northeast China; coupling and coordination
- CLC:
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F323.4
- DOI:
-
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- Abstract:
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In order to ensure high-quality economic development and food security,it is necessary to realize the coordinated development of new urbanization and intensive use of cultivated land. We first used the three northeastern provinces as the research areas to build a new-type urbanization and intensive use of cultivated land. Secondly,we used the coupling coordination degree model to analyze the coordinated development law and time-space evolution characteristics of each city from 2008 to 2018. In this scenario,the RBF neural network model was built to predict and analyze the coordinated development level of the system from 2019 to 2030. The results showed that: during the study period,the coordinated level of the three northeast provinces and cities rose,and the coordinated levels of Jilin and Liaoning were higher than that of Heilongjiang Province as a whole,except that in 2018; except Qiqihar,Suihua,and Daxinganling areas,the coordination level of other cities had reached barely coordination; the spatial pattern of Heilongjiang Province had evolved into a single-planar layout in areas with high levels of coordination in the east,and low-level areas in the west; Suihua had always been a low-level area; the regional differences in Jilin Province were obvious,gradually evolved from the high level in the east to the low level in the west; a spatial pattern with dual cores were found in Changchun and Baishan; there was no significant change in the spatial pattern of Liaoning Province,which was high in the east and low in the west. The current development model has insufficient potential for improvement in coordination. It is necessary to steadily improve the quality of cities and towns,coordinate urban and rural development,and feed back agricultural production with economic construction.