[1]ZHANG Kai,LU Kexin,LI Peng,et al.Trend of Runoff and Sediment Change and Its Driving Factors in the Middle and Upper Reaches of Fenhe River in the Past 60 Years[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2020,27(04):54-59.
Copy
Trend of Runoff and Sediment Change and Its Driving Factors in the Middle and Upper Reaches of Fenhe River in the Past 60 Years
Research of Soil and Water Conservation[ISSN 1005-3409/CN 61-1272/P] Volume:
27
Number of periods:
2020 04
Page number:
54-59
Column:
目次
Public date:
2020-06-20
- Title:
- Trend of Runoff and Sediment Change and Its Driving Factors in the Middle and Upper Reaches of Fenhe River in the Past 60 Years
- Keywords:
- middle and upper reaches of Fenhe River; runoff and sediment change; attribution analysis; climate change; human activity; contribution rate
- CLC:
- P333
- DOI:
- -
- Abstract:
- In order to reveal the change trend and driving factors on runoff and sediment changes in the middle and upper reaches of Fenhe River in the past 60 years, the Mann-Kendall test method was used to analyze the change trend and mutation of the annual runoff and annual sediment transport sequences, and the double cumulative curve method was used to quantitatively calculate the contribution rates of climate change and human activities to runoff and sediment changes in the middle and upper reaches of Fenhe River. The results showed that the annual runoff and annual sediment transport volume in the middle and upper reaches of Fenhe River had the significant decreasing trend from 1963 to 2016 (p<0.01), and the mutation years are 1981 and 1980, respectively; climate change had little impact on annual runoff and annual sediment transport reduction in the middle and upper reaches of Fenhe River; a series of human activities such as socio-economic development, water conservancy project construction and various soil and water conservation measures were the main reasons for the annual runoff and annual sediment transport reduction; the contribution rates of climate change and human activities to the reduction of annual runoff reduction were 29% and 71%, respectively, and those of climate change and human activities for the reduction of sediment transport were 22% and 78%, respectively. These results would provide a scientific support for the rational development and utilization of water resources, the effective management of water environment protection and the macro-scientific planning of soil and water conservation work in the upper and middle reaches of Fenhe River.
- References:
-
[1] 刘晓燕.黄河近年水沙锐减成因[M].北京:科学出版社,2016.
[2] 赵阳,胡春宏,张晓明,等.近70年黄河流域水沙情势及其成因分析[J].农业工程学报,2018,34(21):112-119.
[3] 赵静,黄强,刘登峰.渭河流域水沙演变规律分析[J].水力发电学报,2015,34(3):14-20.
[4] 卢晓宁,洪佳,王玲玲.近50年来黄河入海水沙的多时间尺度特性分析[J].水土保持研究,2015,22(1):115-122.
[5] 董磊华,熊立华,于坤霞,等.气候变化与人类活动对水文影响的研究进展[J].水科学进展,2012,23(2):278-285.
[6] 李光录,吴发启,庞小明,等.泥沙输移与坡面降雨和径流能量的关系[J].水科学进展,2008,19(6):868-874.
[7] 胡彩虹,王艺璇,管新建,等.基于双累积曲线法的径流变化成因分析[J].水资源研究,2012,1(4),204-210.
[8] 兰跃东,康玲玲,董飞飞,等.汾河流域气候变化及其对径流影响探讨[J].水资源与水工程学报,2012,23(2):70-72,76.
[9] 王国庆,张建云,贺瑞敏.环境变化对黄河中游汾河径流情势的影响研究[J].水科学进展,2006,17(6):853-858.
[10] 胡彩虹,管新建,吴泽宁,等.水土保持措施和气候变化对汾河水库入库径流贡献定量分析[J].水土保持学报,2011,25(5):12-16.
[11] 颜时延,平建华,吴泽宁,等.汾河水库控制流域径流突变及其驱动因素[J].南水北调与水利科技,2017,15(6):45-50.
[12] 张国栋,黄茹,胡彩虹,等.汾河上游土地利用变化对径流的影响分析研究[J].中国农村水利水电,2018,433(11):108-113.
[13] Liu X J, An H Z, Wang L J, et al. Quantified moving average strategy of crude oil futures market based on fuzzy logic rules and genetic algorithms[J]. Physica A:Statistical Mechanics and Its Applications, 2017,482:444-457.
[14] Shi H L, Hu C H, Wang Y G, et al. Analyses of trends and causes for variations in runoff and sediment load of the Yellow River[J]. International Journal of Sediment Research, 2017,32(2):171-179.
[15] 管晓祥,张建云,鞠琴,等.多种方法在水文关键要素一致性检验中的比较[J].华北水利水电大学学报:自然科学版,2018,39(2):51-56.
[16] 吴子怡,谢平,桑燕芳,等.水文序列跳跃变异点的滑动相关系数识别方法[J].水利学报,2017,48(12):1473-1481,1489.
[17] 钟科元,郑粉莉,吴红艳,等.松花江流域极端降雨变化对流域输沙量的影响[J].农业机械学报,2017,48(8):245-252,321.
[18] Wang S J, Yan M, Yan Y X, et al. Contributions of climate change and human activities to the changes in runoff increment in different sections of the Yellow River[J]. Quaternary International, 2012,282:66-77.
[19] 刘宇峰,孙虎,原志华.近60年来汾河入黄河水沙演变特征及驱动因素[J].山地学报,2010,28(6):668-673.
[20] 黄荣辉,周德刚.气候变化对黄河径流以及源区生态和冻土环境的影响[J].自然杂志,2012,34(1):1-9.
[21] 徐宗学,和宛琳.黄河流域近40年蒸发皿蒸发量变化趋势分析[J].水文,2005,25(6):6-11.
[22] 张照玺.气候变化和人类活动对汾河流域入黄径流影响分析[D].郑州,郑州大学,2016.
[23] 姚文艺,侯素珍,丁赟.龙羊峡、刘家峡水库运用对黄河上游水沙关系的调控机制[J].水科学进展,2017,28(1):1-13.
[24] 赖成光,陈晓宏,王兆礼,等.珠江流域1960—2012年降雨侵蚀力时空变化特征[J].农业工程学报,2015,31(8):159-167.
- Similar References:
Memo
-
Last Update:
2020-07-09