[1]尹春丽,宋文博,范慧平,等.河南省农用地集约利用与农民收入增长关系动态计量经济分析[J].水土保持研究,2014,21(05):185-192.
　YIN Chun-li,SONG Wen-bo,FAN Hui-ping,et al.An Analysis of Dynamic Econometric Relationship between Intensive Agricultural Land Utilization and Income Growth of Rural Farmers in He’nan Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2014,21(05):185-192.
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河南省农用地集约利用与农民收入增长关系动态计量经济分析

《水土保持研究》[ISSN:1005-3409/CN:61-1272/P] 卷: 21 期数: 2014年05期 页码: 185-192 栏目: 出版日期: 2014-10-28
Title:
An Analysis of Dynamic Econometric Relationship between Intensive Agricultural Land Utilization and Income Growth of Rural Farmers in He’nan Province
作者:
尹春丽1, 宋文博2, 范慧平2, 郭子龙2, 王杨2, 孟庆香2,3
1. 西安文理学院 生物技术学院, 西安 710062;
2. 河南农业大学 资源环境学院, 郑州 450002;
3. 河南省高校农业资源与环境工程技术研究中心, 郑州 450002
Author(s):
YIN Chun-li1, SONG Wen-bo2, FAN Hui-ping2, GUO Zi-long2, WANG Yang2, MENG Qing-xiang2,3
1. College of Biotechnology, Xi’an University, Xi’an 710062, China;
2. College of Recourses and Environmental Sciences, He’nan Agricultural University, Zhengzhou 450002, China;
3. He’nan Province Colleges and Universities of Agricultural Resources and Environmental Engineering Center for Technology Research, Zhengzhou 450002, China
关键词:
农用地; 集约利用; 农民收入; BP神经网络; 计量经济分析
Keywords:
agricultural land; intensive utilization; income of the farmers; BP ANN; econometric analysis
分类号:
F301
摘要:
农用地集约利用水平关系到区域粮食安全，与促进经济发展方式转变息息相关，对农用地集约利用水平进行测度并对农用地集约利用与农民收入水平进行动态研究，可以为区域土地可持续发展提供重要参考。本研究利用河南省1978—2012年的相关数据，通过构建适合河南省农用地集约利用评价的指标体系，借助BP神经网络对河南省农用地集约利用水平进行综合测度，并在此基础上采用计量经济分析考察农用地集约利用与农民收入之间的动态联系。研究表明：1978—2012年间，河南省农用地集约利用水平整体呈现上升趋势。农民收入水平与农用地集约利用指数互为Granger因果关系，农用地集约利用指数每提高1个单位，会引起农民收入提高0.628 7个单位。脉冲响应函数和方差分解结果显示，农用地集约利用水平的提高将促进农民收入的增长，且对农民收入变化的解释能力随着时间推移逐渐增强。
Abstract:
The levels of intensive agricultural land utilization are closely related to accelerated transformation of economic development patterns. By measuring and calculating the agricultural land use intensity, the variation and its interaction with economic growth of intensive agricultural land utilization in He’nan Province was studied. This paper, based on time-series data from 1978 to 2012 of He’nan Province, constructed the index system of agricultural land use intensity, calculated the levels of intensive agricultural land utilization by using BP ANN when the index system of agricultural land use intensity of He’nan Province was constructed. On this basis, a statistical approach was adopted to analyze relationship between intensive agricultural land utilization and income growth of rural farmers in He’nan Province. The results showed that the levels of intensive agricultural land utilization in He’nan Province had been gradually increasing since 1978. By employing co-integration analysis, granger causality test can notice that the intensive agricultural land utilization and income growth of rural farmers have Granger causal relationship to each other, when the intensive agricultural land utilization levels increased by 1 unit, 0.628 7 unit of income growth of rural framers increased. The impulse response function and variance decomposition showed that with the increase of the intensive agricultural land utilization level, the indices of farmer per capita income will promote too. Its explanation capability of the income growth of rural farmers will be enhanced over time.

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备注/Memo

收稿日期:2014-02-17;改回日期:2014-03-15。
基金项目:国土部中国地质调查局地质调查项目（12120113007300）
作者简介:尹春丽(1977-),女,河南沈丘人,博士,讲师,主要从事生物化工及环境生态研究。E-mail:yinchunli1977@126.com
通讯作者:孟庆香(1977-),女,河南新乡人,副教授,博士,研究方向为土地利用评价、区域规划。E-mail:qxmeng@126.com

更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01