[1]曾钦文,谢俊驹,巫燕辉,等.东江中上游流域降水及暴雨日的气候变化特征[J].水土保持研究,2019,26(05):129-136.
　ZENG Qinwen,XIE Junju,WU Yanhui,et al.Characteristics of Climate Change of Precipitation and Rainstorm Days in the Middle and Upper Reaches of the Dongjiang River[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2019,26(05):129-136.
点击复制

东江中上游流域降水及暴雨日的气候变化特征

《水土保持研究》[ISSN:1005-3409/CN:61-1272/P] 卷: 26 期数: 2019年05期 页码: 129-136 栏目: 出版日期: 2019-09-06
Title:
Characteristics of Climate Change of Precipitation and Rainstorm Days in the Middle and Upper Reaches of the Dongjiang River
作者:
曾钦文1,2, 谢俊驹1,4, 巫燕辉3, 李思玲2
1. 成都信息工程大学, 成都 610225;
2. 龙川县气象局, 广东 龙川 517300;
3. 河源市气象局, 广东 河源 517000;
4. 连平县气象局, 广东 连平 517100
Author(s):
ZENG Qinwen1,2, XIE Junju1,4, WU Yanhui3, LI Siling2
1. Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu 610225, China;
2. Longchuan Meteorological Bureau of Guangdong Province, Longchuan, Guangdong 517300, China;
3. Heyuan Meteorological Bureau of Guangdong Province, Heyuan, Guangdong 517000, China;
4. lianping Meteorological Bureau of Guangdong Province, Lianping, Guangdong 517100, China
关键词:
降水量; 暴雨日数; 东江中上游; 气候变化; 时空特征
Keywords:
precipitation; rainstorm days; middle and upper reaches of Dongjiang River; climate change; temporal and spatial characteristics
分类号:
P467
摘要:
利用1965—2017年东江中上游8个国家气象站的逐日降水量和暴雨日数资料，运用线性趋势法、相关分析法、Mann-Kendall突变检验、滑动t检验、Morlet小波分析等方法，分析了东江中上游降水量和暴雨日数的时空变化特征。结果表明：东江中上游年、汛期、前汛期降水量和暴雨日数呈不显著减少趋势，年、后汛期降水量和暴雨日数呈不显著增加趋势；年、汛期、前（后）汛期降水量和暴雨日数空间上呈西南多东北少的分布特征；汛期为降水量和暴雨发生的集中时段，且前汛期多、后汛期少；汛期降水在1972年、1986年、2007年发生突变，前汛期降水在1971年、2005年发生突变，后汛期降水未发生突变；汛期暴雨日数在2003年、2008年前后发生突变，前汛期暴雨日数在1972年、2004年前后发生突变，后汛期暴雨日数在2011年前后发生突变；年降水量存在2 a，4～5 a，8～10 a的振荡周期，年暴雨日数存在2～4 a，5～6 a，8～10 a震荡周期，与年降水量周期有很好的对应性。
Abstract:
Based on the daily precipitation and rainstorm days of eight national meteorological stations in the middle and upper reaches of the Dongjiang River from 1965 to 2017, linear trend method, correlation analysis method, Mann-Kendall mutation test, sliding t test, Morlet wavelet analysis were used to analyze the time and space characteristics of precipitation and rainstorm days in the middle and upper reaches of the Dongjiang River. The results show that the precipitation and rainstorm days in the middle, upper flood season and the first flood season of Dongjiang River present no significant decrease trend, and the precipitation in the annual and post-flood seasons and the number of rainstorm days do not increase significantly; the annual, flood season, front (back) flood season precipitation and the number of rainstorm days more distribute in the southwest and more in the northeast. The flood season is the concentrated period of precipitation and heavy rain, and there are more pre-flood periods and less post-squat periods. The floods in the flood season had mutations in 1972, 1986 and 2007, and precipitation in the first flood season. Mutation occurred in 1971 and 2005, and there was no mutation in the post-rhodium precipitation. The number of rainstorm days in the flood season occurred in 2003 and around 2008. The number of rainstorm days in the first flood season changed in 1972 and around 2004. The number of rainstorm days in the flood season changed before and after 2011. The annual precipitation was 2 years, 4~5 years and 8~10 years. oscillation period during the 10 years, the number of annual rainstorm days has the 2~4 years, 5~6 years, and 8~10 years period, which has a good correspondence with the annual precipitation period.

参考文献/References:

[1] 来文立,宋进喜,章杰,等.近60 a渭河流域降水特征[J].干旱区研究,2013,30(6):1106-1112.
[2] 徐利岗,周宏飞,李彦,等.中国北方荒漠区降水稳定性与趋势分析[J].水科学进展,2008,19(6):792-799.
[3] 常远勇,侯西勇,毋亭,等.1998-2010年全球中低纬度降水时空特征分析[J].水科学进展,2012,23(4):475-484.
[4] 左洪超,吕世华,胡隐樵.中国近50年气温及降水量的变化趋势分析[J].高原气象,2004,23(2):240-243.
[5] 任国玉,吴虹,陈正洪.我国降水变化趋势的空间特征[J].应用气象学报,2000,11(3):322-327.
[6] 王晓霞,徐宗学,阮本清.天津市降水量变化趋势的时空分布特征[J].干旱区资源与环境,2008,22(9):92-96.
[7] 徐宗学,张楠.黄河流域近50年降雨变化趋势分析[J].地理研究,2006,25(1):27-34.
[8] 薛燕,韩萍,冯国华.半个世纪以来新疆降水和气温的变化趋势[J].干旱区研究,2003,20(2):127-130.
[9] 施能,陈绿文,封国林,等.1920-2000年全球陆地降水气候特征与变化[J].高原气象,2004,23(4):435-443.
[10] 肖潺,宇如聪,原伟华,等.横断山脉中西部降水的季节演变特征[J].气象学报,2013,71(4):643-651.
[11] 万日金,吴国雄.江南春雨的时空分布[J].气象学报,2008,66(3):310-319.
[12] 白虎志,董文杰.华西秋雨的气候特征及成因分析[J].高原气象,2004,23(6):884-889.
[13] 徐利岗,周宏飞,李彦,等.中国北方荒漠区降水稳定性与趋势分析[J].水科学进展,2008,19(6):792-799.
[14] 周正朝,胡娜娜,周华.西安市气温和降水变化趋势分析[J].干旱区研究,2012,29(1):27-34.
[15] 董满宇,王炳钦.近50年东江流域极端降水事件变化特征[J].资源科学,2013,35(3):521-529.
[16] 陈晓宏,王兆礼.东江流域土地利用变化对水资源的影响[J].北京师范大学学报:自然科学版,2010,46(3):311-316.
[17] 石教智,陈晓宏,林汝颜.东江流域降水序列的混沌特征分析[J].中山大学学报:自然科学版,2006,45(4):111-115.
[18] 刘德地,陈晓宏.东江流域降水场时空分布特征分析[J].水文,2008,28(2):82-86.
[19] 董满宇,江源,李俞萍,等.近46年来东江流域降水变化趋势分析[J].水文,2010,30(5):85-90.
[20] 张健枫,伍永秋,潘美慧,等.东江上游地貌特征与水系结构关系分析[J].资源科学,2010,35(3):496-504.
[21] 董满宇,江源,廖剑宇,等.近50年东江流域极端降水事件变化特征[J].资源科学,2010,35(3):521-529.
[22] 曹广超,付建新,李玲琴,等.1960-2014年祁连山南坡及其附近地区气温时空变化特征[J].水土保持研究,2018,25(3):88-96.
[23] 李小丽,敖天其,黎小东,等.古蔺县近50年来降水序列趋势分析[J].水土保持研究,2016,23(6):140-144.

相似文献/References:

[1]杨会蒲.黄土丘陵区油松人工林水分生态效益研究[J].水土保持研究,2002,9(04):74.
　YANG Hui-pu.Study on Water Ecological Benefits of Artificial Chinese Pine Stands in Loess Hilly Region[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2002,9(05):74.
[2]南峰,李有利,史兴民.新疆玛纳斯河水量波动与气候变化之间的关系[J].水土保持研究,2003,10(03):59.
　NAN Feng,LI You-li,SHI Xing-min.Relationship of the Fluctuations of Stream Discharge of the Manas River and Climatic Changes[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2003,10(05):59.
[3]孔令江,南峰,尹荣一,等.玛纳斯河1996年和1999年洪水事件的环境背景[J].水土保持研究,2003,10(03):102.
　KONG Ling-jiang,NAN Feng,YIN Rong-yi,et al.The Environment Background of Floods of 1996 and 1999 in the Reach of the Manas River[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2003,10(05):102.
[4]穆兴民,陈国良,徐学选.黄土高原降水量与地理因素关系分析[J].水土保持研究,1992,(02):80.
　Mu Xingmin,Chen Guoliang,Xu Xuexuan.ANALYSIS OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN PRECIPITATION AND GEOGRAPICAL FACTORS IN LOESS PLATEAU[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,1992,(05):80.
[5]徐巧芝,郭汝军,丁文荣.滇中地区降水特征与变化趋势研究[J].水土保持研究,2013,20(05):155.
　XU Qiao-zhi,GUO Ru-jun,DING Wen-rong.Characteristics and Changing Trends of Precipitation in the Center of Yunnan Province, China[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2013,20(05):155.
[6]邓飞,全占军,于云江.20年来乌兰木伦河流域植被盖度变化及影响因素[J].水土保持研究,2011,18(03):137.
　DENG Fei,QUAN Zhan-jun,YU Yun-jiang.Study on the Vegetation Coverage Change and Its Impact Factors in Wulanmulun River Basin During the Recent 20 Years[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2011,18(05):137.
[7]高建伦,王晶晶,任永庆,等.毛乌素沙地降水和气温变化特征及其与植被因子的关系[J].水土保持研究,2022,29(02):200.
　GAO Jianlun,WANG Jingjing,REN Yongqing,et al.Changes of Precipitation and Temperature and Their Relationships to Vegetation in the Mu Us Desert[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2022,29(05):200.
[8]王诗晨,程先富,杨伟伟.近56年巢湖流域降水特征及其对旱涝灾害的影响[J].水土保持研究,2015,22(03):289.
　WANG Shichen,CHENG Xianfu,YANG Weiwei.Characteristics of Rainfall in Chaohu Basin in the Last 56 Years and Their Influences on Droughts and Floods[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2015,22(05):289.
[9]史佳良,王秀茹,李淑芳,等.近50年来河南省气温和降水时空变化特征分析[J].水土保持研究,2017,24(03):151.
　SHI Jialiang,WANG Xiuru,LI Shufang,et al.Variation Characteristics of Air Temperature and Precipitation in He’nan Province in Recent 50 Years[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2017,24(05):151.
[10]路培,吴发启.陕西省近30年降水变化特征分析[J].水土保持研究,2013,20(04):64.
　LU Pei,WU Fa-qi.The Analysis of Rainfall Characteristics of Shaanxi Province in Recent 30 years[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2013,20(05):64.

备注/Memo

收稿日期:2018-10-29;改回日期:2018-11-25。
基金项目:广东省气象部门青年英才助推计划项目（2015-151）；广东省气象局科学技术研究项目（GRMC2018Q17）；河源市社会发展科技计划项目（180628100222162）；广东省河源市气象局气象科学技术研究项目（2017-02）
作者简介:曾钦文(1989-),男,广东梅州人,硕士,工程师,主要从事天气预报与气候变化研究。E-mail:403200385@qq.com
通讯作者:巫燕辉(1972-),男,广东梅州人,学士,高级工程师,主要从事气象防灾减灾与气候变化研究。E-mail:1047963647@qq.com

更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01