ZHANG Siqi,CHEN Yinrong.Correlation Effect of City Construction Land Expansion and Energy Consumption Carbon Emission[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2017,24(01):244-249.
城市建设用地扩张与能源消耗碳排放相关效应
- Title:
- Correlation Effect of City Construction Land Expansion and Energy Consumption Carbon Emission
- Keywords:
- construction land expansion; carbon emissions; decoupling analysis; rebound effect; Wuhan City
- 分类号:
- X24;F301.2
- 摘要:
- 通过收集武汉市2001—2013年建设用地与能源消耗数据，采用IPCC碳排放估算方法、Tapio脱钩分析、反弹效应分析等方法，分析了建设用地和能源消耗碳排放在时间序列上的变化特征，探究了二者的相关效应。结果表明：武汉市2001—2013年建设用地逐年不断扩张，2001—2005年扩张缓慢，2006—2013年开始快速扩张；能源消耗碳排放2001—2006年快速增长，2007—2013年增长速度出现波动；建设用地扩张与能源消耗碳排放仅5年表现脱钩，并未达到完全脱钩；推动能源消耗碳排放增长的主要因素是建设用地扩张效应与财富效应，它们几乎抵消了技术进步所带来的减排效应。显示城市建设用地扩张与能源消耗碳排放之间依然存在明显的相关效应，为实现低碳发展，武汉市城市建设用地的有序扩张和减排工作还需要进一步加强。
- Abstract:
- Through collecting the data of construction land and energy consumption in Wuhan City from 2001 to 2013, we used IPCC carbon emission estimation method, Tapio decoupling analysis method, rebound effect analysis method and so on to analyze the characteristics of the construction land and the carbon emission of energy consumption in time series in order to explore the relevant effect of the two processes. The results showed that: (1) the construction land expansion continued through 2001 to 2013 in Wuhan City, the expansion from 2001 to 2005 was slow, and was rapid from 2006 to 2013; (2) the growth of energy consumption carbon emission was rapid from 2001 to 2006, then fluctuated through 2007 to 2013; (3) construction land expansion and energy consumption carbon emission achieved decoupling for only 5 years, and didn’t achieve complete decoupling; (4) the main factors for the growth of energy consumption carbon emissions were construction land expansion effect and wealth effect, they almost offset the effect of technology progress. The expansion of urban construction land and energy consumption carbon emission still exist significant correlation effect. In order to realize low carbon development, orderly expansion of the urban construction land of Wuhan City and the work of reducing carbon emission need to be further strengthened.
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备注/Memo
收稿日期:2016-01-30;改回日期:2016-02-20。
基金项目:国家社会科学基金“基于系统仿真的城市土地利用碳排放分析与低碳利用调控研究”（14BGL218）
作者简介:张思齐(1993-),女,湖北宜昌人,硕士,研究方向为土地利用规划与管理。E-mail:2538885626@qq.com
通讯作者:陈银蓉(1963-),女,湖南长沙人,教授,博士生导师,主要从事土地利用规划与管理、区域经济与城镇发展研究。E-mail:chyinrong@126.com