SHAO Zi-nan,WU Qun,XU En,et al.Farmers’ Willingness and Its Impact Factors on the Rural Settlement Consolidation-Based on Logistic Model and Structural Equation Model[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2014,21(06):228-233.
农户对农村居民点整理意愿及影响因素研究——基于Logistic和SEM模型的实证分析
- Title:
- Farmers’ Willingness and Its Impact Factors on the Rural Settlement Consolidation-Based on Logistic Model and Structural Equation Model
- Keywords:
- rural settlement; willingness of consolidation; impact factors; structural equation modele; logistic model; Lüsi town of Qidong City
- 分类号:
- F301.2
- 摘要:
- 开展农村居民点整理对提高城乡土地利用效率，增加耕地面积，缓解建设用地供需矛盾，优化城乡建设用地空间配置的意义不言而喻。基于农户调研资料，采用二元Logistic回归模型和结构方程模型（SEM），从微观角度分析了农户对开展居民点整理的意愿。结果表明：（1）研究区域农户整理搬迁意愿并不高，仅为41.5%；（2）在5个潜变量中，农户个人特征与其它变量对整理意愿产生了显著的负影响，农户分化、家庭经济、家庭住房等变量则产生了显著的正影响；（3）在反映潜变量的外生观测变量中，家庭收入、职业类型等对整理意愿具有显著的正影响，而年龄、家庭承包经营耕地面积等有显著的负影响；（4）在农村居民点整理中，要实现农户生计多样化，探索创新农村宅基地流转市场化，实现宅基地保障性功能转化，积极探索多样化整理模式，避免“一刀切”政策，保护具有历史文化和景观价值的传统建筑。
- Abstract:
- With the accelerated development of industrialization, urbanization, agricultural modernization, the gap between supply and demand of construction land is widening. However, it is very useful to carry out rural settlement consolidation for improving the efficiency of urban and rural land use, increasing arable land, easing the contradiction between land supply and demand, optimizing space allocation. Different people have the different recognition and attitude towards rural settlement consolidation. Therefore, we surveyed the households to explore the factors affecting the willingness of rural settlement consolidation by using structural equation model and binary Logistic model. The results show that the willingness of land consolidation is only 41.5% in the study area. In the five latent variables, personal characteristics of the farmers and other variables have a negative effect upon the willingness. Farmer differentiation, economic status and housing conditions have a positive effect. The exogenous variables such as income and occupation have the significant positive influence. However, the age, the blood relationship with their neighbors etc, have a significant negative impact. It is concluded that the government should help farmers live diversifying, safeguard their legitimate rights, explore diversified arrangement mode, avoid one-size-fits-all policy, explore the rural residential land market, and protect the traditional architecture and landscape during rural settlement consolidation.
参考文献/References:
[1] 刘彦随,刘玉.中国农村空心化问题研究的进展与展望[J].地理研究,2010,29(1):35-42.
[2] 王静,李钢,陈瑜琪,等.基于农户意愿的睢宁县农村土地综合整治研究[J].中国土地科学,2012,26(3):68-72.
[3] 龙花楼,李秀彬.长江沿线样带农村宅基地转型[J].地理学报,2005,60(2):179-188.
[4] 龙花楼.中国农村宅基地转型的理论与证实[J].地理学报,2006,61(10):1093-1100.
[5] 詹姆斯·斯科特.农民的道义经济学:东南亚的反叛与生存[M].南京:译林出版社,2001.
[6] 魏文佳,陈江龙,刘飞,等.经济发达地区农村居民点潜力释放空间选择:以太仓市陆渡镇,浏河镇为例[J].长江流域资源与环境,2011,20(7):873-878.
[7] 姜磊,雷国平,张健,等.农村居民点空间布局及优化分析[J].水土保持研究,2013,20(1):224-229.
[8] 陈秧分,刘彦随,杨忍.基于生计转型的中国农村居民点用地整治适宜区域[J].地理学报,2012,67(3):420-427.
[9] 田振圣,门明新,张鑫,等.基于支撑度的农村居民点整理模式分类[J].水土保持研究,2013,20(5):271-277.
[10] 陈玉福,孙虎,刘彦随.中国典型农区空心村综合整治模式[J].地理学报,2010,65(6):727-735.
[11] 杜文星,黄贤金.区域农户农地流转意愿差异及其驱动力研究:以上海市,南京市,泰州市,扬州市农户调查为例[J].资源科学,2006,27(6):90-94.
[12] 李海燕,蔡银莺.征地前后农民感知变化与征地意愿的结构方程模型研究:以武汉市江夏区被征农户为例[J].自然资源学报,2012,27(11):1833-1844.
[13] 许恒周,郭玉燕,吴冠岑,等.代际差异视角下农民工土地流转意愿的影响因素分析:基于天津613份调查问卷的实证研究[J].资源科学,2012,34(10):1864-1870.
[14] 穆向丽,孙国兴,张安录.农户农用地征用意愿的影响因素实证分析:基于湖北省302个农户的调查[J].中国农村经济,2009(8):43-52.
[15] 沙木西·阿依吐尔逊,金晓斌,周寅康.维吾尔族农户农地流转意愿的影响因素分析:基于新疆库尔勒市调研数据[J].资源科学,2013,35(001):225-231.
[16] 葛颜祥,梁丽娟,王蓓蓓,等.黄河流域居民生态补偿意愿及支付水平分析:以山东省为例[J].中国农村经济,2009(10):77-85.
[17] 陈美球,彭云飞,周丙娟.不同社会经济发展水平下农户耕地流转意愿的对比分析:基于江西省21个村952户农户的调查[J].资源科学,2008,30(10):1491-1496.
[18] 陈秧分,刘彦随,翟荣新.基于农户调查的东部沿海地区农地规模经营意愿及其影响因素分析[J].资源科学,2009,31(7):1102-1108.
[19] 韩潞,徐保根.基于SEM的陇南市农村居民点整治中农户心理契约影响因素研究[J].中国土地科学,2012,26(10):48-53.
[20] 陈霄.农民宅基地退出意愿的影响因素:基于重庆市"两翼"地区1012户农户的实证分析[J].中国农村观察,2012(3):26-37.
[21] 李晓庆,王成,王利平,等.农户对农村居民点整合的意愿及其驱动机制:以重庆市沙坪坝区曾家镇白林村为例[J].地理科学进展,2013,32(4):671-680.
[22] 黄贻芳.农户参与宅基地退出的影响因素分析:以重庆市梁平县为例[J].华中农业大学学报:社会科学版,2013(5):36-41.
[23] 许恒周,吴冠岑,郭玉燕,等.宅基地确权对不同代际农民工宅基地退出意愿影响分析:基于天津248份调查问卷的实证研究[J].资源科学,2013,35(7):1423-1429.
[24] 龙开胜,刘澄宇,陈利根.农民接受闲置宅基地治理方式的意愿及影响因素[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2012,22(9):83-89.
[25] 欧阳安蛟,蔡锋铭,陈立定.农村宅基地退出机制建立探讨[J].中国土地科学,2009,23(10):26-30.
[26] 张怡然,邱道持,李艳,等.农民工进城落户与宅基地退出影响因素分析:基于重庆市开县357份农民工的调查问卷[J].中国软科学,2011,(2):62-68.
[27] 信桂新,阎建忠,杨庆媛.新农村建设中农户的居住生活变化及其生计转型[J].西南大学学报:自然科学版,2012,34(2):122-130.
[28] 曲衍波,姜广辉,张凤荣,等.基于农户意愿的农村居民点整治模式[J].农业工程学报,2012,28(23):232-242.
[29] 赵国玲,杨钢桥.农户宅基地流转意愿的影响因素分析:基于湖北二县市的农户调查研究[J].长江流域资源与环境,2009,18(12):1121-1124.
[30] 李晓庆,王成,王利平,等.农户对农村居民点整合的意愿及其驱动机制:以重庆市沙坪坝区曾家镇白林村为例[J].地理科学进展,2013,32(4):671-680.
[31] 荣泰生. AMOS与研究方法[M].重庆:重庆大学出版社,2010.
[32] 陆学艺."三农论":当代中国农业、农村、农民研究[M].北京:社会科学文献出版社,2002.
[33] 许恒周,郭玉燕,石淑芹.农民分化对农户农地流转意愿的影响分析:基于结构方程模型的估计[J].中国土地科学,2012,26(8):74-79.
[34] 郭玲霞,高贵现,彭开丽.基于Logistic模型的失地农民土地征收意愿影响因素研究[J].资源科学,2012,34(8):1484-1492.
[35] 王兆林,杨庆媛,张佰林,等.户籍制度改革中农户土地退出意愿及其影响因素分析[J].中国农村经济,2011(11):49-61.
[36] 林乐芬,金媛.征地补偿政策效应影响因素分析:基于江苏省镇江市40个村1703户农户调查数据[J].中国农村经济,2012(6):20-30.
[37] 刘彦随.新型城镇化待解土地难题[EB/OL]. http://www.rard.org/post?postId=860.
相似文献/References:
[1]谭雪兰,段建南,包春红,等.基于GIS的麻阳县农村居民点空间布局优化研究[J].水土保持研究,2010,17(06):177.
TAN Xue-lan,DUAN Jian-nan,BAO Chun-hong,et al.A GIS-Based Study on Optimized Spatial Distribution of Rural Settlements in Mayang County[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2010,17(06):177.
[2]龙英,舒晓波,李秀娟,等.江西省安福县农村居民点空间分布变化及其环境因素分析[J].水土保持研究,2012,19(05):171.
LONG Ying,SHU Xiao-bo,LI Xiu-juan,et al.Analysis on Spatial Distribution and Changes of Rural Residential Areas and Its Environmental Factors in Anfu County of Jiangxi Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2012,19(06):171.
[3]乔蕻强,刘秀华,李让恩.农村居民点用地整理现实潜力测算及分区——以重庆市丰都县为例[J].水土保持研究,2012,19(02):222.
QIAO Hong-qiang,LIU Xiu-hua,LI Rang-en.Calculation of Land Consolidation Potential and Optimization of Rural Residential Areas——A Case Study of Fengdu County, Chongqing City[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2012,19(06):222.
[4]姚慧,郑新奇.城镇建设用地增加与农村居民点减少挂钩的动态评价初探——以济南市为例[J].水土保持研究,2006,13(06):117.
YAO Hui,ZHENG Xin-qi.Discussion on the Appraisal of Connecting the Increase of Urban Construction Land to the Decrease of Rural Residential Area——Taking Jinan as an Example[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2006,13(06):117.
[5]柳礼奎,路紫.石家庄市农村居民点水土保持专家决策系统的构建与实施[J].水土保持研究,2007,14(06):67.
LIU Li-kui,LU Zi.The Construction and Implementation of Soil and Water Conservation Expert-Policy-making System in Shijiazhuang Rural Residential Areas[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2007,14(06):67.
[6]文枫,鲁春阳,杨庆媛,等.重庆市农村居民点用地空间分异研究[J].水土保持研究,2010,17(04):222.
WEN Feng,LU Chun-yang,YANG Qing-yuan,et al.Research on Spatial Differentiation of the Rural Residential Land in Chongqing[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2010,17(06):222.
[7]荣联伟,师学义,李炳意,等.黄土山丘区农村居民点类型划分与优化策略[J].水土保持研究,2016,23(06):271.
RONG Lianwei,SHI Xueyi,LI Bingyi,et al.Classification and Optimization Strategies of Rural Residential Land in Mountainous and Hilly Area of the Loess Plateau[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2016,23(06):271.
[8]代雍楣,师学义,段文杰.基于分形理论的农村居民点空间分布特征定量研究[J].水土保持研究,2016,23(06):278.
DAI Yongmei,SHI Xueyi,DUAN Wenjie.A Quantitative Study on Spatial Structure and Form of Rural Residential Area Based on Fractal Theory[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2016,23(06):278.
[9]马帅,刘军卫,赵志明,等.河北省阜平县农村居民点地形分异特征研究[J].水土保持研究,2016,23(06):327.
MA Shuai,LIU Junwei,ZHAO Zhiming,et al.Research on the Terrain Differential Characteristics of Rural Residents in Fuping County, Hebei Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2016,23(06):327.
[10]殷嘉迪,雷国平,乐容潮,等.三江平原农村居民点时空格局演变——以富锦市为例[J].水土保持研究,2017,24(06):300.
YIN Jiadi,LEI Guoping,LE Rongchao,et al.Spatiotemporal Evolution of Rural Settlements in Sanjiang Plain—A Case Study in Fujin City[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2017,24(06):300.
备注/Memo
收稿日期:2014-01-20;改回日期:2014-03-17。
基金项目:国家自然科学基金重点项目（71233004）；教育部博士点资助项目（20130097110039）
作者简介:邵子南(1986-),男,安徽蚌埠人,博士生,主要从事土地利用与资源管理的研究。E-mail:shaozinan0511072@163.com
通讯作者:吴群(1964-),男,江苏兴化人,博士,教授,主要从事土地经济与管理的研究。E-mail:wuqun@njau.edu.cn