SHAO Zi-nan,WU Qun,XU En,et al.Farmers’ Willingness and Its Impact Factors on the Rural Settlement Consolidation-Based on Logistic Model and Structural Equation Model[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2014,21(06):228-233.
农户对农村居民点整理意愿及影响因素研究——基于Logistic和SEM模型的实证分析
- Title:
- Farmers’ Willingness and Its Impact Factors on the Rural Settlement Consolidation-Based on Logistic Model and Structural Equation Model
- Keywords:
- rural settlement; willingness of consolidation; impact factors; structural equation modele; logistic model; Lüsi town of Qidong City
- 分类号:
- F301.2
- 摘要:
- 开展农村居民点整理对提高城乡土地利用效率，增加耕地面积，缓解建设用地供需矛盾，优化城乡建设用地空间配置的意义不言而喻。基于农户调研资料，采用二元Logistic回归模型和结构方程模型（SEM），从微观角度分析了农户对开展居民点整理的意愿。结果表明：（1）研究区域农户整理搬迁意愿并不高，仅为41.5%；（2）在5个潜变量中，农户个人特征与其它变量对整理意愿产生了显著的负影响，农户分化、家庭经济、家庭住房等变量则产生了显著的正影响；（3）在反映潜变量的外生观测变量中，家庭收入、职业类型等对整理意愿具有显著的正影响，而年龄、家庭承包经营耕地面积等有显著的负影响；（4）在农村居民点整理中，要实现农户生计多样化，探索创新农村宅基地流转市场化，实现宅基地保障性功能转化，积极探索多样化整理模式，避免“一刀切”政策，保护具有历史文化和景观价值的传统建筑。
- Abstract:
- With the accelerated development of industrialization, urbanization, agricultural modernization, the gap between supply and demand of construction land is widening. However, it is very useful to carry out rural settlement consolidation for improving the efficiency of urban and rural land use, increasing arable land, easing the contradiction between land supply and demand, optimizing space allocation. Different people have the different recognition and attitude towards rural settlement consolidation. Therefore, we surveyed the households to explore the factors affecting the willingness of rural settlement consolidation by using structural equation model and binary Logistic model. The results show that the willingness of land consolidation is only 41.5% in the study area. In the five latent variables, personal characteristics of the farmers and other variables have a negative effect upon the willingness. Farmer differentiation, economic status and housing conditions have a positive effect. The exogenous variables such as income and occupation have the significant positive influence. However, the age, the blood relationship with their neighbors etc, have a significant negative impact. It is concluded that the government should help farmers live diversifying, safeguard their legitimate rights, explore diversified arrangement mode, avoid one-size-fits-all policy, explore the rural residential land market, and protect the traditional architecture and landscape during rural settlement consolidation.
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备注/Memo
收稿日期:2014-01-20;改回日期:2014-03-17。
基金项目:国家自然科学基金重点项目（71233004）；教育部博士点资助项目（20130097110039）
作者简介:邵子南(1986-),男,安徽蚌埠人,博士生,主要从事土地利用与资源管理的研究。E-mail:shaozinan0511072@163.com
通讯作者:吴群(1964-),男,江苏兴化人,博士,教授,主要从事土地经济与管理的研究。E-mail:wuqun@njau.edu.cn