[1]王江,李靖,魏红义,等.基于TOPSIS法的区域水资源承载力预测评价——以陕西省关中地区为例[J].水土保持研究,2008,15(03):161-163.
　WANG Jiang,LI Jing,WEI Hong-yi,et al.The Forecast Evaluation of Water Resources Carrying Capacity of Regional Water Resources Based on TOPSIS Model——A Case Study of Guanzhong Region in Shaanxi Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2008,15(03):161-163.
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基于TOPSIS法的区域水资源承载力预测评价——以陕西省关中地区为例

《水土保持研究》[ISSN:1005-3409/CN:61-1272/P] 卷: 15 期数: 2008年03期 页码: 161-163 栏目: 出版日期: 2008-06-20
Title:
The Forecast Evaluation of Water Resources Carrying Capacity of Regional Water Resources Based on TOPSIS Model——A Case Study of Guanzhong Region in Shaanxi Province
作者:
王江1, 李靖2, 魏红义1, 田鹏1
1. 西北农林科技大学 资源环境学院, 陕西 杨陵 712100;
2. 西北农林科技大学 水利与建筑工程学院, 陕西 杨陵 712100
Author(s):
WANG Jiang1, LI Jing2, WEI Hong-yi1, TIAN Peng1
1. College of Resources and Environment, Northwest A&F Uniwersity, Yangling, Shaanxi 712100, China;
2. College of Water Resources and Architectural Engineering, Northwest A&F Uniwersity, Yangling, Shaanxi 712100, China
关键词:
TOPSIS法; 水资源承载力; 预测性评价
Keywords:
TOPSIS; water resource carrying capacity; forecast evaluation
分类号:
TV213
摘要:
应用多目标决策的TOPSIS法，对陕西省关中地区水资源承载力进行预测性评价，分析关中地区未来水资源开发利用的合理性及规划方案的可行性。结果表明：关中地区的水资源承载力均处于Ⅱ-Ⅲ级，相对较低，并趋近于Ⅲ级极限值。可见，该区未来经济发展规划的期望值虽与水资源“承载力”各项指标相接近，但相对较低的水资源承载力势必给区域生态环境造成极大的压力。故在该地区未来水资源规划中，应充分考虑水资源开发、利用给生态环境带来的影响，在加大黄河过境水利用以及两江调水的基础上，更应加强节水、废污水处理和水的重复利用。该文采用TOPSIS评价模型，评价结果与模糊综合评判法基本一致。而TOPSIS法更具实用性和可操作性。
Abstract:
Water resources carrying capacity relates to the problem of water resources security closely and becomes an emphases of water resources study which has important effect on the water utilized and configured reasonably in the future.TOPSIS model was cited in this paper to make a forecast evaluation on water resources carrying capacity in Guanzhong area in Shaanxi province.The results demonstrated that the development of water resources is satisfied with the requirment in this region in the future.But rather lower resources carrying capacity will be threated the local ecology environment.TOPSIS model adopted in this study is not only that the conclusion is similar with fuzzy comprehensive evaluation but aslo the opreatation is more easy.

参考文献/References:

[1] 史鉴, 陈兆丰, 邢大伟.关中地区水资源合理开发利用与生态环境保护[M].河南:黄河水利出版社, 2002.
[2] 门宝辉, 夏军, 刘昌明.基于变异系数权重的TOPSIS法在区域水资源承载力评价中的应用[M]//周孝德, 沈冰.水与社会经济发展的相互影响及作用.北京:2005:189-191.
[3] 秦奋.基于模糊分析法的水资源承载力综合评价[J].水资源与水工程学报, 2006, 17(1):2-3.
[4] 付湘, 纪昌明.区域水资源承载力综合评价:主成分分析法的应用[J].长江流域资源与环境, 1999, 8(2):169-171.
[5] 陈腊娇, 冯利华.主成分分析法在水资源承载力影响因子评价中的应用[J].水利科技与经济, 2006, 12(6):362-363.
[6] 陕西省发展计划委员会.陕西省水资源开发利用规划[M].陕西省水利厅, 2003:258-271.

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备注/Memo

收稿日期:2007-7-25。
基金项目:农业部948项目“土壤侵蚀及其环境效应评价模型”（2003-Z57）
作者简介:王江（1979- ），男，内蒙古乌盟人，在读硕士，主要从事水土保持方面的研究。E-mail：wangjiang0474@yahoo.com.cn
通讯作者:李靖（1945- ），男，陕西凤翔人，教授，博士生导师，主要从事水资源保护与利用方面的研究。E-mail：lijinglee@tom.com

更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01