FAN Xianxian,ZHOU Yunlei.Coupling Coordination of Land Use and Economic-Social-Environmental in the Yangtze River Economic Belt[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2023,30(05):370-378.[doi:10.13869/j.cnki.rswc.2023.05.014.]
长江经济带土地利用与经济—社会—环境耦合协调研究
- Title:
- Coupling Coordination of Land Use and Economic-Social-Environmental in the Yangtze River Economic Belt
- 文章编号:
- 1005-3409(2023)05-0370-09
- Keywords:
- coupling coordination; land use; economic-social-environment; spatial and temporal evolution; regional differences; Yangtze River Economic Belt
- 分类号:
- F172
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- [目的]测算长江经济带城市土地利用与经济—社会—环境系统的耦合协调度,并考察其时空分异特征及驱动因素,进而为长江经济带土地可持续利用和区域高质量协调发展提供决策参考。[方法]基于2006—2019年长江经济带108个地级市的面板数据,构建了土地利用与经济—社会—环境系统的指标体系,采用熵权法、耦合协调度模型测算耦合协调度,并借助Dagum基尼系数、莫兰指数和地理加权回归模型进行时空分异特征及驱动因素分析。[结果]2006—2019年长江经济带土地利用与经济—社会—环境耦合协调度由0.309上升至0.477,从轻度失调转入勉强协调。不同区域间的耦合协调度由下游区域向上游区域逐步递减,呈现“东高西低”的空间分布格局。耦合协调度的总体、区域内和区域间差异呈现下降趋势。区域间差异是总体差异的主要原因,其贡献率由43.67%上升至46.88%。耦合协调度的Moran's I值由0.095上升至0.134,具有显著的空间正自相关性,“H—H”集聚区主要分布在下游区域,“L—L”集聚区主要分布在中上游区域。地形起伏和坡度呈现负向驱动,城镇化水平和外商直接投资呈现正向驱动,人口密度呈现两级化驱动特征。[结论]长江经济带土地利用与经济—社会—环境的耦合协调度存在时空异质性,应充分考虑区域特征制定差异化的土地利用政策。
- Abstract:
- [Objective] The purpose of this paper is to measure the coupling coordination of urban land use and the economic-social-environmental system in the Yangtze River Economic Belt, and investigate its spatial and temporal differentiation characteristics and driving factors, and then to provide decision-making for promoting sustainable land use and high-quality coordinated development in the Yangtze River Economic Belt. [Methods] Based on the panel data of 108 prefecture-level cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2006 to 2019, this study constructed an indicator system of land use and economic-social-environment system, measured the coupled coordination degree using the entropy weight method and coupled coordination degree model, and examined its spatial and temporal divergence characteristics and driving factors with the methods of Dagum Gini coefficient, Moran index and geographically weighted regression model. [Results] The coupling coordination degree of land use and economic-social-environment in the Yangtze River Economic Belt increased from 0.309 to 0.477 during 2006—2019, transferring from mild disorder to barely coordinated. The coupling coordination degree decreased from downstream to upstream regions, showing a spatial distribution characteristics of the high level in the east and low level in the west. The overall, intra-regional, and inter-regional differences in coupling coordination showed a decreasing trend. The inter-regional variance was the main explanation for the overall variance, and its contribution increased from 43.67% to 46.88%. The Moran's I of coupling coordination increased from 0.095 to 0.134, with significant positive spatial autocorrelation, and the ‘High-High' agglomeration area mainly distributed in the lower reaches, while the ‘Low-Low' agglomeration areas mainly distributed in the middle and upper reaches. Topographic relief and slope showed a negative driving force, urbanization level and foreign direct investment showed a positive driving force, and population density showed a two-level driving force. [Conclusion] The coupled coordination of land use and economic-social-environment in the Yangtze River Economic Belt has spatial and temporal heterogeneity, and differentiated land use policies should be formulated with full consideration of regional characteristics.
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备注/Memo
收稿日期:2022-08-08 修回日期:2022-09-13
资助项目:国家自然科学基金青年项目(71904087); 安徽省高校人文社会科学重点项目(SK2021A0229); 安徽生态与经济发展研究中心一般项目(AHST2019016)
第一作者:范贤贤(1995—),女,安徽宿州人,博士研究生,研究方向为土地利用与绿色低碳发展,城市经济。E-mail:fanxianxian95@163.com
通信作者:周云蕾(1991—),女,山东菏泽人,博士,讲师,主要研究方向为财政与税收,生态经济与政策。E-mail:aufezyl1991@163.com