ZHAO Pengyu,GUO Jingsong,CUI Qiang,et al.Spatiotemporal Analysis of the Relative Carrying Capacity of Resources in Xinzhou City Based on Improved Model of Carrying Capacity Related to Resources[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2017,24(02):341-347.
忻州市相对资源承载力的时空动态变化
- Title:
- Spatiotemporal Analysis of the Relative Carrying Capacity of Resources in Xinzhou City Based on Improved Model of Carrying Capacity Related to Resources
- Keywords:
- relative population carrying capacity of resources; relative economic carrying capacity of resources; spatiotemporal change; Xinzhou City
- 分类号:
- X24
- 摘要:
- 采用改进后的相对资源承载力模型测算了1995—2013年忻州市的相对资源人口承载力和相对资源经济承载力，并探讨了全市14个县市相对资源承载力的演变规律及空间差异。模型改进工作主要体现在增加了水资源与能源承载力，并运用优势资源牵引效应及劣势资源束缚效应，克服了原模型中权重的主观任意取值。结果显示：（1）以山西省为参照区，土地资源和水资源是忻州市可持续发展的优势资源，而经济资源与能源为劣势资源；1995—2013年忻州市的人口承载状态总体呈从富余到超载，再到富余，以2001—2003年为界限；经济承载状态处于非常富余状态。（2）2004—2012年14个县市的相对资源人口承载力和相对资源经济承载力空间差异显著；农业发展、煤炭产业与区位条件成为影响相对资源人口承载力和经济承载力的驱动力。
- Abstract:
- We calculates population carrying capacity of relative resources carrying capacity and relative economic in Xinzhou City and explore the evolution of relative carrying capacity of resources and spatial variation of the city’s 14 counties based on the relative resource capacity model during the period from 1995 to 2013. The model improvements mainly reflected the increase in the carrying capacity of water resources and energy, and used the traction effect of superior resources and the bounding effect of disadvantageous resources, overcame the drawbacks of any value about the subjective weights in the original model. The results show as follows. (1) Taking Shanxi Province as a reference area, land and water resources are the advantages resources sustainable development and economic resources and energy resources are the disadvantageous resources in Xinzhou City. The overall population carrying capacity of Xinzhou City was in a state from surplus to overload even to surplus in 1995—2013, the economy carrying state was in a very surplus state after the period from 2001 to 2003. (2) The population carrying capacity and economic carrying capacity of relative resources of 14 counties in 2004—2012 performed the remarkable spatial differences. Agricultural development, the coal industry and geographic conditions have become the driving force for he population carrying capacity and economic carrying capacity of relative resources.
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备注/Memo
收稿日期:2016-02-28;改回日期:2016-03-30。
基金项目:2014年忻州师范学院专题研究项目“忻州市资源与生态承载力和生态安全评价研”（ZT201405）；2015年忻州市科技发展计划项目“忻州市滹沱河区生态保护与修复技术研究”
作者简介:赵鹏宇(1981-),男,山西保德人,硕士,讲师,主要从事资源与生态环境研究。E-mail:497154516@qq.com
通讯作者:冯文勇(1967-),男,山西保德人,博士,教授,主要从事区域资源开发研究。E-mail:fengwenyong6000@163.com