[1]李彦军.蒙特卡罗法在水库塌岸预测中的应用[J].水土保持研究,2006,13(06):16-17.
LI Yan-jun.Application of Monte Carlo Trials in Reservoir Bank Erosion Forecast[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2006,13(06):16-17.
点击复制
LI Yan-jun.Application of Monte Carlo Trials in Reservoir Bank Erosion Forecast[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2006,13(06):16-17.
蒙特卡罗法在水库塌岸预测中的应用
《水土保持研究》[ISSN:1005-3409/CN:61-1272/P]
卷:
13
期数:
2006年06期
页码:
16-17
栏目:
出版日期:
1900-01-01
- Title:
- Application of Monte Carlo Trials in Reservoir Bank Erosion Forecast
- Keywords:
- bank erosion; probability; Monte Carlo trials
- 分类号:
- TV621
- 摘要:
- 目前土力学方法预测水库塌岸时还没应用可靠度计算，因为一般预测工作中没有足够的岩土测试结果；但是定值计算的结果毕竟有不确定性，最危险滑动部分是否该作为塌岸处理有时较难决定；基于岩土参数正态分布的特征，针对这一问题作者提出类比参数情况下，蒙特卡罗法中岩土统计参数的获取，计算简单，方便了应用，具有一定的理论和实用价值。
- Abstract:
- Soil mechanic with probability analysis has not been applied in reservoir bank erosion because of inadequate testing data for soil.But there is some uncertainty in method of certain factor of safety.Some times whether the critical mass is considered as the mass of bank erosion is still hard to determined.Based on the fact that soil mechanic parameters are confined to normal distribution,the author puts forward a way to obtain the statistic parameter of soil to use Monte Carlo trials under the circumstances that the parameters are attained similarly not from testing but oher project,which is easy to applied into practical work.This idea is promising at some extent in theory and practice.
参考文献/References:
[1] 盛骤, 谢式千, 潘承毅.概率论与数理统计(第二版)[M].北京:高等教育出版社, 1988.
[2] 潘仲立.可靠性分析的理论基础[M].北京:水利电力出版社, 1988.
[3] 赵欣, 赵雯.边坡稳定可靠度分析[J].安徽建筑, 2004, (4):100-101.
[4] 罗文强, 黄润秋, 张倬元, 等.几种边坡可靠性数学模型的对比[J].山地学报, 2000, 18(1):42-46.
备注/Memo
收稿日期:2005-12-24。
基金项目:国家电力公司成都勘测设计研究院的委托课题“大岗山电站库区工程地质条件调查”
作者简介:李彦军（1977- ），男，西南科技大学环境资源学院地质工程系教师，讲师，主要从事地质灾害评价预测与岩土工程的教学与科研工作.
更新日期/Last Update:
1900-01-01