[1]赵安周,王冬利,王金杰,等.京津冀城市群城市化—旅游业—生态环境耦合协调度及障碍因子诊断[J].水土保持研究,2021,28(04):333-341.
　ZHAO Anzhou,WANG Dongli,WANG Jinjie,et al.Quantitative Investigation of the Interactive Coupling Relationship Among Urbanization-Tourism Industry-Ecological Environment and Their Obstacle Factors in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomeration[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2021,28(04):333-341.
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京津冀城市群城市化—旅游业—生态环境耦合协调度及障碍因子诊断

《水土保持研究》[ISSN:1005-3409/CN:61-1272/P] 卷: 28 期数: 2021年04期 页码: 333-341 栏目: 出版日期: 2021-08-10
Title:
Quantitative Investigation of the Interactive Coupling Relationship Among Urbanization-Tourism Industry-Ecological Environment and Their Obstacle Factors in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomeration
文章编号:
1005-3409(2021)04-0333-09
作者:
赵安周1,2, 王冬利1, 王金杰1, 胡小枫1
(1.河北工程大学 矿业与测绘工程学院, 河北 邯郸 056038; 2.中国科学院, 地理科学与资源研究所 资源与环境信息系统国家重点实验室, 北京 100101)
Author(s):
ZHAO Anzhou1,2, WANG Dongli1, WANG Jinjie1, HU Xiaofeng1
(1.School of Mining and Geomatics, Hebei University of Engineering, Handan, Hebei 056038, China; 2.State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China)
关键词:
城市化;  旅游业;  生态环境;  耦合协调度;  障碍度;  京津冀城市群
Keywords:
urbanization;  tourism industry;  ecological environment;  coupling coordination model;  obstacle degree;  Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration
分类号:
F291.1;F592.3;F062.2
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为实现地区社会经济的可持续发展,需掌握城镇化、旅游业和生态环境的耦合协调度及障碍性因子。在综合考虑三大系统影响因素的基础上,应用耦合协调度和灰色Verhulst模型构建了京津冀城市群城市化—旅游业—生态环境综合评价指标体系,在此基础上,对该城市群2000—2017年三者的耦合协调关系和未来10 a的耦合协调度进行预测,并对三者的障碍性因子进行了诊断。结果表明:(1)2000—2017年京津冀城市化综合水平子系统和旅游产业子系统均呈现增加的趋势,生态环境子系统呈现减少的趋势;(2)2000—2017年期间京津冀城市群三者的耦合协调度整体呈逐年上升的变化趋势,其耦合的类型可划分为生态环境超前和城市化超前型;(3)预测结果显示未来10 a(2018—2027年)三者的耦合协调度保持小幅度持续上升的趋势;(4)从各一级指标对三大系统的障碍度来看,人口城市化水平(UPI)、旅游收入(TRI)和资源要素条件(REI)对城市化、旅游业和生态环境三大系统的影响最大。总体来看,三者的耦合协调度向良好的方向发展,应重点关注UPI、TRI和REI对三大系统的影响。
Abstract:
A better understanding of interactive coupling and obstacle factors among urbanization, tourism industry, and ecological environment is necessary for sustainable development of regional society and economy. Through the comprehensive consideration on three systems: urbanization, tourism industry and ecological environment, an evaluation index system was established. On the basis of constructing the evaluation index system, we conducted a comprehensive empirical study on the coupling coordination development of urbanization, tourism industry and ecological environment in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration from 2000 to 2017, and predicted the coupling coordination degree of the three systems in the next ten years(2018—2027). Then, the obstacle factors of urbanization, tourism industry and ecological environment were diagnosed through applying the obstacle degree model. The results showed that:(1)urbanization composite level index(UI)and tourism industry(TI)showed the increasing trends during 2000—2017; ecological environment(ECEI)showed the decreasing trend during 2000—2017;(2)coupling coordination degree showed a trend of rising volatility coordination of urbanization-tourism industry-ecological environment in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration during 2000—2017, and the type of coupling could be categorized as ecologically advanced and urbanization advanced patterns;(3)Grey Verhulst model had a high degree of fitting; in the next the years, the coupling coordination degree of the three subsystems in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration will increase slightly;(4)from the perspective of obstacle degree, the population urbanization index(UPI), tourism revenue index(TRI)and resource element conditions index(REI)had the greatest impact on the three subsystems of urbanization, tourism industry and ecological environment. Overall, coupling and coordination of among urbanization, tourism industry, and ecological environment presented better development situation in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration, and should focus primarily on UPI, TRI and REI.

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备注/Memo

收稿日期:2020-09-21 修回日期:2020-10-03
资助项目:教育部人文社会科学研究项目(18YJCZH257); 资源与环境信息系统国家重点实验室开放基金“大数据背景下京津冀地区城镇化与生态环境时空演变关系研究”
第一作者:赵安周(1985—),男,河北邯郸人,博士,副教授,主要从事城市与生态环境关系研究。E-mail:zhaoanzhou@126.com

更新日期/Last Update: 2021-08-20