HE Juan,SHI Xueyi,FU Yangjun,et al.Multi-Scenario Simulation of Spatiotemporal Evolution of Land Use and Habitat Quality in the Source Area of Fenhe River Basin[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2020,27(05):250-258.
汾河源头区域土地利用及生境质量时空演变的多情景模拟
- Title:
- Multi-Scenario Simulation of Spatiotemporal Evolution of Land Use and Habitat Quality in the Source Area of Fenhe River Basin
- 文章编号:
- 1005-3409(2020)05-0250-09
- Keywords:
- land use change; habitat quality evaluation; Logistic-CA-Markov; habitat contribution rate; InVEST model; source area of Fenhe River Basin
- 分类号:
- F301.24, X821
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- 土地利用变化及生境质量服务的多情景模拟对制定区域差别化的生态保护和耕地保护政策具有重要的意义。以汾河源头区域为例,借助Logistic-CA-Markov耦合模型,对土地利用转移情况、影响因子和未来变化趋势进行了多情景模拟分析,然后运用InVEST模型分析土地利用变化对生境质量带来的影响。结果表明:不同驱动因子的解释能力具有差异,11个驱动因子整体解释效果较好,ROC值都在0.85以上; 自然发展情景、生态保护情景、耕地保护情景下6种地类的变化方向、生境演变特征均有所不同; 2017—2030年自然发展情景、生态保护情景、耕地保护情景生境质量分别为0.78,0.76,0.81,0.72; 不同情景下的生境质量结果均表明随着海拔和坡度的升高,生境质量也不断得到提高,但是同一海拔和坡度下不同情景生境质量的变化具有差异。
- Abstract:
- The multi-scenario simulation of land use change and habitat quality is of great significance for the formation of different ecological protection and farmland protection policies. Taking the source area of Fenhe River Basin as an example, we established a multi-scenario simulation of land use transfer, influencing factors and future land use change with the Logistic-CA-Markov coupling model. Then the InVEST model was used to analyze the impact of land use change on habitat quality. The results showed that the interpretation ability of different driving factors was different, 11 driving factors all had better overall interpretation effect, and the ROC values were all above 0.85; the change direction and habitat quality of six land types were different under three scenarios; from 2017 to 2030, the habitat quality index of natural development scenario, ecological protection scenario and farmland protection scenario were 0.78,0.76,0.81 and 0.72, respectively; the habitat quality improved with the increase of altitude and slope, but the changes of habitat quality in different scenarios were different at the same altitude and slope gradient.
参考文献/References:
[1]Van Horne B. Density as a misleading indicator of habitat quality[J]. the Journal of Wildlife Management, 1983,47(4):893-901.
[2]谢余初,巩杰,张素欣,等.基于遥感和InVEST模型的白龙江流域景观生物多样性时空格局研究[J].地理科学,2018,38(6):979-986.
[3]Johnson M D. Measuring habitat quality:A review[J]. Condor, 2007,109(3):489-504.
[4]Grafius D R, Corstanje R, Warren P H, et al. The impact of land use/land cover scale on modelling urban ecosystem services[J]. Landscape Ecology, 92016,31(7):1509-1522.
[5]刘春芳,王川,刘立程.三大自然区过渡带生境质量时空差异及形成机制:以榆中县为例[J].地理研究,2018,37(2):419-432.
[6]冯舒,孙然好,陈利顶.基于土地利用格局变化的北京市生境质量时空演变研究[J].生态学报,2018,38(12):4167-4179.
[7]Falcucci A, Maiorano L, Boitani L. Changes in land-use/land-cover patterns in Italy and their implications for biodiversity conservation[J]. Landscape Ecology, 2007,22(4):617-631.
[8]刘世梁,尹艺洁,杨珏婕,等.漫湾库区景观破碎化对区域生境质量的影响[J].生态学报,2017,37(2):619-627.
[9]吴健生,毛家颖,林倩,等.基于生境质量的城市增长边界研究:以长三角地区为例[J].地理科学,2017,37(1):28-36.
[10]郑宇,张蓬涛,汤峰,等.基于InVEST模型的昌黎县土地利用变化对生境质量的影响研究[J].中国农业资源与区划,2018,39(7):121-128.
[11]Crooks K R, Burdett C L, Theobald D M, et al. Quantification of habitat fragmentation reveals extinction risk in terrestrial mammals[J]. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2017,114(29):7635-7640.
[12]王琼,范志平,李法云,等.蒲河流域河流生境质量综合评价及其与水质响应关系[J].生态学杂志,2015,34(2):516-523.
[13]杨建强,朱永贵,宋文鹏,等.基于生境质量和生态响应的莱州湾生态环境质量评价[J].生态学报,2014,34(1):105-114.
[14]雷呈,黄琪,倪才英,等.袁河流域河流生境质量评价及其影响因素分析[J].江西师范大学学报:自然科学版,2019,43(4):425-432.
[15]彭建,徐飞雄.不同格网尺度下的黄山市生境质量差异分析[J].地球信息科学学报,2019,21(6):887-897.
[16]顾羊羊,黄贤峰,邹长新,等.沅江源自然保护区生境质量变化遥感监测[J].生态与农村环境学报,2019,35(6):764-772.
[17]包玉斌,刘康,李婷,等.基于InVEST模型的土地利用变化对生境的影响:以陕西省黄河湿地自然保护区为例[J].干旱区研究,2015,32(3):622-629.
[18]税燕萍,卢慧婷,王慧芳,等.基于土地覆盖和NDVI变化的拉萨河流域生境质量评估[J].生态学报,2018,38(24):8946-8954.
[19]巩杰,马学成,张玲玲,等.基于InVEST模型的甘肃白龙江流域生境质量时空分异[J].水土保持研究,2018,25(3):191-196.
[20]荣月静,张慧,王岩松.基于Logistic-CA-Markov与InVEST模型对南京市土地利用与生物多样性功能模拟评价[J].水土保持研究,2016,23(3):82-89.
[21]包玉斌,刘康,李婷,等.基于InVEST模型的土地利用变化对生境的影响:以陕西省黄河湿地自然保护区为例[J].干旱区研究,2015,32(3):622-629.
[22]李俊,董锁成,李宇,等.宁蒙沿黄地带城镇用地扩展驱动力分析与情景模拟[J].自然资源学报,2015,30(9):1472-1485.
[23]褚琳,张欣然,王天巍,等.基于CA-Markov和InVEST模型的城市景观格局与生境质量时空演变及预测[J].应用生态学报,2018,29(12):4106-4118.
[24]顾羊羊,黄贤峰,邹长新,等.沅江源自然保护区生境质量变化遥感监测[J].生态与农村环境学报,2019,35(6):764-772.
相似文献/References:
[1]范新军,毕天云.云南边境石漠化地区“三生空间”格局演变及驱动机制[J].水土保持研究,2025,32(06):424.[doi:10.13869/j.cnki.rswc.2025.06.011]
Fan Xinjun,Bi Tianyun.Evolution of production-living-ecological space pattern and its driving mechanisms in rocky desertification areas of Yunnan border region[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2025,32(05):424.[doi:10.13869/j.cnki.rswc.2025.06.011]
[2]孙保平,孙立达.西吉县黄家二岔小流域地表径流和土壤渗透性能的研究[J].水土保持研究,1990,(02):16.
Sun Baoping,Sun Lida.A Research For Soil Permeability and Surface Runoff in Huangjia-Ercha Small Watershed in Xiji County, Ningxia[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,1990,(05):16.
[3]赵昭霞,叶树华.渭南地区土地利用现状简析[J].水土保持研究,1992,(02):35.
Zhao Zhaoxia,Yie Shuhua.ANALYSIS OF LAND UTILIZATION OF WEINAN PREFECTURE[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,1992,(05):35.
[4]杨勤科,郑粉莉,张竹梅.神木试区土地资源与利用[J].水土保持研究,1993,(02):47.
Yang Qinke,Zheng Fenli,Zhang Zhumei.Land Resources and Its Utilization in the Shenmu Experimental Area[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,1993,(05):47.
[5]张希彪,上官周平.陇东黄土高原土地利用空间格局研究[J].水土保持研究,2006,13(04):167.
ZHANG Xi-biao,SHANGGUAN Zhou-ping.Study on the Spatial Pattern of Land-use in Longdong Areas[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2006,13(05):167.
[6]闫岩,雷国平,谢英楠.基于AHP和熵权法的土地利用生态效益研究[J].水土保持研究,2014,21(06):134.
YAN Yan,LEI Guo-ping,XIE Ying-nan.Study on Evaluation of Land Use Ecological Efficiency Based on AHP and Entropy Weight Method[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2014,21(05):134.
[7]路昌,雷国平,张慧,等.黑龙江省哈尔滨市不同土地利用类型的碳排放效应分析[J].水土保持研究,2014,21(06):245.
LU Chang,LEI Guo-ping,ZHANG Hui,et al.Effects of Different Land Use Patterns on Carbon Emission in Harbin City of Heilongjiang Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2014,21(05):245.
[8]陈杰,杨太保,何毅.石羊河下游民勤土地利用及景观格局动态分析[J].水土保持研究,2014,21(06):251.
CHEN Jie,YANG Tai-bao,HE Yi.Analysis on Dynamic Characteristics of Landscape Patterns in Minqin of Shiyang River Downstream[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2014,21(05):251.
[9]申怀飞,侯刚,魏庆伟,等.南水北调中线水源区土地利用/覆被空间格局特征分析[J].水土保持研究,2013,20(06):209.
SHEN Huai-fei,HOU Gang,WEI Qing-wei,et al.The Spatial Distribution of Land Use/Land Cover in the Water Supplying Area of the Middle-Route of the South-to-North Water Diversion (Mr-Snwd) Project[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2013,20(05):209.
[10]周玲,张丽,许君一,等.漓江流域土地利用变化分析及预测[J].水土保持研究,2013,20(06):218.
ZHOU Ling,ZHANG Li,XU Jun-yi,et al.Analysis and Prediction of the Land Use Changes in the Lijiang River Basin[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2013,20(05):218.
[11]陈永国,刘维军,荣月静,等.基于土地利用与植被覆盖度的大通北川河源区自然保护区生境质量评估[J].水土保持研究,2020,27(06):332.
CHEN Yongguo,LIU Weijun,RONG Yuejing,et al.Assessment on Habitat Quality of Datong Beichuan River Source Area Nature Reserve Based on Land Use and Vegetation Coverage[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2020,27(05):332.
[12]路亚方,李红波.2000—2020年基于土地利用变化的生境质量时空动态演变——以武汉城市圈为例[J].水土保持研究,2022,29(06):391.
LU Yafang,LI Hongbo.Temporal and Spatial Dynamic Evolution of Habitat Quality Based on Land Use Change from 2000 to 2020[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2022,29(05):391.
[13]徐 云,高明坤,张增信.基于InVEST模型的长江中下游地区生境质量变化研究[J].水土保持研究,2024,31(05):355.[doi:10.13869/j.cnki.rswc.2024.05.032]
Xu Yun,Gao Mingkun,Zhang Zengxin.Land Use Change and Its Impact on Habitat Quality in the Middle and Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River Based on InVEST Model[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2024,31(05):355.[doi:10.13869/j.cnki.rswc.2024.05.032]
备注/Memo
收稿日期:2019-11-08修回日期:2019-11-28
资助项目:国土资源部公益性行业科研专项经费课题“北方村庄压煤山丘区土地综合整治技术研究”(201411007)
第一作者:和娟(1995—),女,山西晋城人,硕士研究生,主要从事土地利用评价与规划,生态保护与修复方面的研究。E-mail:joann0214@163.com
通信作者:师学义(1960—),男,山西祁县人,博士,教授,主要从事土地利用评价与国土空间规划,生态保护与修复方面的研究。E-mail:shixueyi60@163.com