[1]陶荣,孔雪松,陈翠芳,等.“二调”以来湖北省耕地变化的时空特征及其驱动因子识别[J].水土保持研究,2019,26(06):290-295.
　TAO Rong,KONG Xuesong,CHEN Cuifang,et al.Spatiotemporal Change of Cultivated Land and Its Driving Factors in Hubei Province Since the Second Land Resource Survey[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2019,26(06):290-295.
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“二调”以来湖北省耕地变化的时空特征及其驱动因子识别

《水土保持研究》[ISSN:1005-3409/CN:61-1272/P] 卷: 26 期数: 2019年06期 页码: 290-295 栏目: 出版日期: 2019-10-17
Title:
Spatiotemporal Change of Cultivated Land and Its Driving Factors in Hubei Province Since the Second Land Resource Survey
作者:
陶荣1, 孔雪松2, 陈翠芳1, 刘茜1, 张俊3
1. 湖北省国土资源研究院, 武汉 430071;
2. 武汉大学 资源与环境科学学院, 武汉 430079;
3. 宜城市国土资源局, 湖北 宜城 441499
Author(s):
TAO Rong1, KONG Xuesong2, CHEN Cuifang1, LIU Qian1, ZHANG Jun3
1. Hubei Institute of Land Resources, Wuhan 430071, China;
2. School of Resource and Environmental Sciences, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430079, China;
3. Yicheng Bureau of Land Resources, Yicheng, Hubei 441499, China
关键词:
耕地; 时空特征; 景观格局; 驱动机制; 湖北省
Keywords:
cultivated land; spatiotemporal characteristics; landscape pattern; driving mechanism; Hubei Province
分类号:
F301.21
摘要:
为了识别耕地动态变化特征与驱动机制，基于湖北省第二次土地调查以来的土地利用数据，从省域、县域与地块3个尺度，系统分析了2009-2016年湖北省耕地变化的数量和景观格局特征，运用回归分析定量识别了驱动耕地变化的主要因子。结果表明：（1）湖北省耕地面积呈现出不断下降的趋势，耕地与其他地类之间的转换关系复杂而频繁，城乡建设用地整治已成为耕地补充的重要来源；（2）湖北省大部分地区的耕地斑块密度都呈现出小幅增长的态势，耕地斑块平均规模有下降趋势，耕地斑块形状趋于复杂化，耕地破碎化程度趋于严重。（3）2009-2016年，经济驱动因素对湖北省耕地变化的作用明显，尤以人均GDP的影响最为显著，而自然因素对耕地变化的影响作用相对较小。研究将为统筹耕地资源保护与社会经济发展动态关系，制定区域差异化的耕地资源保护策略提供决策思考。
Abstract:
In order to analyze the dynamic change and its driving forces of cultivated land, the change features of cultivated land in quantity and landscape pattern from provincial, county, and land parcel levels in Hubei Province are analyzed, and the driving factors affecting the change of cultivated land are identified using the regression analysis. The research data are obtained from annual land-use data since the second land resource survey from 2009 to 2016. The results showed that there was a continuous quantity decline of cultivated land, which had a complex transfer relationship with other land-use types. Urban-rural construction land consolidation was an important way to increase cultivated land. Patch density of cultivated land showed a slight increase in most areas of Hubei Province, and the corresponding patch shape was more complex. The fragmentation of cultivated land was becoming more serious. The economic factors had the direct influence on cultivated land change, and the influence of per capital income was the most significant, whereas physical factors had less influence on the change. This study can provide important information for coordinating the dynamic relations between cultivated land protection and socioeconomic development, and formulating regional differentiation strategies for cultivated land protection.

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备注/Memo

收稿日期:2019-02-22;改回日期:2019-03-06。
基金项目:国家自然科学基金（41871182）；湖北省国土资源科研计划（WHZY-FC-201808-114-A）
作者简介:陶荣(1982-),男,湖南邵阳人,高级工程师,主要从事土地利用规划与政策研究。E-mail:1357861891@qq.com
通讯作者:孔雪松(1979-),男,江苏扬州人,博士,副教授,主要从事土地利用规划与管理研究。E-mail:xuesongk@whu.edu.cn

更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01