[1]党丽娟,徐勇.水资源承载力研究进展及启示[J].水土保持研究,2015,22(03):341-348.
　DANG Lijuan,XU Yong.Review of Research Progress in Carrying Capacity of Water Resources[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2015,22(03):341-348.
点击复制

水资源承载力研究进展及启示

《水土保持研究》[ISSN:1005-3409/CN:61-1272/P] 卷: 22 期数: 2015年03期 页码: 341-348 栏目: 出版日期: 2015-06-28
Title:
Review of Research Progress in Carrying Capacity of Water Resources
作者:
党丽娟1,2, 徐勇1
1. 中国科学院 地理科学与资源研究所, 北京 100101;
2. 中国科学院大学, 北京 100049
Author(s):
DANG Lijuan1,2, XU Yong1
1. Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, China;
2. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
关键词:
水资源承载力; 概念; 指标体系; 研究方法; 评述
Keywords:
water resources; carrying capacity; evaluation indicators; calculation method; reviews
分类号:
TV213
摘要:
水资源是资源环境的重要组成之一，对水资源承载力研究历程、方法及应用成果的梳理总结，有益于我国资源环境承载能力监测预警工作的开展以及生态文明的建设。该文在划分国内外关于水资源承载力研究历程阶段特征的基础上，重点对水资源承载力的概念、指标体系及研究方法等进展进行了总结评述。研究认为：（1）水资源承载力内容主要集中在水资源开发规模、水资源承载最大人口规模以及经济系统持续发展规模等方面；（2）水资源承载力指标体系的建立不应以数量多占优，关键在于建立水资源系统与被承载对象之间的耦合关系，即成为联接被承载对象（人口、经济、生态）结构、规模及未来发展变化的桥梁，实现各个指标能够清晰解释承载力所刻画的内容及特征；（3）水资源承载力研究方法可概括为现状评价方法和情景预测方法，分别对应水资源的开发能力和对经济社会可持续发展的支撑规模。基于人均综合效用水平的水资源承载力的研究，如何量化可持续发展这一概念成为研究难点。该研究认为以最小用水单元为主线，通过每个用水单元与社会、经济、生态、环境系统的联接关系，构建用水指标体系，从而确定水资源承载的各个系统发展潜力和规模，可为区域发展和水资源承载力的研究提供新思路。
Abstract:
Water resources is one of the most critical factors of resources and environment. The review of research on water resources carrying capacity including research history, method and application is not only beneficial to implement of monitoring and forecasting the national resources and environmental carrying capacity, but also valuable to ecological civilization construction. By analyzing the feature and phases division of domestic and international research history on carrying capacity of water resources we reviewed and summarized the definition, indicator systems and calculation methods of water resources carrying capacity. This research suggested that: (1) maximum water resources development scale, maximum population scale and sustainable economic scale were emphasized in previous researches; (2) building up the tight coupling between water resources system and carrier of water resources carrying capacity was more critical than list quantity of indicators, the indicators connecting the water resources system and the structure, scale and tendency of population, economic and ecological system could describe the feature and content of carrying capacity in a clear way; (3) the representative method could be categorized into assessment method and forecast method, which is specific to maximum water resources development scale and social-economic supporting scale. Although these researches have achieved great advances and made substantial progress, how to qualify the sustainable development in this field becomes difficulty to determine the social-economic scale and capability of water resources development. The way of taking minimum water utilization units as thread, by connecting social, economic, ecological and environment system, constructing effective index system to calculate the potential and scale for regional development, could be the reference and idea for the future researches.

参考文献/References:

[1] 刘昌明,王红瑞.浅析水资源与人口、经济和社会环境的关系[J].自然资源学报,2003,18(4):635-644.
[2] 樊杰.我国主体功能区划的科学基础[J].地理学报,2007,62(4):339-350.
[3] 汪党献,王浩,马静.中国区域发展的水资源支撑能力[J].水利学报,2000,21(11):21-26.
[4] 王浩.区域缺水状态的识别及其多维调控[J].资源科学,2003,25(3):66-74.
[5] Magrath J. WWDR2:Water, a Shared Responsibility[R]. Mexico:Development in Practice,2006.
[6] Meadows D H, Meadows D, Randers J, et al. The Limits to Growth:A Report for the Club of Rome’s Project on the Predicament of Mankind[M]. New York:Universe Books,1972.
[7] Park R E, Burgess E W. Introduction to the Science of Sociology[M]. Chicago:University of Chicago Press,1921.
[8] Karanth K R. Ground Water Assessment:Development and Management[M]. New York:Tata McGraw-Hill Education,1987.
[9] Allan W. The African Husbandman[M]. London:LIT Verlag Münster,1965.
[10] Higgins G M, Kassam A H, Naiken L, et al. Potential population supporting capacities of lands in the developing world[R]. Roma:FAO,1982.
[11] 张威,郭善丽莉,穆克华,等.资源环境因素对城市建设用地增长的影响[J].水土保持研究,2006,13(6):255-259.
[12] Uzun O, Müderrisglu H. Visual landscape quality in landscape planning:Examples of Kars and Ardahan cities in Turkey[J]. African Journal of Agricultural Research,2011,6(6):1627-1638.
[13] Sleeser M. Enhancement of Carrying Capacity Options[M]. London:The Resource Use Institute,1990.
[14] Harris J M. Carrying capacity in agriculture:Globe and regional issue[J]. Ecological Economics,1999,129(3):443-461.
[15] Peterson D H. Florida keys carrying capacity study[J]. Proceedings of the Water Environment Federation,2002(13):489-501.
[16] Sawunyama T, Senzanje A, Mhizha A. Estimation of small reservoir storage capacities in Limpopo River Basin using geographical information systems (GIS) and remotely sensed surface areas:Case of Mzingwane catchment[J]. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Parts A/B/C,2006,31(15):935-943.
[17] 汤奇成.塔里木盆地水资源与绿洲建设[J].干旱区资源与环境,1990,4(3):110-116.
[18] 新疆水资源软科学课题研究组.新疆水资源及其承载能力和开发战略对策[J].水利水电技术,1989(6):1-7,9.
[19] 惠泱河,蒋晓辉,黄强,等.二元模式下水资源承载力系统动态仿真模型研究[J].地理研究.2001,20(2):191-198.
[20] 李丽娟.柴达木盆地水资源承载力研究[J].环境科学,2000,23(2):20-23.
[21] 王煌,杨立彬,张新海,等.西北地区水资源承载能力研究[J].水科学进展,2001,12(2):523-529.
[22] 王浩,秦大庸,王建华,等.西北内陆干旱区水资源承载能力研究[J].自然资源学报.2004,19(2):151-159.
[23] 许有鹏.干旱区水资源承载能力综合评价研究:以新疆和田河流域为例[J].自然资源学报,1993,8(3):229-237.
[24] 高彦春,刘昌明.区域水资源开发利用的阈限研究[J].水利学报,1997(8):73-79.
[25] 施雅风,曲耀光.乌鲁木齐河流域水资源承载力及其合理利用[M].北京:科学出版社,1992:48-63.
[26] 惠泱河.水资源承载力评价指标体系研究[J].水土保持通报,2001,12(2):85-89.
[27] 谢高地,周海林等.中国水资源对发展的承载能力研究[J].资源科学,2005,27(4):2-7.
[28] 阮本青,沈晋.区域水资源适度承载能力计算模型研究[J].土壤侵蚀与水土保持学报,1998,4(3):57-61,85.
[29] 何希吾.水资源承载力[M].北京:中国大百科全书出版社,2000:155-162.
[30] 夏军,朱一中.水资源安全的度量:水资源承载力的研究与挑战[J].自然资源学报,2002,17(3):262-269.
[31] 段春青,刘昌明,陈晓楠,等.区域水资源承载力概念及研究方法的探讨[J].地理学报,2010,65(1):82-90.
[32] 冯尚友,刘国金.水资源生态经济复合系统及其持续发展[J].武汉水利电力大学学报,1995,28(6):624-629.
[33] 姚治君,王建华,江东,等.区域水资源承载力的研究进展及其理论探析[J].水科学进展,2002,13(1):111-115.
[34] 朱一中,夏军,谈戈.关于水资源承载力理论与方法的研究[J].地理科学进展,2002,21(2):180-188.
[35] 张永勇,夏军,王中根.区域水资源承载力理论与方法探讨[J].地理科学进展,2007,26(2):126-132.
[36] 徐德鸿.区域工业用水与工业结构调整系统分析[J].环境科学研究,1990,3(4):1-6.
[37] 程国栋.承载力概念的演变及西北水资源承载力的应用框架[J].冰川冻土,2002,24(4):361-367.
[38] 陈洋波,陈俊合.水资源承载能力研究中的若干问题探讨[J].中山大学学报:自然科学版,2004(S1):181-185.
[39] 徐良芳,冯国章,刘俊民.区域水资源可持续利用及其评价指标体系研究[J].西北农林科技大学学报,2002,20(6):119-122.
[40] 贾绍凤,张军岩,张士锋.区域水资源压力指数与水资源安全评价指标体系[J].地理科学进展,2002,21(6):538-545.
[41] 刘恒,耿雷华,陈晓燕.区域水资源可持续利用评价指标体系的建立[J].水科学进展,2003,14(3):265-270.
[42] 王友贞,施国庆,王德胜.区域水资源承载力评价指标体系的研究[J].自然资源学报,2005,20(4):597-604.
[43] 曲耀光,樊胜岳.黑和流域水资源承载力分析计算与对策[J].中国沙漠,2000,20(1):1-8.
[44] 刘佳骏,董锁成,李泽红.中国水资源承载力综合评价研究[J].自然资源学报,2011,26(2):258-269.
[45] 林衍,顾恒岳,盛湘渝.模糊综合评判误判原因的探讨[J].系统工程理论方法应用,1997,6(2):67-70.
[46] 傅湘,纪昌明.区域水资源承载能力综合评价:主成分分析法的应用[J].长江流域资源与环境,1999,8(2):168-173.
[47] 王建华,江东,顾定法,等.基于SD模型的干旱区城市水资源承载力预测研究[J].地理学与国土研究,1999,15(2):18-22.
[48] 陈冰,李丽娟,郭怀成,等.柴达木盆地水资源承载方案系统分析[J].环境科学,2000,5(3):17-21.
[49] 刘树峰,陈俊合.基于神经网络理论的水资源承载力研究[J].资源科学,2007,29(1):99-105.
[50] 董益华,王延辉,李跃鹏.基于多目标遗传算法的水资源承载力模型研究[J].黑龙江水专学报,2007,34(3):41-43.
[51] 冯尚友.水资源持续利用与管理导论[M].北京:科学出版社,2000:213-215.
[52] 王顺久,侯玉,张欣莉,等.流域水资源承载能力的综合评价方法[J].水利学报,2003(1):88-92.
[53] 孙才志,左海军,杨静.基于极大熵原理的黄河流域水资源承载力研究:以山西段为例[J].资源科学,2004,26(2):17-22.
[54] 丁爱中,陈德胜,潘成忠,等.基于粗糙集和集对分析的中国水资源承载力现状评价[J].南水北调与水利科技,2010(3):71-75.
[55] 熊建新,陈端吕,彭保发,等.2001-2010年洞庭湖区经济、社会和环境变化及其生态承载力响应[J].地理科学进展,2014,33(3):356-363.
[56] 党丽娟,徐勇,王志强.陕西省榆林市水资源人口承载规模研究[J].水土保持研究,2014,21(3):90-97.

相似文献/References:

[1]张戈平,朱连勇.水资源承载力研究理论及方法初探[J].水土保持研究,2003,10(02):148.
　ZHANG Geping,ZHU Lianyong.Primary Study on the Theories and Process of Water Resources Carrying Capacity[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2003,10(03):148.
[2]张素珍,宋保平.白洋淀水资源承载力研究[J].水土保持研究,2004,11(02):100.
　ZHANG Su-zhen,SONG Bao-ping.Study on Water Resources Carrying Capacity of Baiyangdian Lake[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2004,11(03):100.
[3]王磊,章光新.吉林省中部水资源承载力研究[J].水土保持研究,2005,12(05):224.
　WANG Lei,ZHANG Guang-xin.Research on Carrying Capacity of Water Resource in the Middle Part of Jilin Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2005,12(03):224.
[4]梁春玲,张祖陆.肥城市水资源承载力评价[J].水土保持研究,2006,13(02):223.
　LIANG Chun-ling,ZHANG Zu-lu.Water Resources Carrying Capacity Assessment of Feicheng City[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2006,13(03):223.
[5]王智勇,郑昭佩,韩美,等.水资源承载力分析预测——以莒南县为例[J].水土保持研究,2006,13(05):114.
　WANG Zhi-yong,ZHENG Zhao-pei,HAN Mei,et al.Analysis and Prediction on Water Resource Carrying Capacity——A Case of Jünan County[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2006,13(03):114.
[6]苑涛,何秉宇.干旱区水资源承载力分析及应用[J].水土保持研究,2007,14(03):341.
　YUAN Tao,HE Bing-yu.Research and Application of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Arid Area[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2007,14(03):341.
[7]邵金花,刘贤赵.烟台市水资源承载力的RBF神经网络评价法[J].水土保持研究,2007,14(06):115.
　SHAO Jin-hua,LIU Xian-zhao.Comprehensive Evaluation on Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Yantai City Based on Radial Basis Function Neural Network[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2007,14(03):115.
[8]赵国华,翟国静,李晓粤,等.水资源承载力的内涵与理论探析[J].水土保持研究,2007,14(06):289.
　ZHAO Guo-hua,ZHAI Guo-jing,LI Xiao-yue,et al.Researches on Connotation and Theory of Water Resource Carrying Capacity[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2007,14(03):289.
[9]王江,李靖,魏红义,等.基于TOPSIS法的区域水资源承载力预测评价——以陕西省关中地区为例[J].水土保持研究,2008,15(03):161.
　WANG Jiang,LI Jing,WEI Hong-yi,et al.The Forecast Evaluation of Water Resources Carrying Capacity of Regional Water Resources Based on TOPSIS Model——A Case Study of Guanzhong Region in Shaanxi Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2008,15(03):161.
[10]阚宝珠,付强,宋族鑫.基于五元联系数的湿地广义水资源承载力分析[J].水土保持研究,2009,16(01):230.
　KAN Bao-zhu,FU Qiang,SONG Zu-xin.Evaluation on Wetland Water Resources Carrying Capacity Based on Five-Element Connection Number[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2009,16(03):230.

备注/Memo

收稿日期:2014-08-26;改回日期:2014-09-05。
基金项目:国家自然科学资助项目“黄土高原半城镇化农民非农生计”（41171449）
作者简介:党丽娟(1988-),女,陕西神木人,博士研究生,研究方向为区域可持续发展。E-mail:danglijuan@gmail.com
通讯作者:徐勇(1964-),男,陕西榆林人,研究员,主要从事区域可持续发展、土地利用与人地关系机理模拟研究。E-mail:xuy@igsnrr.ac.cn

更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01