REN Chun-yan.Zhifanggou Valley Agricultural Eco-economic System Benefit Evaluation Based on Analytic Hierarchy Process[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2011,18(04):214-217,222.
基于层次分析法的纸坊沟流域农业生态经济系统效益评价
- Title:
- Zhifanggou Valley Agricultural Eco-economic System Benefit Evaluation Based on Analytic Hierarchy Process
- Keywords:
- analytic hierarchy process; agricultural eco-economic system; index system; effective evaluation; Zhifanggou watershed
- 分类号:
- F323
- 摘要:
- 通过对农业生态经济系统效益进行量化，判断区域农业生态经济效益的发展趋势，为优化产业结构提供依据。以纸坊沟流域为例，对2001-2008年农业经济调查数据进行分析，运用层次分析法对农业生态经济系统效益评价体系进行分析，通过专家咨询法确定关键指标及其权重，结合相关评价标准及打分法（10分制）对数据进行标准化，利用权重及标准化值对数据进行归一化处理，得出农业生态经济系统效益评价的量化结果。结果表明：2001年、2005年和2008年纸坊沟流域农业生态经济系统效益综合分值分别为5.409、6.153和7.026，分别为“中等”和“良好”级。层次分析法可进行定量-定性转换，更加直观地表达流域农业生态经济系统效益变化趋势。
- Abstract:
- By quantifying the benefit of the agricultural eco-economic system, the development trend was estimated, in order to provide evidence for adjusting the agricultural structure. We analyzed the surveyed data of agricultural economic from 2001 to 2008 in Zhifanggou Valley, analyzed the benefit of the agricultural eco-economic system by analytic hierarchy process (AHP), decided the key indices and their weights by referring experts, standard the original data by reference and grading (ten point), united them by their weights and standard data. The result showed that value of 2001, 2005 and 2008 were 5.409, 6.153 and 7.026, respectively, the grades are ‘middling’ or ‘well’. By applying the AHP, we can get the quantitative or qualitative result, and can estimate the development trend of the benefit more directly.
参考文献/References:
[1] 刘普灵, 王栓全, 田均良, 等.黄土高原中部丘陵区生态农业建设模式研究[J].水土保持研究, 2000, 7(2):34-38.
[2] 胡永宏.综合评价方法[M].北京:科学出版社, 2000.
[3] 孔正红.黄土高原丘陵沟壑区小流域优化生态-生产范式[D].北京:中国科学院研究生院, 2002.
[4] 谢季坚, 刘承平.模糊数学方法及其应用[M].武汉:华南理工大学出版社, 2006:1-7.
[5] Shim J P.Bibliographical research on the analytic hierarchy process(AHP)[J].J.Soho-Economic Planning Sciences, 1989, 23:161-167.
[6] 王继军, 权松安, 谢永生, 等.流域生态经济系统建设模式研究[J].生态经济, 2005(10):136-140.
[7] 王继军, 郑科, 郑世清, 等.中尺度生态农业建设效益评价指标体系研究[J].水土保持研究, 2000, 7(3):219-247.
[8] 周上游.农业生态安全与评价体系研究[D].长沙:中南林学院, 2004.
[9] 李芬, 王继军.黄土丘陵区纸坊沟流域农业生态安全评价指标体系初探[J].水土保持通报, 2007, 27(6):184-188.
[10] 曹利军.可持续发展评价理论与方法[M].北京:科学出版社, 1999:56-57, 72, 118-182.
[11] 齐鑫山.山东省生态农业综合评价标准值的确定及其应用[J].生态农业研究, 1995, 3(3):34-41.
[12] 曹凑贵, 陈聿华.农业生态系统评价若干问题探讨[J].生态农业研究, 1994, 2(2):69-74.
[13] 刘新生, 郑少锋, 崔百胜.农业经济效益评价的综合指数法探讨[J].西北农林科技大学学报:社会科学版, 2003, 3(5):42-44.
[14] 吴佐礼, 陈聿华.农业生态系统综合评价指标体系及其权重探讨[J].生态农业研究, 1996, 4(2):28-31.
[15] 左伟, 王桥, 王文杰, 等.区域生态安全评价指标与标准研究[J].地理学与国土研究, 2002, 18(1):67-71.
[16] 刘昌明.西北地区水资源配置生态环境建设和可持续发展战略研究:生态环境卷[M].北京:科学出版社, 2004:273.
[17] 王继军.纸坊沟流域农业生态经济系统建设及其投入问题分析[J].世界科技研究与展, 2001, 22(3):56-58.
[18] 梁一民, 刘普灵, 王继军.退耕还林还草, 实现黄土丘陵区农田生产力的跃迁[J].中国农业科技导报, 2003, 5(6):56-59.
[19] 陕西统计局.陕西省统计年鉴(1989-2006)[M].北京:中国统计出版社, 1989-2006.
[20] 曹利军.可持续发展评价理论与方法[M].北京:科学出版社, 1999:56-57, 72, 118-182.
[21] 曾建权.层次分析法在确定企业家评价指标权重中的应用[J].南京理工大学学报, 2004, 2(1):99-104.
[22] 徐勇, 徐炯心, 房金福.黄土高原中部丘陵区(中尺度)农村经济特征、制约因素与发展对策[J].水土保持研究, 2000, 7(2):14-21.
[23] 吴国庆.区域农业可持续发展的生态安全及其评价研究[J].自然资源学报, 2001, 16(3):227-233.
[24] 吴开亚, 何琼, 孙世群.区域生态安全的主成分投影评价模型及应用[J].中国管理科学, 2004, 12(1):106-109.
[25] 王振祥, 朱晓东, 石磊, 等.安徽省沿淮地区生态安全评价模型和指标体系[J].应用生态学报, 2006, 17(12):2431-2435.
相似文献/References:
[1]刘建,何宗,张治清.基于GIS的蒲江县生态环境综合评价研究[J].水土保持研究,2012,19(05):130.
LIU Jian,HE Zong,ZHANG Zhi-qing.The Research of Comprehensive Evaluation of the Ecological Environment Based on GIS in Pujiang County[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2012,19(04):130.
[2]李相玺,左长清,姚毅臣,等.花岗岩侵蚀区植被层次结构优化模式研究[J].水土保持研究,1997,4(01):202.
Li Xiangxi,Zuo Changqing,Yao Yichen,et al.Research on the Optimization of Vegetation Stratum Structure in the Granite Soil Eroded Region[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,1997,4(04):202.
[3]鞠远江,曾思伟,刘耕年.泥石流沟最优治理方案选择的层次分析法模型[J].水土保持研究,2003,10(03):52.
JU Yuan-jiang,ZENG Si-wei,LIU Geng-nian.AHP Model Decides the Most Suited Controlling Scheme to Special Debris Flow Gully[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2003,10(04):52.
[4]安韶山,黄懿梅,刘梦云,等.宁南宽谷丘陵区土壤肥力质量对生态恢复的响应[J].水土保持研究,2005,12(03):22.
AN Shao-shan,HUANG Yi-mei,LIU Meng-yun,et al.The Responses of Soil Fertility Quality to Ecological Rehabilitation in Ningxia Loess Hilly-gully Region[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2005,12(04):22.
[5]刘梦云,安韶山,常庆瑞,等.宁南山区不同土地利用方式土壤质量评价[J].水土保持研究,2005,12(03):35.
LIU Meng-yun,AN Shao-shan,CHANG Qing-rui,et al.Soil Quality Evaluation Under Different Land Use in Southern Ningxia Mountain Area[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2005,12(04):35.
[6]李苏楠,赵延治,史培军.西藏高原生态安全评价方法与应用—以西藏自治区曲松县为例[J].水土保持研究,2005,12(06):142.
LI Su-nan,ZHAO Yan-zhi,SHI Pei-jun.Method and Application of Ecological Security Analysis in Tibet Plateau——A Case Study in Qusum County[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2005,12(04):142.
[7]李林,付强,贺延国.模糊物元模型在新疆农业水资源可持续利用评价中的应用[J].水土保持研究,2006,13(04):46.
LI Lin,FU Qiang,HE Yan-guo.Fuzzy Matterelement Model for Evaluating Sustainable Utilization of Agriculture Water Resources in Xinjiang[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2006,13(04):46.
[8]王敏,刘厚凤,郑新奇.土地利用规划的环境影响评价实证研究[J].水土保持研究,2006,13(06):150.
WANG Min,LIU Hou-feng,ZHENG Xin-qi.The Environmental Impact Assessment in Land Use Planning of Jinan[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2006,13(04):150.
[9]吴敏,陈永波.应用层次分析法进行金龙山滑坡危险度研究[J].水土保持研究,2008,15(02):239.
WU Min,CHEN Yong-bo.Study on the Danger Degree of Jinlongshan Landslide Using Analytic Hierarchy Process[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2008,15(04):239.
[10]常玉光,樊良新,宋琼.基于生态承载力的焦作市可持续发展能力研究[J].水土保持研究,2008,15(05):180.
CHANG Yu-guang,FAN Liang-xin,SONG Qiong.Study on the Sustainable Development Ability of Jiaozuo Based on ECC[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2008,15(04):180.
备注/Memo
收稿日期:2011-1-20;改回日期:2011-2-22。
基金项目:国家科技支撑课题（2006BAD09B07）
作者简介:任春燕（1983- ），女，陕西户县人，硕士，从事园林生态学研究。E-mail：chunyan_0320@163.com