[1]贺瑞敏,王国庆.环境变化对黄河中游伊洛河流域径流量的影响[J].水土保持研究,2007,14(02):297-298,301.
HE Rui-min,WANG Guo-qing.Impacts of Environmental Change on Runoff in the Yiluohe River Basin of the Middle Yellow River[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2007,14(02):297-298,301.
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《水土保持研究》[ISSN:1005-3409/CN:61-1272/P]
卷:
14
期数:
2007年02期
页码:
297-298,301
栏目:
出版日期:
1900-01-01
- Title:
-
Impacts of Environmental Change on Runoff in the Yiluohe River Basin of the Middle Yellow River
- 作者:
-
贺瑞敏1, 王国庆1,2,1,3
-
1. 河海大学水资源环境学院, 南京, 210098;
2. 黄河水利委员会, 郑州, 450003;
3. 南京水利科学研究院, 南京, 210029
- Author(s):
-
HE Rui-min1, WANG Guo-qing1,2,1,3
-
1. Department of water resources and environment, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China;
2. Yellow River Conservancy Commission, Zhengzhou 450003, China;
3. Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210029, China
-
- 关键词:
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伊洛河; 澳大利亚水量平衡模型; 气候变化; 人类活动; 径流变化
- Keywords:
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Yiluohe River basin; AWBM model; climate change; human activities; runoff variation
- 分类号:
-
P332.4
- 摘要:
-
水量平衡模型是目前水文及环境分析中最常用的工具和手段。首先介绍了澳大利亚水量平衡模型(AWBM模型)的结构及计算原理,并利用黄河中游伊洛河流域天然时期的降水径流资料对该模型进行了率定;基于天然月流量过程模拟,分析了环境变化对该流域径流量的影响。结果表明:AWBM模型对伊洛河逐月径流过程具有良好的模拟效果,率定期和检验期的Nash-Sutcliffe模型效率系数均在75%以上;20世纪80年代,人类活动和气候变化对径流的影响量相对低于其它时期,就平均而言,降水减少是伊洛河流域径流减少的主要原因,人类活动和降水变化对径流的影响分别占径流减少总量的42%和58%。
- Abstract:
-
Water Balance Model is one of important tools in the modern basin management. Structure and principle of Australia Water Balance Model (AWBM Model) was presented firstly. And the model was calibrated and verified with natural hydro-meteorological data in Yiluohe River basin of the middle Yellow River. Based on simulation for natural monthly discharge at Heishiguan hydrometric station, the impacts of environmental change on runoff at the gauging station were analyzed. And results show that AWBM model has good simulation result for monthly discharge at Heishiguan hydrometric station, Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficients in calibration period and verification period were both above 75%. Absolute runoff reductions caused by human activities and climate change in 1980s were lower than that in other periods. Rainfall reduction is main reason of sharply decrease in runoff. And on average, 42% and 58% of total runoff reduction were caused by human activities and climate change.
参考文献/References:
[1] 陈江南,王云璋,徐建华.黄土高原水土保持对水资源和泥沙影响评价方法研究[M].郑州:人民黄河出版社,2005.
[2] 水利部水文信息中心.国家"九五"重中之重科技攻关专题(96-908-03-02)"气候异常对中国水资源及水分循环影响评估模型研究"[R].2000.
[3] Boughton,W C.A simple model for estimating the water yield of ungauged catchments[J].Inst.Engs.Australia,Civil Engg.Trans.,1984,26(2):83-88.
[4] Boughton,W C.An Australian water balance model for semiarid watersheds[J].Jour.Soil and Water Cons.,1995,50(5):454-457.
[5] Nash J E,Sutcliffe J.River flow forecasting through conceptual models,Part 1,A discussion of principles[J].Journal of Hydrology,1970,(10):282-290.
更新日期/Last Update:
1900-01-01