PDF Download

[1]HOU Lipeng,ZHAO Rongqin,LIU Ying,et al.Carbon Emission Pressure and Its Prediction of Zhengzhou City Based on Carbon Budget Estimation[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2016,23(02):207-212,219.

Copy

Carbon Emission Pressure and Its Prediction of Zhengzhou City Based on Carbon Budget Estimation

Research of Soil and Water Conservation[ISSN 1005-3409/CN 61-1272/P] Volume: 23 Number of periods: 2016 02 Page number: 207-212,219 Column: Public date: 2016-04-28

Title:: Carbon Emission Pressure and Its Prediction of Zhengzhou City Based on Carbon Budget Estimation

Author(s):: HOU Lipeng¹, ZHAO Rongqin¹, LIU Ying², LIU Bingtao³, DING Minglei¹, ZHANG Zhanping¹; 1. School of Resources and Environment, North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou 450045, China;
2. School of Civil Engineering, Zhengzhou Institute of Aeronautical Industry Management, Zhengzhou 450046, China;
3. School of Environmental and Municipal Engineering, North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou 450045, China

Keywords:: carbon budget estimation; Zhengzhou; carbon emission pressure; prediction

CLC:: X502

DOI:: -

Abstract:: Urban carbon budget estimation is one of the key topics of the study on global climate change. Carrying out the carbon budget estimation of cities not only helps build the theoretical framework of regional carbon balance analysis,but also has great significance for the compilation of regional greenhouse gas inventory and the choice of low-carbon development pattern. Zhengzhou City was chosen as an example and the carbon emissions in the year 2030 was predicted by adopting the liner regression method and the least squre method.The low-carbon urban development policy suggestions were put forward on the basis of urban carbon budget study. The main conclusion are as follows. (1) The carbon emission and the carbon sink were not matching obviously. The carbon emission and its growth rate were significantly more than the carbon sink. Among them, the energy activities and the crops were the main source of carbon emission and carbon sink, respectively, and both of which accounted for more than 80% of the emission/sink. (2) The carbon intensity of Zhengzhou presented the decline trend, suggesting that carbon intensity improved significantly along with the implementation of policies of the energy conservation and emission reduction and the transformation of the regional pattern of development. However, the economic growth and the carbon emission were in the weak decoupling state and the development of economic still relied on the consumption of energy and the emission of carbon. (3) According to the prediction we find that there will be a substantial increase of the carbon emission in 2030 compared with the emissions of 2012, but the carbon efficiency will enhance gradually and the expected emission growth rate will decline.

References:: [1] Pearce F. Climate change:Menace or myth?[J]. New Scientist, 2005(2486):38-43.
[2] Allen M R, Frame D J, Huntingford C, et al. Warming caused by cumulative carbon emissions towards the trillionth tonne[J]. Nature,2009,458(7242):1163-1166.
[3] 方精云,朱江玲,王少鹏,等.全球变暖,碳排放及不确定性[J].中国科学:地球科学,2011,41(10):1385-1395.
[4] 朱永彬,王铮,庞丽,等.基于经济模拟的中国能源消费与碳排放高峰预测[J].地理学报,2009,64(8):935-944.
[5] 刘燕华,葛全胜,何凡能,等.应对国际CO2减排压力的途径及我国减排潜力分析[J].地理学报,2008,63(7):675-682.
[6] Joos F, Kaplan J, Kicklighter D W, et al. Carbon balance of the terrestrial biosphere in the twentieth century:Analyses of CO₂, climate and land use effects with four process-based ecosystem models[J]. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 2001,15(1):183-206.
[7] 王绍强,周成虎,刘纪远,等.东北地区陆地碳循环平衡模拟分析[J].地理学报,2001,56(4):390-400.
[8] Nowak D J, Crane D E. Carbon storage and sequestration by urban trees in the USA[J]. Environmental Pollution, 2002,116(3):381-389.
[9] Nowak D J. Atmospheric carbon reduction by urban trees[J]. Journal of environmental management, 1993,37(3):207-217.
[10] Koerner B, Klopatek J. Anthropogenic and natural CO₂ em-ission sources in an arid urban environment[J]. Environmental Pollution, 2002,116:45-51.
[11] Jo H K. Impacts of urban greenspace on offsetting carbon emissions for middle Korea[J]. Journal of Environmental Management, 2002,64(2):115-126.
[12] Escobedo F, Varela S, Zhao M, et al. Analyzing the efficacy of subtropical urban forests in offsetting carbon emissions from cities[J]. Environmental Science & Policy, 2010,13(5):362-372.
[13] Marchi M, Jorgensen S E, Pulselli F M, et al. Modelling the carbon cycle of Siena Province (Tuscany, central Italy)[J]. Ecological Modelling, 2012,225:40-60.
[14] Bullock S H, Escoto-Rodríguez M, Smith S V, et al. Carbon flux of an urban system in Mexico[J]. Journal of Industrial Ecology, 2011,15(4):512-526.
[15] Christen A, Coops N C, Kellett R, et al. A LiDAR-based urban metabolism approach to neighbourhood scale energy and carbon emissions modelling[D]. Canada:University of British Columbia,2010.
[16] 钱杰.大都市碳源碳汇研究:以上海市为例[D].上海:华东师范大学,2004.
[17] 马巾英,尹锴,吝涛.城市复合生态系统碳氧平衡分析:以沿海城市厦门为例[J].环境科学学报,2011,31(8):1808-1816.
[18] 张颖,王群,李边疆,等.应用碳氧平衡法测算生态用地需求量实证研究[J].中国土地科学,2008,21(6):23-28.
[19] Zhao M, Kong Z, Escobedo F J, et al. Impacts of urban forests on offsetting carbon emissions from industrial energy use in Hangzhou, China[J]. Journal of Environmental Management, 2010,91(4):807-813.
[20] 赵荣钦,黄贤金,钟太洋.中国不同产业空间的碳排放强度与碳足迹分析[J].地理学报,2010,65(9):1048-1057.
[21] 赵荣钦,黄贤金,高珊,等.江苏省碳排放清单测算及减排潜力分析[J].地域研究与开发,2013,32(2):109-115.
[22] 孙建卫,陈志刚,赵荣钦,等.基于投入产出分析的中国碳排放足迹研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2010,20(5):28-34.
[23] 谢鸿宇,陈贤生,林凯荣,等.基于碳循环的化石能源及电力生态足迹[J].生态学报,2008,28(4):1729-1735.
[24] 赖力,黄贤金,刘伟良,等.基于投入产出技术的区域生态足迹调整分析:以2002年江苏为例[J].生态学报,2006,26(4):1285-1292.
[25] 赵荣钦,刘英,郝仕龙,等.低碳土地利用模式研究[J].水土保持研究,2010,17(5):190-194.
[26] 刘英,赵荣钦,焦士兴.河南省土地利用碳源/汇及其变化分析[J].水土保持研究,2010,17(5):154-157.
[27] 赵荣钦.城市系统碳循环及土地调控研究[M].南京:南京大学出版社,2012.
[28] 庄贵阳.低碳经济:气候变化背景下中国的发展之路[M].北京:气象出版社,2007.

Similar References:

Memo

Last Update: 1900-01-01