[1]JIANG Pingping,CHEN Yinrong,ZHANG Miao.Analysis and Prediction of Ecological Footprint Under the Concept of Low-Carbon in Wuhan[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2015,22(01):246-251.
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Research of Soil and Water Conservation[ISSN 1005-3409/CN 61-1272/P] Volume:
22
Number of periods:
2015 01
Page number:
246-251
Column:
Public date:
2015-02-28
- Title:
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Analysis and Prediction of Ecological Footprint Under the Concept of Low-Carbon in Wuhan
- Author(s):
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JIANG Pingping, CHEN Yinrong, ZHANG Miao
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College of Land Management, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan 430070, China
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- Keywords:
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low-carbon land use; per capita ecological footprint; per capita ecological capacity; gray system
- CLC:
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F062.2
- DOI:
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- Abstract:
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The society development makes human beings towards into the turning point from the industrial civilization era to the ecological civilization era. Advocating a low-carbon economy and constructing the ecological civilization have become the main theme of this period. Based on the ecological footprint model, we calculated the per capita ecological footprint and per capita ecological capacity of Wuhan from 1996 to 2010. Then we forested the ecological footprint conditions from 2011 to 2015 by the model of gray system GM (1,1). Last we drew four conclusions: (1) the per capita ecological footprint increased in Wuhan in 1996—2010; (2) there was a tendency that the available per capita ecological capacity declined as a whole; (3) Wuhan has been in ecological deficit, the index of ecological pressure continues to be high; (4) the per capita ecological footprint increased year by year, while the per capita ecological capacity was decreasing. According to the current model of development, the rate of the per capita ecological deficit will reach upto 253% by 2015. Therefore, promoting the development of low-carbon economy vigorously and building a resource-saving and environment-friendly society have become an important part of the sustainable development strategy of Wuhan City.