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[1]LIU Wei-ling,ZHANG Lin-bo,GONG Bin,et al.Co-integration Analysis-Based Environmental Kuznets Curve of Carbon Emission from Land Use in Shenzhen City[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2013,20(04):172-178.

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Co-integration Analysis-Based Environmental Kuznets Curve of Carbon Emission from Land Use in Shenzhen City

Research of Soil and Water Conservation[ISSN 1005-3409/CN 61-1272/P] Volume: 20 Number of periods: 2013 04 Page number: 172-178 Column: Public date: 2013-08-28

Title:: Co-integration Analysis-Based Environmental Kuznets Curve of Carbon Emission from Land Use in Shenzhen City

Author(s):: LIU Wei-ling^1,2, ZHANG Lin-bo^1,2, GONG Bin^1,2, Wang Li-xia^1,2, ZHANG Ji-ping^1,2, ZHANG Li-li^1,2,3; 1. State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Regional Ecological Processes and Functions Assessment, Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing 100012, China;
2. State Environment Protection Key Laboratory of Regional Eco-process and Function Assessment, Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing 100012, China;
3. Southwest Forestry University, Kunming 650224, China

Keywords:: land use change; carbon emission; CKC(Carbon emissions Environmental Kuznets Curve); co-integration analysis; Shenzhen city

CLC:: F062.2

DOI:: -

Abstract:: With extremely intensifying urbanization and industrialization in China, the carbon emission effect caused by land use changes and energy consumption becomes an essential factor influencing China’s target of carbon emission reduction. The study of Carbon Emissions Environmental Kuznets Curve (CKC) can not only predict the occurrence of inflection-point for carbon emission， but also reveal the dynamic relationship between economic development and carbon emission.Takimg Shenzhen city as a typical case, the land-use and energy consumption carbon emission data of 1979—2010 years was utilized and the simplified CKC model was taken advantage of to establish the CKC models of the total and per capita carbon emission of land use change and energy consumption in Shenzhen city; and then， based on the unit root and Co-integration Engle-Granger Test methods， the CKC of the total carbon emission in Shenzhen is analyzed.It is shown from above results that there are positive relationships in Shenzhen city between economic growth and land use carbon emissions, and energy consumption carbon emissions, which are presented as long-term stable equilibrium relationships. GDP has one-way causal relationship respectively with carbon emissions from land use and energy consumption. There are the per capita land use CKC and the per capita energy consumption CKC existing in Shenzhen City with inflection points of the per capita GDP of RMB 28 708.60 and RMB 59 604.89, respectively. The above results shall be conducive to understanding the future trend of carbon emission, which can provide a basis for making appropriate emission reduction policies.

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