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[1]MAO Chang-bao,CHEN Yong.The Driving Force and Prediction of the Evolution of Land Use and Ecosystem Services Value——A case Study of Jiangsu Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2010,17(04):269-275.

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The Driving Force and Prediction of the Evolution of Land Use and Ecosystem Services Value——A case Study of Jiangsu Province

Research of Soil and Water Conservation[ISSN 1005-3409/CN 61-1272/P] Volume: 17 Number of periods: 2010 04 Page number: 269-275 Column: Public date: 2010-08-20

Title:: The Driving Force and Prediction of the Evolution of Land Use and Ecosystem Services Value——A case Study of Jiangsu Province

Author(s):: MAO Chang-bao^1,2, CHEN Yong¹; 1. Institute of environment and regional Development, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610064, China;
2. Institute of Population Research, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610064, China

Keywords:: land use; ecosystem services value; driving factors; Jiangsu province

CLC:: F301.24;X171.1

DOI:: -

Abstract:: By using the statistical data of land and related socio-economic indicators of Jiangsu province from 1999 to 2007,this paper conducted a quantitative study on the evolution of land use and ecosystem services value,and then analyzed the driving factors.On this basis,a prediction is made by using the GM (1,1) model.The land of orchard,residential and industrial,traffic increased while ecosystem services value and the land of cultivated,forest,water decreased from 1999 to 2007.From 2010 to 2020,the various types of land and the ecosystem services value continued the same changing trend of 1999 to 2007,but showing an expanding in trend.In 1999 and 2020,the major factors that made the impact on the value of ecosystem services of Jiangsu province were gradually changing from the population,the level of agricultural modernization to the quality of the population,investment of fixed assets and the level of urbanization which indicated that the quality of the population,investment of fixed assets and the level of urbanization were increasingly becoming the main factors to impact the eco-environment in Jiangsu province.

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