PDF Download

[1]LI Jian-guo,LIU Jin-ping,LIU Li-li,et al.A Measure Method and Its Application in the Development Level of Regional Plant Production—Taking Shilin Town at Wansheng District of Chongqing City as an Example[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2010,17(03):201-207.

Copy

A Measure Method and Its Application in the Development Level of Regional Plant Production—Taking Shilin Town at Wansheng District of Chongqing City as an Example

Research of Soil and Water Conservation[ISSN 1005-3409/CN 61-1272/P] Volume: 17 Number of periods: 2010 03 Page number: 201-207 Column: Public date: 2010-06-20

Title:: A Measure Method and Its Application in the Development Level of Regional Plant Production—Taking Shilin Town at Wansheng District of Chongqing City as an Example

Author(s):: LI Jian-guo¹, LIU Jin-ping^1,2, LIU Li-li¹, GUO Qing-qing¹, DOU Xian-ming³, GUAN Bing¹, CHENG Xiao-yun¹, SHAO Jing-an¹; 1. School of Geographical Sciences, Chongqing Normal University, Chongqing 400047, China;
2. The Key Laboratory of Application of GIS in Chongqing, Chongqing 400047, China;
3. School of Resource and Earth Science, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou, Jiangsu 221008, China

Keywords:: plant production development index; cultivated land change; Shilin town

CLC:: S344

DOI:: -

Abstract:: With the rapid development of economy and advancement of industrialization and urbanization, agriculture problems are becoming increasingly obvious. It becomes particularly important whether we are able to make comprehensive and objective quantitative assessment on the development level of regional plant production. This paper presents the concept of regional plant production development index. And the measurement model for the development level of regional plant production was built based on the agricultural production fluctuation coefficient, minimum per capita cropland and pressure index on cropland. Taking Shilin Town at Wansheng District of Chongqing as an example, we carried on dynamic research and forecasting in its development level of regional plant production by the model. The results show that the development index in regional plant production of Shilin Town is taking in downward trend and such phenomenon may become even worse in the next five years. So we put forwards the corresponding adjusting and controling measures based on the dynamic analysis and forecasting results.

References:: [1] 杨萍果, 毛任钊, 赵建林, 等.区域粮食综合生产能力及粮食安全分析:以河北石家庄为例[J].农业工程学报, 2006, 22 (2):279-282.
[2] 张剑雄.对我国生态安全的思考[J].湖北大学学报:哲学社会科学版, 2007, 34 (6):78-82.
[3] 徐芳, 蒋少龙.宏观调控背景下的我国粮食安全[J].农村经济, 2007 (11):16-19.
[4] 殷培红, 方修琦, 马玉玲, 等.21世纪初我国粮食供需的新空间格局[J].自然资源学报, 2006, 21 (4):625-632.
[5] 孔伟, 欧名豪.江苏省耕地资源态势与粮食安全对策研究[J].水土保持研究, 2006, 13 (6):69-71.
[6] 曾科军, 陈逸, 高中贵, 等.长江三角洲土地利用变化与粮食安全分析[J].地理与地理信息科学, 2006, 22 (6):58-61.
[7] 邵晓梅, 谢俊奇.中国耕地资源区域变化态势分析[J].资源科学, 2007, 29 (1):37-41.
[8] 李宗尧, 杨桂山.安徽沿江地区耕地数量变化特征及其对粮食安全的影响[J].资源科学, 2006, 28 (6):91-96.
[9] 王楠君, 吴群.省域耕地资源数量安全底线测算的实证研究:以江苏省为例[J].地域研究与开发, 2006, 25 (5):94-97.
[10] 李玉平, 蔡运龙.区域耕地-人口-粮食系统动态分析与耕地压力预测:以河北省邢台市为例[J].北京大学学报:自然科学版, 2007, 43 (2):230-234.
[11] 陈秀端, 任志远.区域粮食安全的动态研究:以延安市宝塔区为例[J].生态学杂志, 2006, 25 (3):309-313.
[12] 高中贵, 彭补拙, 濮励杰.长江三角洲地区粮食安全性度量研究[J].人文地理, 2006 (1):80-84.
[13] Odum E P. Fundamentals of Ecology[M].Saunders:Philadephia P A, 1971.
[14] 赵言文, 施毅超, 胡正义, 等.基于国家粮食安全的长江三角洲地区耕地保护探讨[J].长江流域资源与环境, 2007, 16 (4):461-465.
[15] 李玉平, 蔡运龙.浙江省耕地变化与粮食安全的分析及预测[J].长江流域资源与环境, 2007, 16 (4):466-470.
[16] 周小萍, 卢艳霞, 陈百明.中国近期粮食生产与耕地资源变化的相关分析[J].北京师范大学学报:社会科学版, 2005 (5):122-127.
[17] 陈百明, 周小萍.中国粮食自给率与耕地资源安全底线的探讨[J].经济地理, 2005, 25 (2):146-148.
[18] 饶光明, 吴忠俊, 丁思颖.重庆科技进步贡献率增长中的直辖效应[J].软科学, 2008, 2 (1):42-46.
[19] 张落成.我国粮食生产布局变化特点及其成因分析[J].长江流域资源与环境, 2000, 9 (2):221-228.
[20] 楼玉, 张清, 刘国华, 等.城市用水量预测中的多变量灰色预测模型[J].水资源保护, 2005, 21 (1):11-13.

Similar References:

Memo

Last Update: 1900-01-01