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[1]YANG Yan,DING Juhua,JIANG Hong,et al.Temporal Patterns of Water Condition in China Under Climate Change Based on Terrestrial Ecosystem Modelling[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2018,25(02):379-386.

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Temporal Patterns of Water Condition in China Under Climate Change Based on Terrestrial Ecosystem Modelling

Research of Soil and Water Conservation[ISSN 1005-3409/CN 61-1272/P] Volume: 25 Number of periods: 2018 02 Page number: 379-386 Column: Public date: 2018-04-03

Title:: Temporal Patterns of Water Condition in China Under Climate Change Based on Terrestrial Ecosystem Modelling

Author(s):: YANG Yan¹, DING Juhua¹, JIANG Hong², PENG Changhui^1,3, ZHU Qiuan¹; 1. Center for Ecological Forecasting and Global Change, College of Forestry, Northwest A & F University, Yangling, Shaanxi 712100, China;
2. International Institute for Earth System Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China;
3. Institute of Environment Sciences, University of Quebec at Montreal, Montreal C3H3P8, Canada

Keywords:: terrestrial ecosystems; water resources; IBIS; climate change

CLC:: P467

DOI:: -

Abstract:: Assessing the future water balance of regional terrestrial ecosystems is one of the important scientific problems in ecosystem and global change research. Using historical and future climate scenarios generated from IPCC-related climate models as input to the terrestrial ecosystem model and considering changes in CO₂ concentrations, we study the effects of climate change and CO₂ concentration doubling on China’s future water resources. The results show that the average precipitation in China is gradually increasing, the temperature level is increasing, and the evapotranspiration levels show the trend of sustained growth, and the runoff is the emergence of different wet and dry season. In the scenario of doubled CO₂ concentration, the evapotranspiration is slightly lower than that under non-doubled CO₂ concentration, while the runoff is slightly higher than that in non-doubled CO₂ concentration scenarios. The performance will be more obvious after 2050.

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