[1]LI Jia-xiu,XU Chang-chun,WANG Xiao,et al.Extreme Hydrological Events and Its Response to Climate Change in the Kaidu River Basin[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2014,21(05):285-291,297.
Copy
Extreme Hydrological Events and Its Response to Climate Change in the Kaidu River Basin
Research of Soil and Water Conservation[ISSN 1005-3409/CN 61-1272/P] Volume:
21
Number of periods:
2014 05
Page number:
285-291,297
Column:
Public date:
2014-10-28
- Title:
- Extreme Hydrological Events and Its Response to Climate Change in the Kaidu River Basin
- Keywords:
- extreme flood events; extreme low water events; cumulative frequency method; concentration ratio; runs arithmetics
- CLC:
- P467;P333
- DOI:
- -
- Abstract:
- Based on the daily discharge and meteorological date from 1972 to 2012 at the Dashankou hydrological station and Bayinbuluke weather station in the Kaidu River Basin, the characteristics of extreme hydrological events (EHE) were investigated, the threshold value was determined by the cumulative frequency method, the inner-annual and inter-annual changes of EHE, the session distribution of EHE and their responses to climate change were analyzed in the study area. The results showed that the EHE in the region was extremely unstable. The inner-annual distribution was uneven and the concentration degree was higher. The extreme flood events mainly occurred in July, and the extreme low water events mainly appeared in February. The inter-annual variability was quite unstable with a high deviation from the normal distribution. The extreme flood events totally presented an increasing trend and had an abrupt change in 1986; while the extreme low water events totally presented a decreasing trend and had an abrupt change in 1993.The extreme flood frequency had a higher correlation with precipitation, while the extreme low water frequency had a higher negative correlation with temperature.
- References:
-
[1] IPCC.Climate change 2007:The physical science basis[M]//Contribution of Working Group 1 to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovermental Panel on Climate Change Cambridge,United Kingdom and New York,USA:Cambridge University Press,2007.
[2] 张利平,杜鸿,夏军,等.气候变化下极端水文事件的研究进展[J].地理科学进展,2011,30(11):1370-1379.
[3] Akhtar M, Ahmad N, Booij M J. The impact of climate change on the water resources of Hindukush-Karakorum-Himalaya region under different glacier coverage scenarios[J]. Journal of Hydrology,2008,335(1):148-163.
[4] 赵庆云,张武,王式功,等.西北地区东部干旱半干旱区极端降水事件的变化[J].中国沙漠,2005,25(6):904-909.
[5] 张明军,汪宝龙,魏军林,等.近50年宁夏极端气温事件的变化研究[J].自然灾害学报,2012,21(4):152-160.
[6] Hong Y, Adler R F. Predicting global landslide spatio temporal distribution:Integrating landslide susceptibility zoning techniques and real-time satellite rainfall estimates[J]. International Journal of Sediment Research,2008,23(3):249-257.
[7] 李志,刘文兆,郑粉莉.1965~2005年泾河流域极端温度事件变化特征[J].地理科学,2010,30(3):469-474.
[8] 夏军,佘敦先,杜鸿.气候变化影响下极端水文事件的多变量统计模型研究[J].气候变化研究进展,2012,8(6):397-401.
[9] 孙桂丽,陈亚宁,李卫红,等.新疆极端水文事件的时空分布特征[J].自然灾害学报,2012,21(3):119-124.
[10] 孙桂丽,陈亚宁,李卫红,等.新疆极端水文事件年际变化及对气候变化的响应[J].地理科学,2011,31(11):1389-1394.
[11] 谢平,李析男,许斌,等.基于希尔伯特-黄变换的非一致性洪水频率计算方法:以西江大湟江口站为例[J].自然灾害学报,2013,22(1):86-91.
[12] 方彬,武见,肖义,等.混合分布在枯水流量频率分析中的应用研究[J].石河子大学学报:自然科学版,2006,24(2):231-233.
[13] 钟瑞森,董新光.新疆博斯腾湖水盐平衡及水环境预测[J].湖泊科学,2008,20(1):58-64.
[14] 施雅风.简明中国冰川目录[M].上海:上海科学技术普及出版社,2005.
[15] 蓝永超,钟英君,吴素芬,等.天山南-北坡典型河流出山径流对气候变化响应的分析对比[J].中国沙漠,2011,31(1):254-259.
[16] 邓铭江,王世江,董新光,等.新疆水资源及可持续利用[M].北京:中国水利水电出版社,2005:150-167.
[17] 黄俊利,魏文寿,杨青,等.塔克拉玛干沙漠南缘极端降水变化趋势与突变特征[J].沙漠与绿洲气象,2012,6(2):30-34.
[18] 陶辉,宋郁东,邹世平,等.开都河天山出山径流量年际变化特征与洪水频率分析[J].干旱区地理,2007,30(1):43-48.
[19] 刘贤赵,李嘉竹,宿庆,等.基于集中度与集中期的径流年内分配研究[J].地理科学,2007,27(6):791-695.
[20] 杨帆.区域气候背景下流域极端气候与水文事件的关系研究[D].郑州:郑州大学,2011.
[21] 钟瑞森,吴彬.开都河径流年内分配特征研究[J].灌溉排水学报,2011,30(2):123-125.
[22] 贺斌,王国亚,苏宏超,等.新疆阿尔泰山地区极端水文事件对气候变化的响应[J].冰川冻土,2012,34(4):927-932.
[23] 郑祚芳,张秀丽.北京极端天气事件及其与区域气候变化的联系[J].自然灾害学报,2007,16(3):55-593.
- Similar References:
Memo
-
Last Update:
1900-01-01