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[1]GAO Qi,SHI Xue-yi,WANG Zi-ling,et al.Co-integration Analysis between Carbon Budget and Land Use Change in Shenzhen City[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2013,20(06):277-283.

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Co-integration Analysis between Carbon Budget and Land Use Change in Shenzhen City

Research of Soil and Water Conservation[ISSN 1005-3409/CN 61-1272/P] Volume: 20 Number of periods: 2013 06 Page number: 277-283 Column: Public date: 2013-12-28

Title:: Co-integration Analysis between Carbon Budget and Land Use Change in Shenzhen City

Author(s):: GAO Qi, SHI Xue-yi, WANG Zi-ling, LI Hai-ming; College of Land Science and Technology, China University of Geosciences, Beijing 100083, China

Keywords:: land use change; carbon emission; carbon absorption; carbon budget; Shenzhen City

CLC:: F301.23

DOI:: -

Abstract:: The carbon emission influenced by human activities is resulted from land use change to a large extent. Therefore, the exploration to the quantitative relationship between land use change and net carbon emissions can provide help to understand interaction mechanism between land use change and carbon budget. The land use change in Shenzhen City from 1995 to 2010 was analyzed, indicating that the overall trend was increases of construction lands and decreases of farmland. Based on collecting data of social economic and energy, the model was constructed to calculate the carbon emission, carbon absorption and carbon budget. The result showed that the total area of construction land and carbon emissions, agricultural land and carbon absorption do not have co-integration relationship in Shenzhen City, which means we cannot use the area of construction land and farmland in Shenzhen City to directly predict the future carbon emissions, carbon absorption and carbon budget. The results of co-integration analysis can objectively reflect relationship between regional land use and carbon budget, making a big difference on land use control under low-carbon economy.

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