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[1]SUN Zhe,XIA Min,ZHANG Jing-zi.Study on Land Use Change in Rapid Urbanization Area Based on Logisitc-CA-Markov Model[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2013,20(06):213-217.

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Study on Land Use Change in Rapid Urbanization Area Based on Logisitc-CA-Markov Model

Research of Soil and Water Conservation[ISSN 1005-3409/CN 61-1272/P] Volume: 20 Number of periods: 2013 06 Page number: 213-217 Column: Public date: 2013-12-28

Title:: Study on Land Use Change in Rapid Urbanization Area Based on Logisitc-CA-Markov Model

Author(s):: SUN Zhe, XIA Min, ZHANG Jing-zi; College of Public Administration, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210018, China

Keywords:: RS and GIS; Logistic-CA-Markov; land use structure; Wuxi City

CLC:: F293.2

DOI:: -

Abstract:: The study of land use change of rapid urbanization areas and prediction of future trends could provide a reference for rational and configurational regional land use. Logistic-CA-Markov model was used to study the land use structure change of Wuxi during the period of 2000—2010, the driving factors of change, and to distinguish the current trend, eco-environmental protection and the development of the three scenarios, and to imitate the land use structure of Wuxi in 2020. The result indicates that the construction land nearly doubled over last ten years which mainly derived from cultivated land. The construction land expansion was still evident in the current trend scenario. However, the construction land no longer increased in the eco-environmental protection scenario. In addition, the construction land increased and cultivated land declined slightly. The simulation result of the comprehensive development scenario is the ideal pattern of development for rapid urbanization.

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