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[1]ZHANG Rui-qing,LI Min,CHEN Jia-fei,et al.Risk Assessment of Agriculture Drought Disaster in Xingtai City Based on Information Diffusion Technique[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2011,18(06):212-215.

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Risk Assessment of Agriculture Drought Disaster in Xingtai City Based on Information Diffusion Technique

Research of Soil and Water Conservation[ISSN 1005-3409/CN 61-1272/P] Volume: 18 Number of periods: 2011 06 Page number: 212-215 Column: Public date: 2011-12-20

Title:: Risk Assessment of Agriculture Drought Disaster in Xingtai City Based on Information Diffusion Technique

Author(s):: ZHANG Rui-qing, LI Min, CHEN Jia-fei, SHANG Hui-lian, SHANG Yan-rui; School of Geograph, Hebei Normal University, Hebei Key Laboratory of Environment Change and Ecological Construction, Shijiazhuang, Hebei 050016, China

Keywords:: information diffusion; agriculture drought disaster; risk analysis; Xingtai City

CLC:: P954

DOI:: -

Abstract:: By using the statistical data of Xingtai City in 2000-2007 and the fuzzy mathematical method based on information diffusion principle, risk models of agricultural drought disaster of Xingtai City was established, the drought disaster risk of this city was analyzed. The results show that the damage probability of drought disaster in Xingtai City reaches maximum when the index is 10% and it is almost zero after the index is over 30%; the value of disaster risk shows that Xingtai City has made remarkable achievement in response to drought disaster, but this city suffered a drought that the drought-affected area is more than 10% on average 1.7 a, agricultural drought still cannot be ignored. The results can provide the clear knowledge about drought situation of Xingtai City, and significant guidance for the sustainable development of regional disaster prevention and mitigation.

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