PDF Download

[1]XIA Xiao-mei,CHEN A-lin,YANG Hua.Land Use and Land Cover Change and the Tendency Forecast of Markov Process Based on RS and GIS-A Case Study in Nan’an District, Chongqing City[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2009,16(05):19-24.

Copy

Land Use and Land Cover Change and the Tendency Forecast of Markov Process Based on RS and GIS-A Case Study in Nan’an District, Chongqing City

Research of Soil and Water Conservation[ISSN 1005-3409/CN 61-1272/P] Volume: 16 Number of periods: 2009 05 Page number: 19-24 Column: Public date: 2009-10-20

Title:: Land Use and Land Cover Change and the Tendency Forecast of Markov Process Based on RS and GIS-A Case Study in Nan’an District, Chongqing City

Author(s):: XIA Xiao-mei^1,2, CHEN A-lin^1,2,3, YANG Hua^1,2; 1. College of Geographical Science, Chongqing Normal University, Chongqing 400047, China;
2. Municipal GIS Applied Research Key Laboratory in Chongqing Colleges and Universities, Chongqing 400047, China;
3. Network Center, Chongqing Normal University, Chongqing 400047, China

Keywords:: Markov process; land use and land cover change; Nan’an district

CLC:: F301.24;TP79

DOI:: -

Abstract:: With the rapid economic development of Nan’an District of Chongqing in recent years,there is a certain land use issues.We hope to provide a powerful tool for reasonable planning,management and use land through its land use and land cover change research.According to three periods of the remote sensing data in 1993,2001,2007 of Nan’an District,with the help of RS and GIS,we analyze the dynamic degree change,conversion change and driving force of the land use and land cover types in this district from 1993 to 2007.A primitive status matrix and a transition probability matrix of the land use and land cover patterns are defined.Change tendency of the land use and land cover change from 2012 to 2024 is forecasted with application of Markov process model.The results show that the increasement of urban construction land is mainly converted from arable land and woodland within these fourteen years,as well as conversion among parts of waters.The rapid economic development is the main driving force leading to the change of the land use and land cover types in the Nan’an District.In addition,the city planning carried out by the government in the urban development also plays an important role in the land use change.The forecast indicates that with constant interference in the existing circumstances,the land use and land cover types of Nan’an District from 2012 to 2024 will present a trend that the area of arable land,woodland and unused land will decrease gradually,while the area of waters and urban construction land will continue to increase day by day.In order to realize the sustainable use of the land resources in Nan’an District,we must take measures to protect arable land and woodland and strengthen the management of urban construction land.

References:: [1]李秀彬.全球环境变化研究的核心领域:土地利用/土地覆被变化的国际研究动向[J].地理学报.1996,51(6):553-558.
[2]徐岚.赵捍.利用马尔柯夫过程预测东陵区土地利用格局的变化[J].应用生态学报.1993,4 (3):272-277.
[3]赵庚星.李强.李玉环.等.GIS支持下的马尔柯夫链模刑模拟垦利县土地利用空间格局变化.山东农业大学学报.1999,30 (4):345-349.
[4]全斌.朱鹤健.晏路明.等.厦门岛土地利用变化趋势预测[J].资源科学.2004,26(5):98-103.
[5]曹品品.吴静.李存斌.基于马尔柯夫模刑的酒泉市肃州区LUCC趋势预测[J].国土与自然资源研究.2008.(1):45-47.
[6]Janssen M R.BroonerW. Accuracy assessment of sat-elute derived land-cover data:a review[J].Photo-grammertric Engineering and Remote Sensing,1994,60(4):419-426.
[7]赵卫权.杨华.基于RS与GIS的重庆主城区土地利用及土地覆盖变化分析[J].水土保持通报.2008,28 (1):110-114.
[8]可华明.土金亮.韩文萍.等.香格里拉县土地利用/土地覆盖变化与趋势预测研究[J].云南地理环境研究.2006,18 (6):11-15.
[9]盛聚.谢式千.潘承毅.概率论与数理统计[M].北京:高等教育出版社.2001:316-324.
[10]土良健.包浩生.彭补拙.基于遥感与GIS的区域土地利用变化的动态监测与预测研究[J].经济地理.2000,20 (2):47-50.

Similar References:

Memo

Last Update: 1900-01-01