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[1]LIU Jia-fu,WANG Ping,LI Jing,et al.Spatial-Temporal Changes of Landuse Based on Markov Model in Changling County[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2009,16(03):16-19.

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Spatial-Temporal Changes of Landuse Based on Markov Model in Changling County

Research of Soil and Water Conservation[ISSN 1005-3409/CN 61-1272/P] Volume: 16 Number of periods: 2009 03 Page number: 16-19 Column: Public date: 2009-06-20

Title:: Spatial-Temporal Changes of Landuse Based on Markov Model in Changling County

Author(s):: LIU Jia-fu^1,2, WANG Ping³, LI Jing¹, ZHAN Wen-feng¹, YI Wen-bin¹; 1. Academy of Disaster Reduction and Emergency Management, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China;
2. College of Tourism and Geographical Sciences, Jilin Normal University, Siping, Jilin 136000, China;
3. College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, China

Keywords:: Changling county; RS and GIS; Markov model; landuse

CLC:: F301.24

DOI:: -

Abstract:: This paper mainly focused on Changling County in the west of Jilin province. Based on RS and GIS techniques, Land use/cover map was acquired through dealing with the two remote sensing images of Changling County in 1995 and 2000. Transfer matrix on land use change was achieved on the basis of analyzing the land use status. Markov Random Field model was applied to simulate analysis and quantitatively forecast the land use spatial-temporal change of the Changling County in the next few decades.The results indicate that, from 2000 to 2050, the area of the arable land will increase by 1.77%; the grassland and wasteland will decrease by 1.1% and 0.91% respectively; however, the forest land, water land and resident land will change a little.

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