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[1]ZHANG Bo,LEI Guoping,ZHOU Hao,et al.Scenario Simulation of Land Use in Mining City Based on CLUE-S Model[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2016,23(05):261-266.

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Scenario Simulation of Land Use in Mining City Based on CLUE-S Model

Research of Soil and Water Conservation[ISSN 1005-3409/CN 61-1272/P] Volume: 23 Number of periods: 2016 05 Page number: 261-266 Column: Public date: 2016-10-28

Title:: Scenario Simulation of Land Use in Mining City Based on CLUE-S Model

Author(s):: ZHANG Bo¹, LEI Guoping¹, ZHOU Hao², WANG Rui¹, DONG Bowen¹, ZHANG Xu¹; 1. College of Resources and Environment, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin 150030, China;
2. Land Management Institute, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110004, China

Keywords:: CLUE-S; mining city; land use; scenarios simulation; Shuangyashan City

CLC:: F301.24

DOI:: -

Abstract:: CLUE-S model was used to simulate the land use of a typical mining city, Shuangyashan City, in the future based on remote sensing and geographic information system technology, and to simulate the changes of land use in different contexts during the year of 2025 by setting 4 kinds of scenarios: natural development, cultivated land protection, economic development and ecological protection. The result showed that the various land use types had passed the ROC test, and the degree of regression equation fitted by data was high. In 1995 and 2005, the correct proportions in simulation were 88.15% and 92.10%, respectively, and Kappa coefficient was more than 0.75, what’s more, the rate of accuracy reached to the credible effect. The simulation results of land use were obviously different under each situation. With the trend of development, cultivated land and other lands were decreasing and the increase of construction land was highest; in the scenario of cultivated land protection, the area of cultivated land still keeps dropping, but the speed of dropping is significantly lower than before, the expansions of construction land and mining land were restrained; with economic development, the growth rate of construction land increased dramatically, which occupied the area of its surrounding cultivated land and garden land, the increase of mining land was highest; with respect to ecological protection, the area of cultivated land, else land and mining land decreased in different degrees, the area of garden land and water area enlarged significantly. The results can provide reasonable references for preparation of local planning and protection of the land resources.

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