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[1]TAN Min,CHU Ke-jian,HUA Zu-lin,et al.Assessment and Prediction of Ecosystem Service Value Based on Land Use and Cover Change—A Case Study of Xuzhou City, Jiangsu Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2014,21(02):297-301.

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Assessment and Prediction of Ecosystem Service Value Based on Land Use and Cover Change—A Case Study of Xuzhou City, Jiangsu Province

Research of Soil and Water Conservation[ISSN 1005-3409/CN 61-1272/P] Volume: 21 Number of periods: 2014 02 Page number: 297-301 Column: Public date: 2014-04-28

Title:: Assessment and Prediction of Ecosystem Service Value Based on Land Use and Cover Change—A Case Study of Xuzhou City, Jiangsu Province

Author(s):: TAN Min¹, CHU Ke-jian¹, HUA Zu-lin¹, HAO Ming², ZHANG Man-man²; 1. College of Environmental, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China;
2. School of Environment Science and Spatial Informatics, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou, Jiangsu 221116, China

Keywords:: land cover/use; ecosystem value; Markov model

CLC:: F301.2;P962

DOI:: -

Abstract:: To supply consultation to the city eco-civilization, the ecological service value of Xuzhou City was evaluated and predicted dynamically by using the Markov chain model based on the five periods of land use information of remote sensing images. The results show that the land use changed greatly from 1995 to 2010. Specially，the farmland area of Gulou, Yunlong and Quanshan districts decreased from 53.5%, 69.02% and 40.04% to 34.4%, 46.18% and 26.27%, as a result, the total ecosystem service value also decreased from 292, 175 and 151 million yuan to 155, 106 and 126 million yuan. When the steady state of ecology was reached, the ecosystem service values of Gulou, Yunlong and Quanshan districts grew to 299, 164 and 147 million yuan due to the increase of farmland, forest and water areas. Results indicate that it is very important for ecological civilization to control the transformation of farmland, woodland and waters to building sites.

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