ZHAO Min,DI Dongrui,HUANG Guangwei,et al.Evolution and Coupling Between Economic and Population Spatial Pattern in Wujiang River Basin[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2022,29(06):298-310,321.
乌江流域经济与人口空间格局演变及耦合特征
- Title:
- Evolution and Coupling Between Economic and Population Spatial Pattern in Wujiang River Basin
- 文章编号:
- 1005-3409(2022)06-0298-13
- 分类号:
- C922
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- 为探究乌江流域经济人口空间格局演变及耦合关系,以乌江流域为研究区,选取该流域69个区县2000—2019年的GDP和常住人口数据,运用地理集中度、ESDA-GIS和耦合指数,对流域内经济人口空间格局及其相互关系进行了定量分析。结果表明:(1)近20 a,流域常住人口从3 626.46万人减少至3 564.12万人,人均GDP年平均增长率约为15.13%;(2)县域人口和经济发展差异增大,经济发达、人口密集的县域空间分布重叠,均集中分布在流域中部—南部;(3)经济重心、人口重心远离流域几何重心向流域西南方向移动;(4)经济人口耦合指数表明,流域人口和经济发展协调性有所提高。综上,乌江流域区域发展不协调依然严峻,推动流域东北部区县发展,缩小流域东北部和中部—南部的发展差距,进一步提高人口和经济发展的协调性仍是今后需要解决的问题之一。
- Abstract:
- In order to explore the evolution and coupling relationship of the economic spatial pattern of the population in the Wujiang River Basin, the GDP and permanent resident population data of 69 districts and counties from 2000 to 2019 were selected, and the spatial pattern and interrelationship of the economic population were quantitatively analysed by using the geographical concentration, ESDA-GIS and coupling index. The results show that:(1)The resident population decreased from 36.264 6 million to 35.641 2 million, and the average annual growth rate of per capita GDP is about 15.13%;(2)The difference of population and economic development among county-level administrative regions is increasing, the spatial distribution of economically developed and densely populated counties overlaps, which are concentrated in the middle and south of the basin;(3)The economic centre of gravity and the population centre of gravity move away from the geometric centre of gravity of the basin to the southwest;(4)The population economic coupling index indicates that the coordination of population and economic development in the basin has improved. To sum up, the uncoordinated regional development of the Wujiang River Basin is still grim. It is still one of the problems to be solved in the future in order to narrow the development gap of the northeast and the southern and central parts of the basin, and improve the coordination of population and economic development.
参考文献/References:
[1] Verbavatz V, Barthelemy M. The growth equation of cities[J].Nature,2020,587(7834):397-401.
[2] Wiedmann T, Allen C. City footprints and SDGs provide untapped potential for assessing city sustainability[J].Nature Communications,2021,12(1):1-10.
[3] 钟业喜,陆玉麒.鄱阳湖生态经济区人口与经济空间耦合研究[J].经济地理,2011,31(2):195-200.
[4] 胡鞍钢.中国:创新绿色发展[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2012.
[5] 托马斯·罗伯特·马尔萨斯.人口原理[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2018.
[6] Simon J L. The Economics of Population Growth[M]. Princeton, New Jersey, USA: Princeton university press,2019.
[7] 覃成林,周二黑.黄河流域经济空间分异格局研究[J].河南大学学报:自然科学版,2010,40(1):40-44.
[8] 刘芬.黄河流域人口空间分异研究[D].河南开封:河南大学,2008.
[9] 邓祖涛,陆玉麒.长江流域城市人口分布及空间相关性研究[J].人口与经济,2007,163(4):7-12.
[10] 洪熊,曾菊新.鄱阳湖流域区域经济差异研究[J].经济地理,2012,32(11):8-12.
[11] 冯兴华,钟业喜,李建新,等.长江流域区域经济差异及其成因分析[J].世界地理研究,2015,24(3):100-109.
[12] 罗君,白永平.嘉陵江流域经济空间分异研究[J].长江流域资源与环境,2010,19(4):364-369.
[13] 刘蕾蕾.钱塘江流域经济空间分异及优化对策研究[D].杭州:浙江农林大学,2014.
[14] 李敏纳,蔡舒,覃成林.黄河流域经济空间分异态势分析[J].经济地理,2011,31(3):379-383,419.
[15] 冯兴华,钟业喜,陈琳,等.长江经济带县域经济空间格局演变分析[J].经济地理,2016,36(6):18-25.
[16] 李慧.淮河流域经济空间分异研究[D].南京:南京师范大学,2014.
[17] 汪洋.塔里木河流域人口、经济重心转移及空间耦合分析[D].乌鲁木齐:新疆农业大学,2012.
[18] 汪洋,陈亚宁,陈忠升.塔里木盆地北缘人口与经济重心演变及其关联分析[J].干旱区地理,2012,35(2):318-323.
[19] 刘志峰,王斌,马颖忆,等.长江经济带人口与经济耦合的区域差异研究[J].宏观经济管理,2018,414(6):50-57.
[20] 李小龙.黄河经济带经济与人口时空格局演变及空间耦合研究[D].河南开封:河南大学,2014.
[21] 王德怀,李旭东.贵州乌江流域人口与经济发展协调性研究[J].地理科学,2019,39(3):477-486.
[22] 蒋红梅.水库对乌江河流汞生物地球化学循环的影响[D].北京:中国科学院研究生院,2005.
[23] 苏维词.岩溶地区生态环境敏感度评价研究:以乌江流域为例[J].中国岩溶,1997,16(1):58-66.
[24] 苏维词,李久林.乌江流域生态环境预警评价初探[J].贵州科学,1997,15(3):207-214.
[25] 何腾兵,刘丛强,王中良,等.贵州乌江流域喀斯特生态系统土壤物理性质研究[J].水土保持学报,2006,20(5):43-47.
[26] 高江波,蔡运龙.区域景观破碎化的多尺度空间变异研究:以贵州省乌江流域为例[J].地理科学,2010,30(5):742-747.
[27] 王志民.“一带一路”背景下的西南对外开放路径思考[J].人文杂志,2015,229(5):26-32.
[28] 汤正仁.借助“一带一路”打造西南地区对外开放新高地[J].区域经济评论,2015,15(3):75-77.
[29] 张军.我国西南地区在“一带一路”开放战略中的优势及定位[J].经济纵横,2014,348(11):93-96.
[30] 刘宗义.我国“一带一路”倡议在东南、西南周边的进展现状、问题及对策[J].印度洋经济体研究,2015(4):92-109,142-143.
[31] Rey S J, Montouri B D. US regional income convergence: a spatial econometric perspective[J].Regional Studies,1999,33(2):143-156.
[32] Anselin L. Local indicators of spatial association: LISA[J].Geographical Analysis,1995,27(2):93-115.
相似文献/References:
[1]刘连中,刘洪江,朱怀方.汶川地震次生山地灾害危险性评价及震后减灾对策经济学分析[J].水土保持研究,2010,17(01):210.
LIU Lian-zhong,LIU Hong-jiang,ZHU Huai-fang.Dangerous Evaluation for the Secondary Mountain Hazard of Wenchuan Earthquake and Its Economic Mitigation Model[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2010,17(06):210.
[2]万昊.建设大“西三角”背景下关中经济发展的分析与思考[J].水土保持研究,2010,17(02):264.
WAN Hao.Analysis and Thoughts on Economic Development of Guanzhong Based on Construction Greater ‘West Delta’[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2010,17(06):264.
[3]崔建民,杜印贵,吴振海.适应市场 全面发展小流域经济[J].水土保持研究,2000,7(03):208.
CUI Jian-min,DU Yin-gui,WU Zhen-hai.Developing Small Watershed Economy to Keep Abreast of the Market[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2000,7(06):208.
[4]郑淋峰,李占斌,李鹏,等.丹江土石山区景观格局模拟与社会经济响应关系[J].水土保持研究,2019,26(01):338.
ZHENG Linfeng,LI Zhanbin,LI Peng,et al.Relationship Between Landscape Pattern Simulation and Social Economic Response in Danjiang Mountain Area[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2019,26(06):338.
备注/Memo
收稿日期:2021-07-31 修回日期:2021-09-06
资助项目:陕西省教育厅专项科研计划项目“‘一带一路'背景下陕西民俗文化旅游景区的推广与翻译策略研究”(19JK0916)
第一作者:赵敏(1998—),男,安徽滁州人,硕士研究生,研究方向为环境管理与地理教育。E-mail:d-di-2a1@eagle.sophia.ac.jp
通信作者:狄东睿(1984—),女,陕西咸阳人,硕士,讲师,主要从事水环境文化与管理及流域可持续发展研究。E-mail:d-di-2a1@eagle.sophia.ac.jp