YANG Xiaogao,HAO Hu,ZHAO Chuanyan,et al.Effects of Rainfall and Temperature on River Runoff During Growing Season in Tianlaonchi Catchment in the Upper Reaches of Heihe River Basin[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2022,29(04):263-269.
黑河上游天涝池流域生长季降雨和气温对河川径流的影响
- Title:
- Effects of Rainfall and Temperature on River Runoff During Growing Season in Tianlaonchi Catchment in the Upper Reaches of Heihe River Basin
- 文章编号:
- 1005-3409(2022)04-0263-07
- Keywords:
- Heihe River Basin; rainfall; air temperature; river runoff; lag time
- 分类号:
- P333
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- 西北干旱区的水资源短缺问题日益突出,但黑河上游高寒山区河川径流相关的精确水文资料稀缺,开展观测和研究其变化规律尤为必要。选择黑河上游天涝池流域为研究区,通过逐日观测2016年、2017年、2019年生长季河川径流量、降雨量和气温数据,采用相关分析和多元线性回归方法,分析了降雨和气温要素对河川径流的影响。结果表明:生长季内月均径流量明显滞后月均降雨量和月均温,三者均呈现出单峰变化趋势; 河川径流对降雨的平均滞后时间约为7.5 d。生长季内月均降雨量、月均温与月均径流量的Pearson相关系数分别为0.69,0.87(p<0.01),拟合多元线性回归模型的R2为0.772。研究显示该流域内降雨和气温较好地解释河川径流量的变化,结果可为黑河上游山区的河川径流响应过程提供参考依据。
- Abstract:
- The shortage of water resources in the northwest arid area has become increasingly prominent, but the accurate hydrological data related to river runoff in the alpine mountain area in the upper reaches of Heihe River are scarce, so it is particularly necessary to carry out observations and study the process of change. The Tianlaochi catchment in the upper reaches of Heihe River Basin was selected as the study area. The daily river runoff, rainfall and air temperature in the growing season of 2016, 2017 and 2019 were observed. Methods of correlation analysis and multiple linear regression were used to analyze the effects of two meteorological elements on river runoff. The results show that the monthly average runoff obviously lagged behind the monthly average rainfall and monthly average temperature during the growing season, all of which showed a unimodal change trend, and the average lag time of river runoff to rainfall was 7.5 days; the Pearson correlation coefficients of monthly average rainfall, monthly average temperature and monthly average runoff during the growing season were 0.69 and 0.87(p<0.01), respectively, and R2 of the fitted multiple linear regression model was 0.772. The study shows that rainfall and temperature could well explain the change of river runoff in this basin, and the research results can provide a reference basis for the river runoff response process in the mountainous area of the upper reaches of Heihe River.
参考文献/References:
[1] 王玉洁,秦大河.气候变化及人类活动对西北干旱区水资源影响研究综述[J].气候变化研究进展,2017,13(5):483-493.
[2] 李洪源,赵求东,吴锦奎,等.疏勒河上游径流组分及其变化特征定量模拟[J].冰川冻土,2019,41(4):907-917.
[3] 陆志翔,肖洪浪, Yongping Wei,等.黑河流域近两千年人-水-生态演变研究进展[J].地球科学进展,2015,30(3):396-406.
[4] 何兵,高凡,唐小雨,等.基于滑动Copula函数的新疆干旱内陆河流水文气象要素变异关系诊断[J].水土保持研究,2019,26(1):155-161.
[5] 刘婵,刘冰,赵文智,等.黑河流域植被水分利用效率时空分异及其对降水和气温的响应[J].生态学报,2020,40(3):888-899.
[6] 刘志方,刘友存,郝永红,等.黑河出山径流过程与气象要素多尺度交叉小波分析[J].干旱区地理,2014,37(6):1137-1146.
[7] 程国栋,肖洪浪,傅伯杰,等.黑河流域生态-水文过程集成研究进展[J].地球科学进展,2014,29(4):431-437.
[8] 王钧,蒙吉军.黑河流域近60年来径流量变化及影响因素[J].地理科学,2008,28(1):83-88.
[9] 张喜风.黑河上游气候变化对出山口径流的驱动分析[J].长江流域资源与环境,2014,23(4):542-548.
[10] Li Z, Li Q, Wang J, et al. Impacts of projected climate change on runoff in upper reach of Heihe River basin using climate elasticity method and GCMs[J]. Science of the Total Environment, 2020,716:137072.
[11] 田义超,王世杰,白晓永,等.桐梓河流域径流对气候和人类活动的响应[J].水土保持研究,2020,27(3):76-82.
[12] Zhang M, Wei X, Sun P, et al. The effect of forest harvesting and climatic variability on runoff in a large watershed: The case study in the upper Minjiang River of Yangtze River basin[J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2012,464:1-11.
[13] 霍雪丽,刘友存,郝永红,等.基于GPD模型的黑河出山径流极值变化分析[J].干旱区研究,2014,31(4):672-681.
[14] 张晓晓,张钰,徐浩杰,等.河西走廊三大内陆河流域出山径流变化特征及其影响因素分析[J].干旱区资源与环境,2014,28(4):66-72.
[15] 王昱,连运涛,范严伟,等.黑河流域上游水沙变化特征及成因分析[J].水土保持通报,2018,38(2):1-7.
[16] 高婵婵,赵传燕,王超,等.黑河上游天老池流域不同植被下土壤理化性质和入渗特征[J].水土保持学报,2016,30(1):117-121,126.
[17] 高云飞,赵传燕,彭守璋,等.黑河上游天涝池流域草地蒸散发模拟及其敏感性分析[J].中国沙漠,2015,35(5):1338-1345.
[18] Wang Q, Zhao C, Gao C, et al. Effects of environmental variables on seedling-sapling distribution of Qinghai Spruce(Picea crassifolia)along altitudinal gradients[J]. Forest Ecology and Management, 2017,384:54-64.
[19] 王方圆.黑河上游天涝池流域径流过程研究[D].兰州:兰州大学,2017.
[20] 芮孝芳.水文学原理[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2013.
[21] 李秋菊,李占玲,王杰.黑河流域上游径流变化及其归因分析[J].南水北调与水利科技,2019,17(3):31-39.
[22] 李云武,崔力超,王冠星.黑河上游八宝河流域径流变化及其对气候变化的响应[J].水文,2019,39(2):39-43.
[23] 李占玲,徐宗学.黑河流域上游山区径流模拟及模型评估[J].北京师范大学学报:自然科学版,2010,46(3):344-349.
[24] 程建忠,陆志翔,邹松兵,等.黑河干流上中游径流变化及其原因分析[J].冰川冻土,2017,39(1):123-129.
[25] 刘志斌,黄粤,刘铁,等.开都河源区径流变化的气候响应[J].干旱区研究,2020,37(2):418-427.
[26] Han P, Long D, Han Z, et al. Improved understanding of snowmelt runoff from the headwaters of China's Yangtze River using remotely sensed snow products and hydrological modeling[J]. Remote Sensing of Environment, 2019,224:44-59.
[27] 毛亚花,赵传燕,王方圆,等.黑河上游天涝池流域生长季河川径流变化及主控因子分析[J].兰州大学学报:自然科学版,2019,55(4):520-524,532.
[28] 凌红波,徐海量,张青青.新疆克里雅河源流区径流变化与气候因子关系的非线性分析[J].地理研究,2012,31(5):792-802.
[29] 张雪艳,秦翔,吴锦奎,等.祁连山老虎沟流域产汇流特征分析[J].冰川冻土,2017,39(1):140-147.
[30] 崔步礼,李小雁,李岳坦,等.青海湖流域河川径流特征及其对降水的滞后效应[J].中国沙漠,2011,31(1):247-253.
[31] 罗玉,秦宁生,周斌,等.长江源区沱沱河流域1961—2011年径流特征及其对降水的滞后效应[J].水土保持通报,2019,39(2):22-28.
相似文献/References:
[1]齐善忠,王涛,罗芳,等.黑河流域土地沙漠化与区域可持续发展[J].水土保持研究,2004,11(02):94.
QI Shan-zhong,WANG Tao,LUO Fang,et al.Land Desertification and Sustainable Development in Heihe River Basin, Northwestern China[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2004,11(04):94.
[2]蒙吉军,吴秀芹,李正国.黑河流域LUCC(1988-2000)的生态环境效应研究[J].水土保持研究,2005,12(04):17.
MENG Ji-jun,WU Xiu-qin,LI Zheng-guo.Eco-environmental Responses of Land Use/Cover Changes (1988～2000) in Heihe River Basin[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2005,12(04):17.
[3]彭浩.黑河流域退耕还林(草)工程社会评价调查研究——以甘肃省张掖市为例[J].水土保持研究,2006,13(06):204.
PENG Hao.Research on Social Evaluation of Turning the Cultivated Land into Forests or Grasslands Project in Heihe River Basin——Take Zhangye Prefecture in Gansu Province as an Example[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2006,13(04):204.
[4]陈红翔,杨保,王章勇,等.黑河中游河道生态环境需水量研究[J].水土保持研究,2010,17(06):194.
CHEN Hong-xiang,YANG Bao,WANG Zhang-yong,et al.Research on Water Demand for Eco-environment of Middle Reaches’ Stream-channel of Heihe River Basin[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2010,17(04):194.
[5]李静,桑广书,刘小艳.黑河流域生态环境演变研究综述[J].水土保持研究,2009,16(06):210.
LI Jing,SANG Guang-shu,LIU Xiao-yan.Review of the Evolution of Ecological Environment in the Heihe River Basin[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2009,16(04):210.
[6]朱淑娟.黑河流域沙区植被恢复及演替研究——以高台县为例[J].水土保持研究,2008,15(02):226.
ZHU Shu-Juan.Study on Restroation and Succession of Natural/Artificial Desert Vegetation in Heihe River Watershed——Take Gaotai County as a Case Study[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2008,15(04):226.
[7]樊东,薛华柱,董国涛,等.基于二次多项式回归模型的黑河流域TRMM数据降尺度研究[J].水土保持研究,2017,24(02):146.
FAN Dong,XUE Huazhu,DONG Guotao,et al.Downscaling Study on TRMM 3B43 Data of the Heihe River Basin Based on Quadratic Polynomial Regression Model[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2017,24(04):146.
[8]孟好军,赵维俊,雷军,等.黑河流域高山草甸湿地土壤CO2通量日变化特征[J].水土保持研究,2016,23(02):189.
MENG Haojun,ZHAO Weijun,LEI Jun,et al.Daily Variation Process of Soil CO2 Flux of Alpine Meadow Wetland in Heihe River Basin[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2016,23(04):189.
[9]宋艺,李小军,江涛.2008-2014年植被覆盖变化对黑河流域净初级生产力的影响研究[J].水土保持研究,2017,24(04):204.
SONG Yi,LI Xiaojun,JIANG Tao.Effects of Vegetation Coverage Change on Net Primary Productivity of Heihe River Basin During 2008-2014[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2017,24(04):204.
[10]唐霞,冯起.黑河流域历史时期土地利用变化及其驱动机制研究进展[J].水土保持研究,2015,22(03):336.
TANG Xia,FENG Qi.Analysis on Driving Mechanism of Land Use Change in Heihe River Basin During Historical Period[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2015,22(04):336.
备注/Memo
收稿日期:2021-05-25 修回日期:2021-06-15
资助项目:国家自然科学基金(31901130); 甘肃省省级林业和草原科技计划项目(2020kj054); 中国博士后科学基金(2020M673532); 甘肃省自然科学基金(20JR5RA277,20JR5RE645)
第一作者:杨晓高(1994—),男,甘肃武威人,硕士研究生,研究方向为流域生态水文。E-mail:yangxg19@lzu.edu.cn
通信作者:郝虎(1969—),男,甘肃张掖人,正高级工程师,主要从事森林生态学与自然保护区管理研究。E-mail:haohuqls@163.com