QI Min,ZHANG Chao.Runoff Simulation in Aksu River Basin Based on SWAT Model[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2017,24(03):283-287.
基于SWAT模型的阿克苏河流域径流模拟
- Title:
- Runoff Simulation in Aksu River Basin Based on SWAT Model
- Keywords:
- Aksu River Basin; SWAT model; runoff simulation; monthly runoff
- 分类号:
- P333.1
- 摘要:
- 阿克苏河流域地处中国西北干旱区域，受高寒气候影响，其冰川和积雪融化补给对流域径流量变化、区域水资源合理优化及生态环境的保护影响重大。结合阿克苏河流域融雪径流的产流、汇流的独特之处，应用SWAT分布式水文模型对其月均径流进行了模拟研究。收集阿克苏河流域7个气象站点1980—2013年的逐日观测数据和阿拉尔水文站2000—2013年月均实测径流数据，基于DEM数据、土地利用数据、土壤数据，建立适合阿克苏河流域的融雪径流模型并进行月均径流的模拟。结果表明：SWAT模型在阿克苏河流域具有良好的适用性，校准期和验证期相对误差RE均在8%以内，决定性系数R2和Nash-Sutcliffe效率系数NS均高于0.82，达到了模型的评价标准，为高海拔干旱区建立分布式水文模型提供了参考。
- Abstract:
- The Aksu River Basin is located in the arid northwest China, which has a large area of glacier and snow. In the situation of water scarcity, the runoff change has a great influence on reasonable optimization of water resources and the protection of ecological environment. In order to study the characteristics of snowmelt runoff in Aksu River Basin, SWAT, the distributed hydrological model, was used to simulate the monthly snowmelt runoff. The DEM data, landuse data, soil data were collected to build the geographic information database. The daily meteorological data from 7 national meteorological stations in Aksu River Basin during the period from 1980 to 2013 and the observed monthly hydrological data of the Alaer hydrological station in the Aksu River Basin were used to simulate the monthly runoff. The results indicated that the SWAT model had a good applicability for Aksu River basin. The relative error(RE) of the model between the simulated results and the observed data was less than 8% both in calibration and validation. The coefficient of determination (R2) and the Nash-Sutcliffe (NS) were both larger than 0.82. The SWAT model meets the evaluation criteria and provides the reference for developing the distributed hydrological model in the arid region of high altitude.
参考文献/References:
[1] 陈亚宁,崔旺诚,李卫红,等.塔里木河的水资源利用与生态保护[J].地理学报,2003,58(2):215-177.
[2] 朱凯.新疆阿克苏河流域径流演变规律及预测研究[D].杭州:浙江工业大学,2012.
[3] 李慧,雷晓云,等.基于SWAT模型的山区冰雪融水河流的日径流模拟研究[J].灌溉排水学报,2010,29(3):105-107.
[4] Berhara S, Panda R K. Evaluation of management alternatives for an agricultural watershed in a sub-humid subtropical region using a physical process based model[J]. Agriculture Ecosystems & Environment, 2006,113(1/4):62-72.
[5] 庞靖鹏,刘昌明,徐宗学.密云水库流域土地利用变化对产流和产沙的影响[J].北京师范大学学报:自然科学版,2010,46(3):290-299.
[6] Chanasyk D S, Mapfumo E, Willms W. Quantification and simulation of surface runoff from fescue grassland watersheds[J]. Agricultural Water Management, 2003,59(2):137-153.
[7] 赖正清,李硕,李呈罡,等. SWAT模型在黑河中上游的改进与应用[J].自然资源学报,2013,28(8):1404-1413.
[8] 刘新华,徐海量,凌红波,等.阿克苏河源流区径流量与降水量丰枯变化和相关性研究[J].冰川冻土,2013,35(3):741-750.
[9] 周德成,罗格平,尹昌应,等.近50a阿克苏河流域土地利用/覆被变化过程[J].2010,32(2):275-284.
[10] 郑宁.基于SWAT模型博阳河上游流域径流模拟及其气候变化响应[D].南昌:南昌大学,2011.
[11] 库路巴依,胡林金,陈建江,等.基于SWAT模型的叶尔羌河山区融雪径流模拟[J].人民黄河,2015,37(4):29-32.
[12] 孙瑞,张雪芹.基于SWAT模型的流域径流模拟研究进展[J].水文,2010,30(3):28-32.
[13] 陈岩.基于GIS和SWAT模型的母猪河流域径流模拟[D].北京:中国矿业大学,2014.
相似文献/References:
[1]任希岩,张雪松,郝芳华,等.DEM分辨率对产流产沙模拟影响研究[J].水土保持研究,2004,11(01):1.
REN Xi-yan,ZHANG Xue-song,HAO Fang-hua,et al.Effects of DEM Resolutions on Simulated Runoff and Sediment Yields[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2004,11(03):1.
[2]丁飞,潘剑君.分布式水文模型SWAT的发展与研究动态[J].水土保持研究,2007,14(01):33.
DING Fei,PAN Jian-jun.Development and Advances in Research on SWAT Model[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2007,14(03):33.
[3]于磊,朱新军.基于SWAT的中尺度流域土地利用变化水文响应模拟研究[J].水土保持研究,2007,14(04):53.
YU Lei,ZHU Xin-jun.Simulation of Hydrological Response to Land Use Changes in Medium Scale Basin Based on SWAT[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2007,14(03):53.
[4]秦富仓,张丽娟,余新晓,等.SWAT模型自动校准模块在云州水库流域参数率定研究[J].水土保持研究,2010,17(02):86.
QIN Fu-cang,ZHANG Li-juan,YU Xin-xiao,et al.Research of Automatic Calibration Module of SWAT Model in Yunzhou Reservoir Basin[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2010,17(03):86.
[5]卢爱刚,索安宁,张镭.基于SWAT模型的黄土高原典型区水土流失格局模拟评价[J].水土保持研究,2011,18(02):57.
LU Ai-gang,SUO An-ning,ZHANG Lei.Simulation of Spatial Pattern of Soil Water Loss in a Watershed of the Loess Plateau Based SWAT Model[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2011,18(03):57.
[6]谢媛媛.SWAT模型在黄土丘陵区参数敏感度分析及率正研究[J].水土保持研究,2012,19(04):204.
XIE Yuan-yuan.Study on the Sensitivity Analysis and Calibration of Parameter in SWAT Model[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2012,19(03):204.
[7]谢媛媛.基于SWAT模型的罗玉沟流域森林植被变化的水文生态响应研究[J].水土保持研究,2009,16(04):197.
XIE Yuan-yuan.Study on the Ecological Response of Hydrology on Forest Vegetation Change in Luoyu Watershed Based on the SWAT Model[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2009,16(03):197.
[8]朱丽,秦富仓,姚云峰,等.SWAT模型灵敏性分析模块在中尺度流域的应用——以密云县红门川流域为例[J].水土保持研究,2011,18(01):161.
ZHU Li,QIN Fu-cang,YAO Yun-feng,et al.Research of Sensitivity Analysis Module of SWAT Model in Middle-scale Watershed—A Case Study of Hongmenchuan Watershed in Miyun County[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2011,18(03):161.
[9]孙丽娜,梁冬梅.东辽河流域未来土地利用变化对水文影响的研究[J].水土保持研究,2016,23(05):164.
SUN Lina,LIANG Dongmei.Effect of Future Land Use Change on Hydrology in Dongliaohe Basin[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2016,23(03):164.
[10]史晓亮,杨志勇,吕杰,等.滦河流域气候变化的水文响应研究[J].水土保持研究,2016,23(02):123.
SHI Xiaoliang,YANG Zhiyong,Lü Jie,et al.Hydrological Response to Climate Change in Luanhe River Basin[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2016,23(03):123.
备注/Memo
收稿日期:2016-09-18;改回日期:2016-10-24。
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目（31460195，31660236）
作者简介:祁敏(1992-),女,山东东营人,硕士研究生,主要从事林业遥感研究。E-mail:764935227@qq.com
通讯作者:张超(1980-),男,河北唐山人,博士,副教授,主要从事森林经理学研究。E-mail:zhchgis@126.com