[1]许兴斌,王勇辉,姚俊强.艾比湖流域气候变化及对地表水资源的影响[J].水土保持研究,2015,22(03):121-126.
　XU Xingbin,WANG Yonghui,YAO Junqiang.Impact of the Climate Change of Ebinur Lake Basin on Surface Water Resources[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2015,22(03):121-126.
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艾比湖流域气候变化及对地表水资源的影响

《水土保持研究》[ISSN:1005-3409/CN:61-1272/P] 卷: 22 期数: 2015年03期 页码: 121-126 栏目: 出版日期: 2015-06-28
Title:
Impact of the Climate Change of Ebinur Lake Basin on Surface Water Resources
作者:
许兴斌1,2, 王勇辉1,2, 姚俊强3
1. 新疆干旱区湖泊环境与资源重点实验室, 乌鲁木齐 830054;
2. 新疆师范大学 地理科学与旅游学院, 乌鲁木齐 830054;
3. 中国气象局乌鲁木齐沙漠气象研究所, 乌鲁木齐 830002
Author(s):
XU Xingbin1,2, WANG Yonghui1,2, YAO Junqiang3
1. Xinjiang Laboratory of Lake Environment and Resources in Arid Zone, Urumqi 830054, China;
2. College of Geography and Tourism, Xinjiang Normal University, Urumqi 830054, China;
3. Institute of Desert Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration, Urumqi 830002, China
关键词:
艾比湖流域; 气候变化; 突变; 水资源
Keywords:
Ebinur Lake Basin; climate change; mutate; water resource
分类号:
P467;P332.1
摘要:
利用艾比湖流域逐月气温、降水数据，结合流域地表径流和艾比湖湖泊面积数据，分析了1961—2010年流域气候要素变化趋势和突变特征，探讨了气候变化对流域地表水资源的影响。结果表明：（1）近50 a来艾比湖流域气温、降水均呈波动上升趋势，气候由暖干型向暖湿型转变。冬季升温对流域气温增幅贡献率大，气温在1995年发生突变。冬季降水量增幅明显，夏季只有温泉站点降水量增幅显著，降水量在1984年发生突变；（2）流域年均气温与径流量呈正相关，年降水量与径流量的变化呈显著同步性；（3）流域年平均气温与艾比湖面积大小关系复杂；年平均降水量与湖泊面积的变化趋势趋于同步，1996—1999年这种同步性更明显；（4）气候变化直接影响冰川伸缩与雪线升降，冰川数量和规模均逐渐减小，用水矛盾日益尖锐，影响绿洲社会经济发展。
Abstract:
Using data of monthly temperature, precipitation of Ebinur Lake Basin, and combining its overland runoff and lake area, we analyzed the variation trend and mutation characteristics of climate elements in Ebinur Lake basin from 1961 to 2010 and discussed the impact of the climate change on surface water resources. The results indicated that: (1) the temperature and precipitation in Ebinur Lake Basin both reflected a fluctuating upward trend in recent 50 years, with the climate changing from a warm-dry to warm-wet type, temperature rise in winter contributed to the temperature rise of Ebinur Lake Basin, the temperature mutated in 1995, precipitation showed remarkable increase in winter, this increase is only notable in hotspring in summer, precipitation mutated in 1984; (2) annual mean temperature was positively correlated with runoff volume in Ebinur Lake Basin, variation of annual mean precipitation was remarkably synchronized with that of runoff volume; (3) it was complex between the higher annual mean temperature and area of Ebinur Lake Basin. The trends of the precipitation show good agreement with the lake area, especially the 1996—1999; (4) climate change directly impacted the glacier scale and snow line height. The gradual decline of glacier scale and deficiency of water resources will affect the development of oasis social economy.

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备注/Memo

收稿日期:2014-07-22;改回日期:2014-09-04。
基金项目:新疆维吾尔自治区自然资助项目“艾比湖湿地泥炭资源特性及应用研究”（2013211A023）
作者简介:许兴斌(1987-),男,甘肃陇西人,硕士,研究方向为干旱区资源利用与环境演变研究。E-mail:xuxingbin0214@126.com
通讯作者:王勇辉(1977-),男,新疆奎屯人,博士,讲师,主要从事干旱区资源利用与环境演变研究。E-mail:wyhsd_3011@163.com

更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01