ZHANG Yujiao,ZENG Jie,CHEN Wanxu,et al.Assessment on Ecological Risk of Danjiangkou Reservoir Area Based on Adaptive Cycle[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2022,29(01):349-360.
基于适应性循环的丹江口库区生态风险评价
- Title:
- Assessment on Ecological Risk of Danjiangkou Reservoir Area Based on Adaptive Cycle
- 文章编号:
- 1005-3409(2022)01-0349-12
- Keywords:
- assessment on ecological risk; socio-ecological system; adaptive cycle; Danjiangkou Reservoir area
- 分类号:
- X826
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- 库区是流域水系的重要组成部分,厘清库区经济社会发展过程中的生态环境效应和综合生态风险,对库区生态风险适应与缓解的决策制定具有重要意义。现有研究忽视了库区生态系统的自组织动态演化过程,有必要进一步考虑库区生态系统与社会系统的时空交互过程,对库区生态风险进行更为综合性和针对性的评价,弥补库区生态风险定量化评价研究空缺。基于此,以丹江口库区为例,综合考虑库区生态环境、景观结构及人类活动等要素,构建基于适应性循环理论框架的“潜力—连通度—韧性”三维综合评价指标体系,选取1990—2018年7个年份的数据,对研究区7个县(市、区)的生态风险适应性循环周期进行刻画。结果表明:(1)丹江口库区整体生态风险水平呈波动状下降趋势,生态风险变化趋势存在地域差异,淅川县、茅箭区、张湾区为生态风险上升地区;(2)适应性循环的阶段特征能够为判断库区生态风险现状提供依据,适应性循环释放阶段、重组阶段及僵化阶段表现出生态系统风险上升的趋势。修正后的适应性循环模型对系统僵化风险的指示作用更加明显,2015年以来,丹江口库区社会—生态系统处于重要的转折阶段,有效防止生态风险的进一步扩大是当前库区生态系统管理的关键所在,对于维持库区社会—生态系统的可持续性至关重要。
- Abstract:
- The reservoir area is an important part of the river basin and water system. It is of great significance for the decision making of ecological risk adaptation and mitigation to clarify the eco-environmental effects and comprehensive ecological risks in the process of socio-economic development of the reservoir area. The study of self-organization dynamic evolution process of the ecosystems in the reservoir areas has been ignored in the existing researches, it is therefore necessary to further consider the spatiotemporal interaction process between the ecosystem and the socio-economic system in the reservoir area, and to make a more comprehensive and targeted assessment on the ecological risk to make up for the lack of quantitative evaluation of ecological risk in reservoir area. To this end, this study attempted to take Danjiangkou Reservoir area as the study case to characterize the cycle of ecological risk adaptability in seven counties in the Danjiangkou Reservoir area based on the theoretical framework of potential-connectivity-resilience, which comprehensively considered factors such as the ecological environment, landscape structure and human activities in the reservoir area from 1990 to 2018. The results showed that:(1)the overall ecological risk level in Danjiangkou Reservoir showed a fluctuating downward trend, and there were regional differences in the variation trend of ecological risk; Xichuan County, Maojian District, and Zhangwan District were the regions with increasing ecological risk;(2)the stage of the adaptive cycle could provide basises for judging the current ecological risk situation in the reservoir area; the phases of release, reorganization, and fossilization of the adaptive cycle showed an increasing trend of ecological risk. The modified adaptive cycle model has a more obvious indicator effect on the risk of system fossilization. Since 2015, the socio-ecosystem of Danjiangkou Reservoir area has been at an important transition stage. Effective prevention of further aggravation of ecological risks is the key to the current ecosystem management of the reservoir area, which is crucial for maintaining the sustainability of the socio-ecosystem of the reservoir area.
参考文献/References:
[1] 彭建,王仰麟,吴健生,等.区域生态系统健康评价:研究方法与进展[J].生态学报,2007,27(11):4877-4885.[2] 彭建,党威雄,刘焱序,等.景观生态风险评价研究进展与展望[J].地理学报,2015,70(4):664-677.[3] 石洪华.典型城市生态风险评价与管理对策研究[D].山东青岛:中国海洋大学,2008.[4] 王慧芳,饶恩明,肖燚,等.基于多风险源胁迫的西南地区生态风险评价[J].生态学报,2018,38(24):8992-9000.[5] 曾建军,邹明亮,郭建军,等.生态风险评价研究进展综述[J].环境监测管理与技术,2017,29(1):1-5,10.[6] Chen C M, Liu M C. Ecological risk assessment on a cadmium contaminated soil landfill-a preliminary evaluation based on toxicity tests on local species and site-specific information[J]. the Science of the Total Environment, 2006,359(1/3):120-129.[7] Cumming G S, Barnes G, Perz S G, et al. An Exploratory Framework for the Empirical Measurement of Resilience[J]. Ecosystems, 2005,8(8):975-987.[8] Glaser M, Diele K. Asymmetric outcomes:assessing central aspects of the biological, economic and social sustainability of a mangrove crab fishery, Ucides cordatus(Ocypodidae), in North Brazil[J]. Ecological Economics, 2004,49(3):361-373.[9] 马学成,巩杰,柳冬青,等.社会生态系统研究态势:文献计量分析视角[J].地球科学进展,2018,33(4):435-444.[10] 孙晶,王俊,杨新军.社会—生态系统恢复力研究综述[J].生态学报,2007,27(12):5371-5381.[11] Holling C S. Understanding the Complexity of Economic, Ecological, and Social Systems[J]. Ecosystems, 2001,4(5):390-405.[12] Chapman A, Darby S. Evaluating sustainable adaptation strategies for vulnerable mega-deltas using system dynamics modelling:Rice agriculture in the Mekong Delta's An Giang Province, Vietnam[J]. Science of the Total Environment, 2016,559(2):326-338.[13] 刘焱序,王仰麟,彭建,等.基于生态适应性循环三维框架的城市景观生态风险评价[J].地理学报,2015,70(7):1052-1067.[14] 顾寒月,王群,杨万明.旅游地适应性循环模型修正及实证研究:以大别山区金寨县为例[J].旅游学刊,2020,35(6):125-134.[15] 张向龙,杨新军,王俊,等.基于恢复力定量测度的社会—生态系统适应性循环研究:以榆中县北部山区为例[J].西北大学学报:自然科学版,2013,43(6):952-956.[16] 陈万旭,刘志玲,李江风,等.长江中游城市群生态系统服务和城镇化之间的空间关系研究[J].生态学报,2020,40(15):5137-5150.[17] 陈万旭,李江风,曾杰,等.中国土地利用变化生态环境效应的空间分异性与形成机理[J].地理研究,2019,38(9):2173-2187.[18] Luo F H, Liu Y X, Peng J, et al. Assessing urban landscape ecological risk through an adaptive cycle framework[J]. Landscape and Urban Planning, 2018,180:125-134.[19] 徐新良.中国年度植被指数(NDVI)空间分布数据集.中国科学院资源环境科学数据中心数据注册与出版系统(http:∥www. resdc. cn/DOI),2018. DOI:10.12078/2018060601.[20] 范冬萍,何德贵.基于CAS理论的社会生态系统适应性治理进路分析[J].学术研究,2018(12):6-11,177.[21] 莫悠,范建红.恢复力视角下乡村文化遗产演变机制与保护策略研究:以广州莲溪村为例[J].中国文化遗产,2018(6):74-80.[22] 余中元,李波,张新时.社会生态系统及脆弱性驱动机制分析[J].生态学报,2014,34(7):1870-1879.[23] 陈娅玲.陕西秦岭地区旅游社会—生态系统脆弱性评价及适应性管理对策研究[D].西安:西北大学,2013.[24] 王琦妍.社会—生态系统概念性框架研究综述[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2011,21(S1):440-443.[25] Beisner B E, Haydon D T, Cuddington K. Alternative stable states in ecology[J]. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 2003,1(7):376-382.[26] 赵直.天池博格达自然保护区社会—生态系统适应性循环机制及调控对策研究[D].西安:西北大学,2014.[27] Sundstrom S M, Allen C R. The adaptive cycle: More than a metaphor[J]. Ecological Complexity, 2019,39:100767.[28] Zwick M, Hughes J. Formalizing the panarchy adaptive cycle with the cusp catastrophe[C]//Proceedings of the 2017 International Conference of The Computational Social Science Society of the Americas. 2017: 1-5.[29] Bradtmoeller M, Grimm S, Riel-Salvatore J. Resilience theory in archaeological practice-An annotated review[J]. Quaternary International, 2017,446:3-16.[30] Wilcox B A, Alonso A A, Nicole D P, et al. Operationalizing one health employing social-ecological systems theory: lessons from the greater mekong sub-region[J]. Frontiers in Public Health, 2019,85(7):1-12.[31] Xu L, Marinova D, Guo X. Resilience thinking:a renewed system approach for sustainability science[J]. Sustainability Science, 2015,10(1):123-138.[32] 周启刚,张晓媛,王兆林.基于正态云模型的三峡库区土地利用生态风险评价[J].农业工程学报,2014,30(23):289-297.[33] 刘春艳,张科,刘吉平.1976—2013年三江平原景观生态风险变化及驱动力[J].生态学报,2018,38(11):3729-3740.[34] 简卿,张立强,张蓬涛,等.基于显隐性分析的青龙满族自治县景观生态风险评价空间分异研究[J].水土保持研究,2018,25(6):228-235.[35] 陈利顶,傅伯杰,王军.黄土丘陵区典型小流域土地利用变化研究:以陕西延安地区大南沟流域为例[J].地理科学,2001,21(1):46-51.[36] 李潇然,李阳兵,韩芳芳.基于土地利用的三峡库区生态屏障带生态风险评价[J].水土保持通报,2015,35(4):188-194,2.[37] 赵岩洁,李阳兵,邵景安.基于土地利用变化的三峡库区小流域生态风险评价:以草堂溪为例[J].自然资源学报,2013,28(6):944-956.[38] 袁超,陈永柏.三峡水库生态调度的适应性管理研究[J].长江流域资源与环境,2011,20(3):269-275.[39] 姜仁贵.变化环境下水资源适应性管理模式研究[D].西安:西安理工大学,2013.
相似文献/References:
[1]文军,骆东奇,罗献宝,等.千岛湖底泥重金属污染的生态风险评价[J].水土保持研究,2006,13(01):11.
WEN Jun,LUO Dong-qi,LUO Xian-bao,et al.Ecological Risk Assessment on Heavy Metals in the Bottom Mud of the Qiandao Lake[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2006,13(01):11.
[2]贾启建,何玲.河北省怀来县宜耕未利用地开发适宜性及生态风险评价[J].水土保持研究,2017,24(04):83.
JIA Qijian,HE Ling.Arable Land Suitability and Ecological Risk Evaluation for Unutilized Land Resources in Huailai County, Hebei Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2017,24(01):83.
[3]张晓媛,周启刚,张建军.基于综合模糊评价的三峡库区屏障带重庆段土地利用生态风险评价[J].水土保持研究,2013,20(06):262.
ZHANG Xiao-yuan,ZHOU Qi-gang,ZHANG Jian-jun.Land Use Ecological Risk Evaluation of the Barrier Area of Three Gorges Reservoir Area in Chongqing Based on Comprehensive Fuzzy Evaluation[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2013,20(01):262.
[4]周启刚,张晓媛,杨霏,等.基于PSR模型的三峡库区重庆段土地利用生态风险评价[J].水土保持研究,2013,20(05):187.
ZHOU Qi-gang,ZHANG Xiao-yuan,YANG Fei,et al.Land Use Ecological Risk Evaluation of the Three Gorges Reservoir Area in Chongqing Based on PSR Model[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2013,20(01):187.
[5]闫慧慧,耿其明,李航,等.河北沽源县未利用地宜耕、宜建及生态风险综合评价[J].水土保持研究,2019,26(01):360.
YAN Huihui,GENG Qiming,LI Hang,et al.Arable Suitability, Constructive Suitability and Ecological Risk Comprehensive Evaluation of Unutilized Land in Guyuan County, Hebei Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2019,26(01):360.
[6]陈为峰,孙其远,宋希亮,等.不同城市功能区绿地土壤重金属分布及其生态风险评价[J].水土保持研究,2019,26(03):148.
CHEN Weifeng,SUN Qi Yuan,SONG Xi Liang,et al.Distribution and Ecological Risk Assessment of Heavy Metal Elements in Soils of Green Spaces at Different Urban Functional Areas[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2019,26(01):148.
备注/Memo
收稿日期:2020-12-18 修回日期:2021-02-27资助项目:国家自然科学基金项目“微观尺度下城镇空间扩张对生态系统服务的影响”(41701629); 国家自然科学基金项目“农村居民点居业功能协同演化机理研究”(42001231); 国家自然科学基金项目“长江中游城市群城镇化对生态系统健康驱动机制差异性研究”(42001187); 教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目“宅基地 “三权分置”对农业转移人口市民化意愿的影响机制及调控策略研究”(19YJCZH224); 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目“库区景观生态风险识别与预警”(CUGW170206)第一作者:张玉娇(1995—),女,山东青州人,在读硕士生,研究方向为景观生态与生态系统服务。E-mail:zhangyujiao957@163.com通信作者:曾杰(1985—),男,湖北钟祥人,研究生导师,博士,主要从事土地利用与生态系统服务、国土空间规划研究。E-mail:zengjie@cug.edu.cn