[1]张秋霞,张合兵,刘文锴,等.新郑市耕地生态安全动态预警研究[J].水土保持研究,2017,24(01):256-264.
　ZHANG Qiuxia,ZHANG Hebing,LIU Wenkai,et al.Study on Early-warning of Cultivated Land Ecological Security in Xinzheng City[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2017,24(01):256-264.
点击复制

新郑市耕地生态安全动态预警研究

《水土保持研究》[ISSN:1005-3409/CN:61-1272/P] 卷: 24 期数: 2017年01期 页码: 256-264 栏目: 出版日期: 2017-02-28
Title:
Study on Early-warning of Cultivated Land Ecological Security in Xinzheng City
作者:
张秋霞1, 张合兵1, 刘文锴2, 刘怡真3
1. 河南理工大学 测绘与国土信息工程学院, 河南 焦作 454000;
2. 华北水利水电大学, 郑州 450046;
3. 河南省地图院, 郑州 450008
Author(s):
ZHANG Qiuxia1, ZHANG Hebing1, LIU Wenkai2, LIU Yizhen3
1. School of Surveying and Land Information Engineering, He’nan Polytechnic University, Jiaozuo, He’nan 454000, China;
2. North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou 450046, China;
3. Map Institute of He’nan Province Zhengzhou 450008, China
关键词:
耕地生态安全; 障碍度; 变权物元可拓模型; 新郑市
Keywords:
cultivated land ecological security; obstacle degree; matter-element extension model; Xinzheng City
分类号:
F323.22
摘要:
耕地生态安全预警对改善耕地生态安全水平，保障粮食安全具有重要的意义。以河南省粮食主产区新郑市为研究对象，基于压力、状态、响应（P-S-R）和生态、环境、经济、社会（E-E-E-S）框架模型，构建了耕地生态安全预警指标体系。引入变权理论确定指标权重，运用改进物元可拓模型确定新郑市2001—2010年耕地生态安全预警等级，并采用障碍度模型分析耕地生态安全障碍因子。结果表明：2001—2010年新郑市耕地生态安全水平总体呈现上升趋势，预警等级由Ⅲ级（预警）上升为Ⅳ级（较安全）；2009—2010年预警等级虽处于较安全（Ⅳ级），但有下降趋势。制约新郑市耕地生态安全水平的主要障碍因子是地均化肥使用强度、耕地复种指数、人均粮食产量、城市化水平、耕地垦殖率、人口自然增长率、人均水资源量、地均地膜使用强度、第三产业占GDP比重、农业经济比重、未利用土地比重等，这些因子应是今后改善新郑市耕地生态安全的重点。
Abstract:
Early warning of cultivated land ecological security is greatly helpful for the cultivated land ecological security situation and food security. Taking the major grain-producing area of Xinzheng City in He’nan Province as the research object, we constructed an evaluation index system of cultivated land ecological security early-warning by employing the Pressure-State-Response (P-S-R) conceptual framework model and Ecological-Environment-Economy-Society (E-E-E-S) framework model. Introducing variable weight theory to determine the weights of all rating indices, the early-warning level of cultivated land ecological from 2001 to 2010 in Xinzheng City of He’nan Province was calculated based on improved matter-element extension model, and concluded main obstruction factors which were relevant with cultivated land ecological security by using disorder degree model. The results indicated that the overall level of cultivated land ecological security presented an upward trend from ‘early warning’ to ‘relative security’ in Xinzheng City from 2001 to 2010. The early-warning values of cultivated land ecological secutrity was appeared to the downward trend from 2009 to 2010 although level characterized as ‘relative security’. The key obstacles for further improvement of cultivated land ecological security of Xinzheng City included fertilizer load per unit of cultivated land, the multiple cropping index of cultivated land, per capita output of grain, urbanization, land reclamation rate, population growth rate, per capita possession of water resources, mulch load per unit of cultivated land, the proportion of the tertiary industry in the gross domestic product, the proportion of the agricultural economy, the proportion of unused land. These factors are the focus to be improved in terms of cultivated land ecological security of Xinzheng City in the future.

参考文献/References:

[1] 张利,陈影,王树涛,等.滨海快速城市化地区土地生态安全评价与预警:以曹妃甸新区为例[J].应用生态学报,2015,26(8):2445-2454.
[2] Tian J, Gang G. Research on regional ecological security assessment[J]. Energy Procedia, 2012,16:1180-1186.
[3] Han B, Liu H, Wang R. Urban ecological security assessment for cities in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei metropolitan region based on fuzzy and entropy methods[J]. Ecological Modelling, 2015,318:217-225.
[4] Liang P, Liming D, Guijie Y. Ecological security assessment of Beijing based on PSR model[J]. Procedia Environmental Sciences, 2010,2:832-841.
[5] Hua Y E, Yan M A, Limin D. Land ecological security assessment for Bai autonomous prefecture of Dali based using PSR model-with data in 2009 as case[J]. Energy Procedia, 2011,5:2172-2177.
[6] 赵文晖,杨伟州,王利香,等.基于可拓优度评价模型的耕地生态安全评价:以保定市为例[J].河南农业科学,2015,44(2):60-65.
[7] Li X, Tian M, Wang H, et al. Development of an ecological security evaluation method based on the ecological footprint and application to a typical steppe region in China[J]. Ecological Indicators, 2014,39:153-159.
[8] 蔡银莺,罗成.江汉平原耕地资源生态安全状况及空间集聚格局[J].华中农业大学学报:社会科学版,2015(5):110-120.
[9] 蔡文,杨春燕,林伟初.可拓工程方法[M].北京:科学出版社,1997:202-209.
[10] 李泓泽,郭森,唐辉,等,基于改进变权物元可拓模型的电能质量综合评价[J].电网技术,2013(03):653-659.
[11] Wu G C, Niu X. Application of an evaluation model based on Punishing variable weight for early warning of land ecological security[J]. Resources Science, 2010,32(5):992-999.
[12] 张晓平.基于贴近度的模糊综合评判结果的集化[J].山东大学学报:理学版,2004,39(2):25-29.
[13] 王金南,吴舜泽.环境安全管理:评估与预警[M].北京:科学出版社,2007.
[14] 荣联伟,师学义,高奇,等.黄土高原山丘区土地生态安全动态评价及预测[J].水土保持研究,2015,22(3):210-216.
[15] 周彬,钟林生,陈田,等.基于变权模型的舟山群岛生态安全预警[J].应用生态学报,2015,26(6):1854-1862.
[16] 张锐,郑华伟,刘友兆.基于PSR模型的耕地生态安全物元分析评价[J].生态学报,2013,33(16):5090-5100.

相似文献/References:

[1]崔明哲,杨凤海,李佳.基于组合赋权法的哈尔滨市耕地生态安全评价[J].水土保持研究,2012,19(06):184.
　CUI Ming-zhe,YANG Feng-hai,LI Jia.Analysis of Cultivated Land Ecological Security Assessment of Harbin City Based on Combination Weighting Method[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2012,19(01):184.
[2]周晓飞,雷国平,徐珊.城市土地利用绩效评价及障碍度诊断——以哈尔滨市为例[J].水土保持研究,2012,19(02):126.
　ZHOU Xiao-fei,LEI Guo-ping,XU Shan.An Evaluation of Urban Land Use Performance and Diagnosis of Its Obstacle Degree——A Case Study of Harbin City[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2012,19(01):126.
[3]徐辉,雷国平,崔登攀,等.耕地生态安全评价研究——以黑龙江省宁安市为例[J].水土保持研究,2011,18(06):180.
　XU Hui,LEI Guo-ping,CUI Deng-pan,et al.Study on Evaluation for Ecological Security of Cultivated Land -A Case Study of Ning’an City in Heilongjiang Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2011,18(01):180.
[4]陈磊,田双清,张宽,等.基于耗散结构理论的四川省耕地生态安全测度分析[J].水土保持研究,2017,24(02):307.
　CHEN Lei,TIAN Shuangqing,ZHANG Kuan,et al.Analysis on the Ecological Security Measure of Cultivated Land in Sichuan Province Based on the Dissipative Structure Theory[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2017,24(01):307.
[5]杨俊,宋振江,李争.基于PSR模型的耕地生态安全评价——以长江中下游粮食主产区为例[J].水土保持研究,2017,24(03):301.
　YANG jun,SONG Zhenjiang,LI Zheng.Assessment of Cultivated Land Ecological Safety Based on PSR Method —The Case Study of Main Grain Production Area of the Lower Yangtze Region[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2017,24(01):301.
[6]郑秋霞,匡耀求,黄宁生,等.广东省旅游生态安全时空测度及障碍因子诊断[J].水土保持研究,2017,24(05):252.
　ZHENG Qiuxia,KUANG Yaoqiu,HUANG Ningsheng,et al.Spatiotemporal Measurement and Diagnosis of Obstacle Factors on Tourism Eco-security in Guangdong Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2017,24(01):252.
[7]吴一凡,雷国平,路昌,等.基于改进TOPSIS模型的大庆市城市土地利用绩效评价及障碍度诊断[J].水土保持研究,2015,22(04):85.
　WU Yifan,LEI Guoping,LU Chang,et al.Evaluation of Urban Land Use Performance Based on the Improved TOPSIS Model and Diagnosis of Its Obstacle Degree in Daqing[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2015,22(01):85.
[8]胡志朋,杨凤海,周晓飞.肇源县耕地集约利用评价及障碍度诊断[J].水土保持研究,2013,20(01):148.
　HU Zhi-peng,YANG Feng-hai,ZHOU Xiao-fei.Evaluation of Intensive Cultivated Land Use and Diagnosis of Obstacle Degree in Zhaoyuan County, Heilongjiang Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2013,20(01):148.
[9]周磊,黄秋昊.基于灰色关联TOPSIS的城市土地效益评价及障碍因子诊断[J].水土保持研究,2014,21(04):39.
　ZHOU Lei,HUANG Qiu-hao.Efficiency Evaluation on Urban Land Use Based on the Gray Correlation TOPSIS Method and Diagnosis of Its Obstacle Indicators[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2014,21(01):39.
[10]李政,何伟,潘洪义,等.基于熵权TOPSIS法与ARIMA模型的四川省耕地生态安全动态预测预警[J].水土保持研究,2018,25(03):217.
　LI Zheng,HE Wei,PAN Hongyi,et al.Dynamic Prediction and Early Warning of Cultivated Land Ecological Security in Sichuan Province Based on Improved TOPSIS Method and ARIMA Model[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2018,25(01):217.

备注/Memo

收稿日期:2016-04-25;改回日期:2016-06-20。
基金项目:国土资源部公益性行业科研专项“河南省典型区高标准基本农田建设技术及应用”（201411022）
作者简介:张秋霞(1985-),女,河南济源人,博士研究生,研究方向为矿区土地复垦与生态重建。E-mail:zqx307784104@163.com

更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01