[1]王德录,高标.区域生态足迹与经济增长演进关系及其社会经济动因[J].水土保持研究,2016,23(05):278-284.
　WANG Delu,GAO Biao.Evolution Relationship Between Regional Ecological Footprint and Economic Growth and Its Socioeconomic Driving Factors[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2016,23(05):278-284.
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区域生态足迹与经济增长演进关系及其社会经济动因

《水土保持研究》[ISSN:1005-3409/CN:61-1272/P] 卷: 23 期数: 2016年05期 页码: 278-284 栏目: 出版日期: 2016-10-28
Title:
Evolution Relationship Between Regional Ecological Footprint and Economic Growth and Its Socioeconomic Driving Factors
作者:
王德录1, 高标2
1. 白城师范学院 经济与管理学院, 吉林 白城 137000;
2. 白城师范学院 地理科学学院, 吉林 白城 137000
Author(s):
WANG Delu1, GAO Biao2
1. School of Economics and Management, Baicheng Normal University, Baicheng, Jilin 137000, China;
2. School of Geography Science, Baicheng Normal University, Baicheng, Jilin 137000, China
关键词:
生态经济学; 生态足迹; 经济增长; 可持续发展; STIRPAT模型; 驱动因素; 白城市
Keywords:
ecological economics; ecological footprint; economic growth; sustainable development; STIRPAT model; driving factors; Baicheng City
分类号:
F062.2;X22
摘要:
以吉林省白城市为例，在区域生态足迹计算、动态分析的基础上，研究区域生态足迹与经济增长演进关系及其社会经济驱动因素。基于生态足迹模型计算了白城市2003—2013年人均生态足迹、人均生态承载力与生态赤字（盈余），分析了三者的动态变化，评价了白城市可持续发展状况；基于环境库兹涅茨曲线（EKC）模型探究了白城市人均生态足迹与经济增长的演进关系；基于STIRPAT模型探析了白城市人均生态足迹的社会经济驱动因素。结果表明：2003—2013年，白城市人均生态足迹、人均生态承载力分别由1.392 9，1.785 3 hm2/人增加到2.967 0，3.064 6 hm2/人。人均生态足迹增速大于人均生态承载力，生态盈余呈逐渐减小状态，由0.392 4 hm2/人减小至0.097 6 hm2/人，在2012年出现生态赤字0.046 8 hm2/人，可持续发展状况开始恶化；白城市人均生态足迹与经济增长的演进曲线呈现为“勺子型”，预计拐点出现在2014年，之后人均生态足迹将随着经济增长呈下降走势；人口数、可比价格人均GDP、单位GDP能耗、第二产业比率、城市化率、恩格尔系数为白城市人均生态足迹的社会经济驱动因素，驱动力指数分别为0.157 5，0.164 7，1.050 0，0.471 9，0.020 6，0.588 5。白城市必须采取行之有效的对策，优化产业布局与能源结构，加大科技投入与转化力度，发展生态经济，加强耕地保护，提高人民生态文明水平，进而提升区域自然生态与社会经济的可持续性。
Abstract:
A case study was conducted in Baicheng City of Jilin Province. Evolution relationship between regional ecological footprint and economic growth, and its socioeconomic driving factors are examined based on calculation and dynamic analysis of regional ecological footprint. The ecological footprint per capita, ecological capacity per capita and ecological deficit (surplus) were calculated based on the ecological footprint models from 2003 to 2013, their dynamic changes were analyzed, and the state of sustainable development was evaluated. Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) was used to analyze the evolution relationship between ecological footprint per capita and economic growth. The socioeconomic driving factors of ecological footprint per capita were studied based on STIRPAT model. The results indicate that ecological footprint per capita increased from 1.392 9 hm2 per capita in 2003 to 2.967 0 hm2 per capita in 2013, and ecological capacity per capita increased from 1.785 3 hm2 per capita in 2003 to 3.064 6 hm2 per capita in 2013. In the same period, ecological surplus decreased from 0.392 4 hm2 per capita in 2003 to 0.097 6 hm2 per capita in 2013 because the growth of the former was greater than the latter, and ecological deficit appeared in 2012 which its value was 0.046 8 hm2 per capita, the state of sustainable development began to deteriorate. The evolution curve of ecological footprint per capita and economic growth was spoon-shape, and the turning point will appear in 2014, after 2014, ecological footprint per capita will decrease along with the economic growth. Population, comparable price per capita GDP, the unit GDP energy consumption, second industry ratio, urbanization rate, Engel coefficient were the socioeconomic driving factors on ecological footprint per capita, and their driving force indexes were 0.157 5, 0.164 7, 1.050 0, 0.471 9, 0.020 6 and 0.588 5, respectively. Baicheng City must take effective measures to optimize the industrial layout and energy structure, increase the strength of input and transformation in science and technology, develop ecological economy, strengthen farmland protection and improve the people’s ecology civilization, and then promote the regional sustainability of natural ecological and socioeconomic.

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备注/Memo

收稿日期:2015-10-28;改回日期:2015-11-15。
基金项目:吉林省教育厅科技研究项目[吉教科合字（2014）第561号]；吉林省科技发展计划项目（20120408）；国家自然科学基金（41430857）
作者简介:王德录(1962-),男,吉林白城人,讲师,硕士,主要从事生态经济管理研究。E-mail:bcsygb@126.com
通讯作者:高标(1980-),男,吉林白城人,副教授,博士,主要从事土地利用与生态环境研究。E-mail:niatgb@126.com

更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01