[1] 黄建平,季明霞,刘玉芝,等.干旱半干旱区气候变化研究综述[J].气候变化研究进展,2013,9(1):9-14.
[2] 李培月,刘璐,高晓花.也谈全球气候变暖问题[J].环境科学与管理,2009,34(11):4-49.
[3] 徐贵青,魏文寿.新疆气候变化及其对生态环境的影响[J].干旱区地理,2004,27(1):14-18.
[4] Tang X, Lv X, He Y. Features of climate change and their effects on glacier snow melting in Xinjiang, China[J]. Comptes Rendus Geoscience, 2013,345(2):93-100.
[5] 李珍,姜逢清.1961-2004年新疆气候突变分析[J].冰川冻土,2007,29(3):351-359.
[6] 刘波,冯锦明,马柱国,等.1960-2005年新疆气候变化的基本特征[J].气候与环境研究,2009,14(4):414-426.
[7] 张延伟,魏文寿,姜逢清,等.近50 a新疆气温和降水量变化及其与NAO指数的交叉小波谱分析[J].高原气象,2012,31(4):974-982.
[8] Li Qihu, Chen Yaning, Shen Yanjun. Spatial and Temporal Trends of Climate Change in Xin Jiang, China[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2011,21(6):1007-1018.
[9] 张生军,王天明,王涛,等.新疆近50 a来降水量时空变化及其突变分析[J].中国沙漠,2010,30(3):668-674.
[10] 魏凤英.现代气候统计诊断与预测技术[M].北京:气象出版社,2007.
[11] 贺伟,布仁仓,熊在平,等.1961-2005年东北地区气温和降水变化趋势[J].生态学报,2013,33(2):519-531.
[12] 符淙斌,王强.气候突变的定义和检测方法[J].大气科学,1992,16(4):482-493.
[13] 孙秀忠,孙照渤,罗勇.1960-2005年东北地区降雪变化特征研究[J].气象与环境学报,2010,26(1):1-5.
[14] 吴文玉,马晓群,陈晓艺,等. GIS支持下安徽省近35 a参考作物蒸散量的时空变化[J].农业工程学报,2010,26(2):251-256.
[15] 何清,袁玉江,魏文寿,等.新疆地表水资源对气候变化的响应初探[J].中国沙漠,2003,23(5):17-20.
[16] 邓晓斌.基于ArcGIS两种空间插值方法的比较[J].地理空间信息,2008,6(6):85-87.
[17] 任国玉,郭军,徐铭志,等.近50 a中国地面气候变化基本特征[J].气象学报,2005,63(6):942-956.
[18] Qin Dahe, DingYihui,Su Jilan,et al. Assessment of Climate and Environment Changes in China(I):Climate and Environment Changes in China and Their Projections[J].Advances in Climate Change Research, 2006(2):1-5.
[19] 胡春丽,艾丽坤.新疆45a温度变化特征[A].中国气象学会,2007.
[20] 甘艳露,李宏,马勇刚,等.近50a新疆北疆地区气候变化趋势分析研究[J].云南地理环境研究,2012,24(6):80-86.
[21] 邓振镛,张强,尹宪志,等.干旱灾害对干旱气候变化的响应[J].冰川冻土,2007,29(1):114-118.
[22] 普宗朝,张山清,王胜兰,等.近48a新疆干湿气候时空变化特征[J].中国沙漠,2011,31(6):1563-1572.
[23] 普宗朝,张山清.1961-2008年新疆夏半年干湿气候时空变化[J].干旱区资源与环境,2011,25(9):138-144.
[24] 胡汝骥,樊自立,王亚俊,等.近50a新疆气候变化对环境影响评估[J].干旱区地理,2001,24(2):97-103.
[25] 韩雪云,杨青,姚俊强.新疆天山山区近51 a来降水变化特征[J].水土保持研究,2013,20(2):139-144.
[1]余海龙,黄菊莹,王亭荷.宁夏中部干旱带56年来气候生产潜力变化特征研究——以宁夏中宁县为例[J].水土保持研究,2012,19(06):172.
YU Hai-long,HUANG Ju-ying,WANG Ting-he.Impact of Climate Change on Climate Potential Productivity in Recent 56 Years in Middle Arid Regions of Ningxia-A Case Study of Zhongning County[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2012,19(02):172.
[2]张月丛,张才玉,成福伟,等.承德市近58年气温和降水序列多时间尺度分析[J].水土保持研究,2012,19(05):70.
ZHANG Yue-cong,ZHANG Cai-yu,CHENG Fu-wei,et al.Multi-Time Scale Analysis of Temperature and Precipitation in Recent 58 Years in Chengde City[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2012,19(02):70.
[3]赵金忠,赵年武,赵恒和,等.贵德县近50年气候变化及对冬小麦生产潜力的影响[J].水土保持研究,2012,19(04):260.
ZHAO Jin-zhong,ZHAO Nian-wu,ZHAO Heng-he,et al.Climatic Changes in the Past 50 Years in Guide County, Qinghai Province, and Their Influences on Potential Productivity of Winter Wheat[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2012,19(02):260.
[4]张艺,余新晓,范敏锐,等.北京山区刺槐林净初级生产力对气候变化的响应[J].水土保持研究,2012,19(03):151.
ZHANG Yi,YU Xin-xiao,FAN Min-rui,et al.Response of Net Primary Productivity of Robinia pseudoacacia Forest to Climate Change in Beijing Mountainous Area[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2012,19(02):151.
[5]王兮之,梁钊雄,周显辉,等.黄河源区玛曲县植被覆盖度及其气候变化研究[J].水土保持研究,2012,19(02):57.
WANG Xi-zhi,LIANG Zhao-xiong,ZHOU Xian-hui,et al.Vegetation Coverage and Climate Change of Maqu County in Source Region of Yellow River[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2012,19(02):57.
[6]何毅,王飞,穆兴民,等.近60年关中一天水经济区降水量特征分析[J].水土保持研究,2012,19(01):65.
HE Yi,WANG Fei,MU Xing-min,et al.Analysis on Characteristic of Precipitation in Guanzhong-Tianshui Economic Zone in Recent 60 Years[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2012,19(02):65.
[7]卓玛兰草,刘普幸,张亚宁,等.甘肃黄土高原区潜在蒸散量时空变化与成因研究[J].水土保持研究,2012,19(01):70.
ZHUO Malancao,LIU Pu-xing,ZHANG Ya-ning,et al.Study on Temporal and Spatial Changes of the Potential Evapotranspiration and Its Impact Factors in Loess Plateau of Gansu Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2012,19(02):70.
[8]黄炎和,杨学震,沈林洪,等.侵蚀劣地果园套种绿肥对地温和气温的影响[J].水土保持研究,2000,7(03):222.
HUANG Yan-he,YANG Xue-zhen,SHEN Lin-hong,et al.Effects of Interplanting Green Manures with the Orchard of the Eroded Inferior Lands on the Air and Ground Temperature[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2000,7(02):222.
[9]潘渝,郭谨,李毅,等.地膜覆盖条件下的土壤增温特性[J].水土保持研究,2002,9(02):130.
PAN yu,GUO Jin,LI Yi,et al.Characteristics of Increasing Temperature in Soils With Plastic Mulching[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2002,9(02):130.
[10]南峰,李有利,史兴民.新疆玛纳斯河水量波动与气候变化之间的关系[J].水土保持研究,2003,10(03):59.
NAN Feng,LI You-li,SHI Xing-min.Relationship of the Fluctuations of Stream Discharge of the Manas River and Climatic Changes[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2003,10(02):59.
[11]木沙·如孜,白云岗,雷晓云,等.塔里木河流域气候及径流变化特征研究[J].水土保持研究,2012,19(06):122.
MUSHA·Ruzi,BAI Yun-gang,LEI Xiao-yun,et al.Study on the Change of Climate and Runoff in the Tarim River Basin[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2012,19(02):122.
[12]刘占静.2003年玛纳斯河汛期水情特征及其成因[J].水土保持研究,2004,11(04):198.
LIU Zhan-jing.Discharge Characteristic of the Manasi River During Flood Season of 2003[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2004,11(02):198.
[13]刘新春,杨金龙,杨青.三工河流域40年来气温、降水变化特征分析[J].水土保持研究,2005,12(06):54.
LIU Xin-chun,YANG Jin-long,YANG Qing.Analysis on the Variations Characteristics of Air Temperature, Precipitation in the Sangong River Basin in the Past 40 Years[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2005,12(02):54.
[14]张建兴,马孝义,屈金娜.气候变化对黄河中游河龙区间径流量的影响分析[J].水土保持研究,2007,14(04):197.
ZHANG Jian-xing,MA Xiao-yi,QU Jin-na.Effects of Climatic Variations on Runoff Volume over the He-long Reach of the Middle Yellow River[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2007,14(02):197.
[15]李海东,沈渭寿,佘光辉,等.雅鲁藏布江源区近35年气候变化特征[J].水土保持研究,2010,17(05):63.
LI Hai-dong,SHEN Wei-shou,SHE Guang-hui,et al.Climatic Changes in the Source Region of the Yarlung Zangbo River over Last 35 Years, China[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2010,17(02):63.
[16]姜创业,魏娜,程肖侠,等.1961-2008年陕西省年际气温和降水区域性变化特征分析[J].水土保持研究,2011,18(01):197.
JIANG Chuang-ye,WEI Na,CHENG Xiao-xia,et al.Analysis of Inter-annual Temperature and Precipitation Regional Change During 1961-2008 in Shaanxi Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2011,18(02):197.
[17]吴丹瑞,耿欣欣,李明.呼伦湖流域近55年气候变化特征[J].水土保持研究,2016,23(06):174.
WU Danrui,GENG Xinxin,LI Ming.Characteristics of Climatic Changes in Hulun Lake Basin in Recent 55 Years[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2016,23(02):174.
[18]李成,王让会,黄进.天山北麓近50年气温和降水的变化特征[J].水土保持研究,2013,20(06):117.
LI Cheng,WANG Rang-hui,HUANG Jin.Variation Characteristics of Temperature and Precipitation in the North of Tianshan Mountains in Recent 50 Years[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2013,20(02):117.
[19]刘卫林,熊翰林,刘丽娜,等.基于CMIP5模式和SDSM的赣江流域未来气候变化情景预估[J].水土保持研究,2019,26(02):145.
LIU Weilin,XIONG Hanlin,LIU Lina,et al.Estimate of the Climate Change in Ganjiang River Basin Using SDSM Method and CMIP5[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2019,26(02):145.
[20]马梓策,于红博,张巧凤,等.内蒙古地区1960-2016年气温和降水特征及突变[J].水土保持研究,2019,26(03):114.
MA Zice,YU Hongbo,ZHANG Qiaofeng,et al.Characteristics and Abrupt Change of Temperature and Precipitation in Inner Mongolia Area Over the Period 1960-2016[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2019,26(02):114.
收稿日期:2015-03-25;改回日期:2015-04-27。
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(51269030)
作者简介:热孜宛古丽·麦麦提依明(1989-),女(维吾尔族),新疆喀什人,硕士研究生,从事干旱区流域蒸散变化研究。E-mail:1015714336@qq.com
通讯作者:杨建军(1978-),男,新疆乌苏人,副教授,博士,硕士生导师,从事干旱区生态系统与全球变化。E-mail:yjjdfly@sina.com