LI Cai-xia,LI Qiao,WANG Ya-Zhen,et al.Analysis of Change Characteristics of Agricultural Climate Resources over Last 52 Years in Heilongjiang Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2014,21(06):187-192.
近52年黑龙江省农业气候资源变化特征分析
- Title:
- Analysis of Change Characteristics of Agricultural Climate Resources over Last 52 Years in Heilongjiang Province
- 分类号:
- P468.021
- 摘要:
- 根据1961—2012年黑龙江省72个站点逐日气象资料，应用线性趋系数法对全年、四季、年代际的气温、降水、日照时数等主要农业气候资源的变化特征进行分析，结果表明，黑龙江省平均气温有明显升高趋势，升高速率为0.35℃/10 a。冬季是增温的主要贡献者，平均每10 a增加0.52℃。全年和四季平均气温的年代际变化呈增加趋势，2000s增温最明显；黑龙江省年降水量波动中呈减少趋势，减少速率为2.76 mm/10 a，减少趋势不明显，但季节性变化比较明显，秋季是降水量减少最大贡献者。年和四季降水量的年代际变化各不相同；黑龙江省全年和四季日照时数都呈减少趋势，其中，全年日照时数减少速率为26.07 h/10 a。春季是日照时数减少的最大贡献者。全年和四季日照时数随年代际变化呈非一致减少趋势。
- Abstract:
- According to the daily meteorological data of 72 stations in Heilongjiang Province from 1961 to 2012, the change characteristics of the whole year, the four seasons, the interdecadal temperature, the precipitation, sunshine hours and other main agricultural climate resources were analyzed by linear trend coefficient method. Results show that the average temperature in Heilongjiang Province is obviously increasing and the rise rate is 0.35℃/10 a. Winter is the main contribution to the temperature increase, average of every 10 years increased by 0.52℃. The interdecadal change of the whole year and the average temperature of seasons is increasing, and which is the most obvious in 2000s. The annual precipitation of Heilongjiang Province is at the fluctuation with decreasing rate of 2.76 mm/10 a, so the trend is not obvious. But the seasonal variation is obvious, especially the autumn. The interdecadal change of annual and seasonal precipitation is different. Both the whole year and seasonal sunshine hours are decreasing. The annual and seasonal sunshine hours showed a trend of non-uniform reduction with the interdecadal change.
参考文献/References:
[1] 王昭武.近百年来气候变化与变率的诊断研究[J].气象学报,1994,52(3):261-273.
[2] 陈隆勋,朱文琴,王文,等.中国近45a来气候变化的研究[J].气象学报,1998,56(3):257-271.
[3] 王昭武,董光荣.中国西部环境特征及其演变[M].北京:科学出版社,2002.
[4] Hansen J, Lebedeff S. Global trends of measured surface air temperature[J]. Journal of Geophysical Research, 1987,92(D11):13345-13372.
[5] Karl T R, Jones P D, Knight R W. A new perspective on recent global warming:Asymmetric trends of maximum and minimum temperature[J]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,1993,74(6):1007-1023.
[6] 钱锦霞,赵桂香,李芬.晋中市近40a气候变化特征及其对玉米生产的影响[J].中国农业生态,2006,27(2):125-129.
[7] 车少静,智利辉,冯立辉.气候变暖对石家庄冬小麦主要生育期的影响及对策[J].中国农业生态,2005,26(3):180-185.
[8] 李发鹏,李景玉,徐宗学.东北黑土区土壤退化及水土流失研究现状[J].水土保持研究,2006,13(3):50-54.
[9] 王媛,方修琦,徐锬,等.气候变暖与东北地区水稻种植的适应行为[J].资源科学,2005,27(1):121-127.
[10] 贾建英,郭建平.东北地区近46a玉米气候资源变化研究[J].中国农业气象,2009,30(3):302-307.
[11] 符淙斌,王强.气候突变的定义和检测方法[J].大气科学,1992,16(4):482-493.
[12] 谭方颖,王建林,宋迎波,等.华北平原近45a农业气候资源变化特征分析[J].中国农业气象,2009,30(1):19-24.
[13] 向波,高阳华.重庆市低温冷害的分类与指标及其时空分布规律研究[J].贵州气象,2003,27(2):12-16.
[14] 陈莉,方丽娟,张少峰,等.黑龙江省草地螟第三暴发周期气候特征及风险概率[J].气象与环境学报,2011,27(3):67-72.
[15] 唐国利,丁一汇,王少武,等.中国近百年温度曲线的对比分析[J].气候与环境研究进展,2009,5(2):71-78.
[16] 唐国利,任国玉.近百年中国地表气温变化趋势的再分析[J].气候与环境研究,2005,10(4):791-798.
[17] 陈晶,杨帆,田宝兴,等.黑龙江省黑土区近50年来四季气温时空变化特征分析[J].水土保持研究,2013,20(3):1-5.
[18] 冯秀藻,陶炳炎.农业气象学原理[M].北京:气象出版社,1994.
[19] 任国玉,郭军,徐铭志,等.近50a中国地面气候变化基本特征[J].资源科学,2010,32(4):701-711.
[20] 赵冬,罗勇,高歌,等.1961-2007年中国日照的演变及其关键气候特征[J].资源科学,2010,32(4):701-711.
相似文献/References:
[1]赵志鹏,曹立国,魏锦烨,等.近52年黑龙江省不同级别降水特征分析[J].水土保持研究,2012,19(02):48.
ZHAO Zhi-peng,CAO Li-guo,WEI Jin-ye,et al.Research on the Characteristic of Different Level Precipitation in Heilongjiang Province in Recent 52 Years[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2012,19(06):48.
[2]李建牢,周小琳.甘肃省黄土丘陵沟壑区第三副区气候资源与粮食发展预测[J].水土保持研究,1995,2(01):41.
Li Jianlao,Zhou Xiaoling.Grain Developing Forecast and Climatic Resource in the Third Sub-region of the Loess and Hilly-gully Areas of Gansu Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,1995,2(06):41.
[3]解运杰,刘凤飞,白建宏,等.基于GIS技术的黑龙江省典型土壤有效土层厚度调查研究[J].水土保持研究,2005,12(06):251.
XIE Yun-jie,LIU Feng-fei,BAI Jian-hong,et al.Investigations on Typical Effective Thickness of Soil Layer of Heilongjiang Province Based on GIS Technology[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2005,12(06):251.
[4]高楠,宋戈.黑龙江省耕地资源安全综合评价研究[J].水土保持研究,2009,16(04):250.
GAO Nan,SONG Ge.Comprehensive Evaluation on Security of Cultivated Land Resources of Heilongjiang[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2009,16(06):250.
[5]袁磊,雷国平,张小虎.基于循环经济理念的黑龙江土地可持续利用评价[J].水土保持研究,2010,17(01):127.
YUAN Lei,LEI Guo-ping,ZHANG Xiao-hu.Land Sustainable Use Assessment Based on Circular Economy Concept in Heilongjiang Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2010,17(06):127.
[6]吕国,宋唯一,郑爱珍.甘肃西部地区土地与气候资源现状及农业可持续发展战略[J].水土保持研究,2010,17(01):259.
LÜ,Guo,SONG Wei-yi,et al.The Status Quo of Land and Climatic Resources and the Sustainable Development of Agriculture in Western Gansu Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2010,17(06):259.
[7]田宝星,宫丽娟,杨帆,等.黑龙江省春季低温指数小波分析[J].水土保持研究,2017,24(01):342.
TIAN Baoxing,GONG Lijuan,YANG Fan,et al.Wavelet Analysis on Lowest Temperature Index in Spring in Heilongjiang Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2017,24(06):342.
[8]吴黎.基于MODIS数据温度植被干旱指数干旱监测指标的等级划分[J].水土保持研究,2017,24(03):130.
WU Li.Classification of Drought Grades Based on Temperature Vegetation Drought Index Using the MODIS Data[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2017,24(06):130.
[9]倪超,雷国平.黑龙江省粮食生产与耕地利用耦合分析[J].水土保持研究,2013,20(01):246.
NI Chao,LEI Guo-ping.Coupling Relationship between Grain Production and Cultivated Land Use in Heilongjiang Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2013,20(06):246.
[10]胡国霞,雷国平,周浩,等.黑龙江省土地利用变化的碳排放效应研究[J].水土保持研究,2015,22(06):287.
HU Guoxia,LEI Guoping,ZHOU Hao,et al.Effects of Different Land Use Patterns on Carbon Emission in Heilongjiang Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2015,22(06):287.
备注/Memo
收稿日期:2013-12-30;改回日期:2014-12-24。
基金项目:气候变化对国家重要商品粮基地建设安全的影响及适应对策的研究（2012GXS413071）
作者简介:李彩侠(1985-),女,黑龙江绥化人,在职教师,硕士学历,研究方向为生态生物方向。E-mail:fy363964167@163.com