WANG Jin,LI Zhun.Interaction Between Urban Land Planning and Economic Growth Based on Kuznets Curve[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2008,15(05):76-80.
基于库兹涅茨曲线的城市土地规划与经济增长互动关系研究
- Title:
- Interaction Between Urban Land Planning and Economic Growth Based on Kuznets Curve
- Keywords:
- urban land planning; economic growth; modified Kuznets Curve; SPSS
- 分类号:
- F301.24
- 摘要:
- 伴随经济高速增长而出现的城市土地规划问题是城市发展过程中的难点问题。首先介绍了我国城市土地规划的现状和存在问题，从规模效应、结构效应和消除效应3个方面论证了我国城市土地规划与经济增长之间存在库兹涅茨假设。在此基础上，采用SPSS软件统计分析了我国近20年来35座省会城市及计划单列城市土地规划与经济增长之间的相关性，并用库兹涅茨曲线进行了回归拟合。计算结果表明：目前我国城市土地规划与经济增长之间的关系符合库兹涅茨曲线趋势，且处在曲线左侧，从而验证了理论假设的正确性。考虑“承载阈值”对土地规划的限制作用，对我国城市土地规划库兹涅茨曲线进行了改良，将我国城市土地规划与经济增长之间的相关关系分为城市发展初期、城市快速发展期和未来城市建设人地和谐期等3个发展阶段，并提出了实现城市土地规划合理化的策略体系，为实现我国城市土地规划合理发展及早进入人地和谐期提供依据。
- Abstract:
- Following the economical high speed growth, it is a difficult question of urban land planning in the urban development process. This paper introduces the current situation and problems of urban land planning, gives the assumption between land planning and economic growth, and has proven the Kuznets assumption between our nation urban land planning and the economic growth from the scale effect, the structure effect and the elimination effect. Then a relation statistical analysis is made on the capital cities and urban planning authority cities of 35 blocks of the past 20 years with the software of SPSS, and moreover, regresses as one Kuznets curve. The results show the relation between growth and urban land planning consist with the trend of Kuznets curve, which lies in the left curve. And the theory supposition accuracy has been confirmed. It puts modified Kuznets curve by considering ’Bearing threshold’, grows the interaction between our nation urban land planning and economic growth to divide into the urban development initial period, the city fast sends the exhibition period and the future urban construction person harmonious time. Finally, it gives the urban land planning rationalization strategy system for realizing reasonable development of our nation city land planning and entering the person harmonious time as soon as possible.
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备注/Memo
收稿日期:2007-10-18。
作者简介:王进（1972- ），男，贵州湄潭人，副教授，在读博士生，从事工程管理研究。E-mail：csruwangjin2@126.com