[1]刘淑苹,张文开,张军.基于生态足迹的可持续发展建设用地面积预测——以福建省为例[J].水土保持研究,2008,15(04):196-199,203.
　LIU Shu-ping,ZHANG Wen-kai,ZHANG Jun.Construction Land Area Prediction of the Sustainable Development Based on Ecological Footprint Method—Taking Fujian Province as a Study Case[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2008,15(04):196-199,203.
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基于生态足迹的可持续发展建设用地面积预测——以福建省为例

《水土保持研究》[ISSN:1005-3409/CN:61-1272/P] 卷: 15 期数: 2008年04期 页码: 196-199,203 栏目: 出版日期: 2008-08-20
Title:
Construction Land Area Prediction of the Sustainable Development Based on Ecological Footprint Method—Taking Fujian Province as a Study Case
作者:
刘淑苹, 张文开, 张军
福建师范大学 地理科学学院, 福州 350007
Author(s):
LIU Shu-ping, ZHANG Wen-kai, ZHANG Jun
School of Geographical Sciences, Fujian Normal University, Fuzhou 350007, China
关键词:
福建省; 生态足迹; 可持续发展; 建设用地
Keywords:
Fujian province; ecological footprint; sustainable development; construction land
分类号:
F323.21
摘要:
以福建省为例，运用生态足迹分析法分析区域1995-2005年生态足迹和生态承载力的变化情况，寻找区域可持续发展的平衡点；并应用SPSS软件对人均生态承载力、单位生态足迹产出和单位建设用地产出进行回归分析和趋势预测，在此基础上构建研究区域可持续发展建设用地容纳能力的方法。通过预测得出福建省建设用地面积2010年、2015年和2020年应分别控制在148 392.9 hm2、261 818.6 hm2和415 005.4 hm2以内。
Abstract:
Taking Fujian province as a study case,the thesis analyzed the transformation of ecological footprints and eco-environment capacity between 1995 and 2005 by using ecological footprint method,and found out the equilibrium point of sustainable development. Moreover, the per-person eco-environment capacity and the output of ecological footprint and construction land were analyzed and predicted by using SPSS. Based on these,a method for calculating regional construction land capacity was set up.Through prediction the construction land of Fujian in 2010, 2015 and 2020 at best wouldn’t be more than 148 392.9 hm2,261 818.6 hm2 and 415 005.4 hm2 respectively.

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

收稿日期:2007-11-25。
基金项目:福建省重点基金资助项目（2006I0014）
作者简介:刘淑苹（1982- ），女，福建莆田人，硕士，研究方向：土地规划与土地资源管理。E-mail：liushuping13@126.com

更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01