[1]初慧敏,贺山峰,何佳临,等.基于PSR模型的黄河流域城市生态韧性时空分异特征研究[J].水土保持研究,2025,32(04):396-404.[doi:10.13869/j.cnki.rswc.2025.04.033]
　Chu Huimin,He Shanfeng,He Jialin,et al.Research on the spatiotemporal differentiation characteristics of urban ecological resilience in the Yellow River Basin based on PSR model[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2025,32(04):396-404.[doi:10.13869/j.cnki.rswc.2025.04.033]
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基于PSR模型的黄河流域城市生态韧性时空分异特征研究

《水土保持研究》[ISSN:1005-3409/CN:61-1272/P] 卷: 32 期数: 2025年04期 页码: 396-404 栏目: 出版日期: 2025-07-10
Title:
Research on the spatiotemporal differentiation characteristics of urban ecological resilience in the Yellow River Basin based on PSR model
文章编号:
1005-3409（2025）04-0396-09
作者:
初慧敏1，贺山峰1，何佳临1，吴叶涵1，柏钦冕1，李铮2
1.曲阜师范大学 地理与旅游学院，山东 日照 276826;2.湖南师范大学 旅游学院，长沙 410081
Author(s):
Chu Huimin1，He Shanfeng1，He Jialin1，Wu Yehan1，Bai Qinmian1，Li Zheng2
1.School of Geography and Tourism, Qufu Normal University, Rizhao, Shandong 276826, China;2.College of Tourism, Hunan Normal University, Changsha 410081, China
关键词:
城市生态韧性; 时空格局演变; PSR模型; 空间自相关; 黄河流域
Keywords:
urban ecological resilience;  spatiotemporal evolution;  PSR model;  spatial autocorrelation;  Yellow River Basin
分类号:
X321
DOI:
10.13869/j.cnki.rswc.2025.04.033
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
[目的]分析黄河流域城市生态韧性演变趋势对于保障该区域生态安全和高质量发展具有重要的现实意义。[方法]基于PSR模型框架，运用组合赋权法、空间自相关分析等方法，测度2010—2020年黄河流域城市生态韧性并分析其时空演变特征。[结果]（1）黄河流域城市生态韧性指数整体呈现波动增长态势，均值从0.3756上升到0.4251，各子系统韧性值亦呈上升趋势。上、中、下游流域城市生态韧性水平差异明显，上游地区城市生态韧性水平最低，中游和下游城市生态韧性总体水平较高。（2）黄河流域城市生态韧性等级呈集中连片的分布特点，空间上逐步由低韧性集聚、高韧性分散演化为高韧性集聚、低韧性分散的格局。各城市间生态韧性水平和韧性增长速度的差异较大且分化明显，其中“高水平—高增长”“高水平—低增长”类型城市数量占主导地位。（3）空间关系方面，除2018年外，黄河流域生态韧性指数均具有正向的空间自相关性，集聚效应有增强趋势。从局部空间自相关来看，城市生态韧性空间集聚模式总体比较稳定，但个别城市存在空间跃迁现象。[结论]黄河流域城市生态韧性整体上不断提高，高韧性和较高韧性水平城市数量持续增加并居于主导地位，但子流域间城市生态韧性增长并不均衡，尚未实现区域协调发展。
Abstract:
[Objective] Analyzing the evolution of urban ecological resilience in the Yellow River Basin holds significant practical significance for ensuring ecological security and promoting high-quality development in the region. [Methods] Based on the Pressure-Status-Response(PSR) model framework, methods including combination weighting and spatial autocorrelation analysis were used to measure the urban ecological resilience of the Yellow River Basin from 2010 to 2020, and its spatial-temporal evolution characteristics were also analyzed. [Results](1) The urban ecological resilience index of the Yellow River Basin showed a fluctuating growth trend as a whole, with the average value rising from 0.375 6 to 0.425 1, and the resilience values of each subsystem also showed an upward trend. The level of urban ecological resilience in the upper, middle, and lower reaches was significantly different, with the lowest resilience in the upper reaches and relatively higher overall resilience in the middle and lower reaches.(2) The grade of urban ecological resilience in the Yellow River Basin exhibited a distribution characteristic of agglomeration and contiguity, and the spatial pattern gradually evolved from low-resilience agglomeration and high-resilience dispersion to high-resilience agglomeration and low-resilience dispersion. The level of ecological resilience and the growth rate of resilience among cities were significantly different and obviously differentiated, with a dominant number of cities falling into the ‘high level-high growth’ and ‘high level-low growth’ categories.(3) In terms of spatial relationship, except for 2018, the ecological resilience index of the Yellow River Basin exhibited positive spatial autocorrelation, and the agglomeration effect showed an increasing trend. From the perspective of local spatial autocorrelation, the spatial agglomeration mode of urban ecological resilience was generally stable, but there were spatial transitions in some cities. [Conclusion] The urban ecological resilience in the Yellow River Basin continuously improves as a whole, and the number of cities with high resilience and relatively high resilience continues to increase and occupies a dominant position. However, the growth of urban ecological resilience among sub-basins is uneven, and regional coordinated development has not yet been achieved.

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备注/Memo

收稿日期：2024-10-21 修回日期：2024-11-19 接受日期：2024-12-02
资助项目：山东省泰山学者青年专家计划（tsqn202103065）；国家自然科学基金（71673076）；日照市科技成果转化项目（2021CSDX002）
第一作者：初慧敏（2000—），女，山东菏泽人，硕士研究生，研究方向为城市生态韧性。E-mail：huimchm@163.com
通信作者：贺山峰（1980—），男，山东日照人，博士，教授，主要从事环境演变与灾害风险研究。E-mail：hesf2020@qfnu.edu.cn

更新日期/Last Update: 2025-07-20