Yan Junjun,Tong Tao,Ma Quanlai,et al.Spatial Transformation Characteristics and Scenario Simulation for ‘Production-Living-Ecology' Space of Henan Province's Land in the Last 30 Years[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2024,31(04):374-382,394.[doi:10.13869/j.cnki.rswc.2024.04.027]
近30年来河南省国土“三生”空间转型特征及其情景模拟
- Title:
- Spatial Transformation Characteristics and Scenario Simulation for ‘Production-Living-Ecology' Space of Henan Province's Land in the Last 30 Years
- 文章编号:
- 1005-3409(2024)04-0374-09
- Keywords:
- ‘production-living-ecology' spaces; land space transformation; atlas of geoscience information; scenario simulation; Henan Province
- 分类号:
- F323.2
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- [目的]探究河南省国土空间用地变化规律,为当地国土综合管理及规划调控提供重要依据。[方法]基于1990—2020年土地利用数据、自然资源及社会经济等多源数据,构建了“三生”空间分类体系并运用地学信息图谱论,揭示国土“三生”空间转型信息规律,继而采用未来土地利用模拟模型(FLUS)模拟了其转型态势。[结果]河南省的国土以农业生产空间为主,生活空间持续扩张且表现出城镇生活空间扩张速度显著高于农村生活空间特点,绿地生态空间和其他生态空间面积持续下降,水域生态空间波动变化。河南省国土空间转型表现出时间阶段性差异特点。前一时段(1990—2005年)以农业生产空间转型至生活空间及生态空间转型至生产空间为主,后一时段(2005—2020年)转型过程更为强烈,主要表现为农业生产空间转型至城镇生活空间以及生活空间与生产空间交互转型为主。前一时段涨势图谱以农业生产空间和城镇生活空间为主,至后一时段,城镇生活空间和农村生活空间面积分别增长了1.56倍和12.35倍。落势图谱上后一时段的农村生活空间萎缩面积远大于城镇生活空间萎缩量,城乡二元化发展态势显著。通过对比不同空间分辨率及时间尺度下模拟精度,确定最优模拟空间分辨率为300 m,最优模拟时间点为2035年。模拟结果显示:至2035年河南省国土空间变化明显放缓,并将主要围绕农村生活空间和农业生产空间转型进行。[结论]河南省的国土空间管理工作应重点关注耕地保护与恢复以及合理引导农村、城镇生活空间统筹发展。
- Abstract:
- [Objective]The aims of this study are to exploce the pattern of land space change in Henan, and to provide important insights and basis for the local comprehensive land management and spatial planning control. [Methods]The diverse array of data sources, including land use distribution data spanning from 1990 to 2020, natural resource records, and socio-economic indicators were drawn. By crafting comprehensive system for recognize ‘production-living-ecology' spaces and leveraging geospatial information graph theory, the discernible patterns underlying the province's land transformation since 1990 were revealed. Additionally, the Future Land Use Simulation(FLUS)model was employed to simulate forthcoming trends in land use. [Results]Henan Province's landscape had been predominantly characterized by spaces devoted to agricultural production. The expansion of living spaces remained a sustained trend, with urban living areas growing notably faster than their rural counterparts. Simultaneously, green ecological spaces and other natural habitats had progressively diminished, punctuated by fluctuations in water-based ecological areas. The evolution of land space within Henan Province exhibited discernible phases. During the initial period(1990—2005), the transformation was predominantly marked by shifts from agricultural production spaces to living spaces, and a reconfiguration of ecological spaces into production zones. In the latter period(2005—2020), these transformations intensified, primarily manifesting as conversions from agricultural production areas to urban living spaces, along with dynamic interplays between residential and production zones. Analyzing the trend maps revealed a noteworthy progression. In the earlier phase, agricultural production spaces and urban living areas were prominent. In contrast, the later phase witnessed a considerable expansion of urban living spaces by a factor of 1.56 and rural living spaces by an astonishing 12.35. On the decline side, the contraction of rural living spaces in the latter period was substantially more pronounced than the reduction in urban living spaces, clearly indicating a pronounced trend towards urban-rural dichotomy in development. Through meticulous comparison across various spatial resolutions and temporal scales, we have determined that the optimal simulation spatial resolution for this study was 300 m, and the optimal simulation time point was 2035. The simulation results underscore that by 2035, Henan Province's land transformation will notably decelerate, with the primary focus pivoting towards the transformation of rural living spaces and agricultural production areas. [Conclusion]Consequently, land space management strategies should emphasize safeguarding and rejuvenating arable lands in Henan Province, and steer the balanced expansion of rural and urban living spaces.
参考文献/References:
[1]秦彦杰,刘欣,赵艳霞,等.1949年以来河北省耕地利用转型特征及过程[J].农业工程学报,2022,38(12):260-269.
Qin Y J, Liu X, Zhao Y X, et al. Characteristics and process of the cultivated land use transformation in Hebei Province since 1949[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering, 2022,38(12):260-269.
[2]龙花楼.论土地利用转型与土地资源管理[J].地理研究,2015,34(9):1607-1618.
Long H L. Land use transition and land management[J]. Geographical Research, 2015,34(9):1607-1618.
[3]龙花楼,李婷婷.中国耕地和农村宅基地利用转型耦合分析[J].地理学报,2012,67(2):201-210.
Long H L, Li T T. Analysis of the coupling of farmland and rural housing land transition in China[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2012,67(2):201-210.
[4]张赛茵,雷婷,孙洁,等.资源衰退型城市旅游转型发展的影响因素及组态路径:基于模糊集定性比较分析[J].自然资源学报,2023,38(3):601-617.
Zhang S Y, Lei T, Sun J, et al. Influencing factors and multiple paths of tourism development in resource-declining cities:A fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis approach[J]. Journal of Natural Resources, 2023,38(3):601-617.
[5]黄金川,林浩曦,漆潇潇.面向国土空间优化的三生空间研究进展[J].地理科学进展,2017,36(3):378-391.
Huang J C, Lin H X, Qi X X. A literature review on optimization of spatial development pattern based on ecological-production-living space[J]. Progress in Geography, 2017,36(3):378-391.
[6]刘继来,刘彦随,李裕瑞.中国“三生空间” 分类评价与时空格局分析[J].地理学报,2017,72(7):1290-1304.
Liu J L, Liu Y S, Li Y R. Classification evaluation and spatial-temporal analysis of “production-living-ecological” spaces in China[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2017,72(7):1290-1304.
[7]张梦圆,荣丽华,李伊彤,等.基于“三生” 空间的农牧交错区城市土地利用转型及生态环境效应分析:以包头市为例[J].干旱区地理,2023,46(6):958-967.
Zhang M Y, Rong L H, Li Y T, et al. Land use function transformation in the agro-pastoral ecotone based on ecological-production-living spaces and associated eco-environment effects:A case of Baotou City[J]. Arid Land Geography, 2023,46(6):958-967.
[8]龙花楼.土地利用转型的解释[J].中国土地科学,2022,36(4):1-7.
Long H L. Explanation of land use transitions[J]. China Land Science, 2022,36(4):1-7.
[9]李全峰,胡守庚,瞿诗进.1990—2015年长江中游地区耕地利用转型时空特征[J].地理研究,2017,36(8):1489-1502.
Li Q F, Hu S G, Qu S J. Spatiotemporal characteristics of cultivated land use transition in the Middle Yangtze River from 1990 to 2015[J]. Geographical Research, 2017,36(8):1489-1502.
[10]宋小青,李心怡.区域耕地利用功能转型的理论解释与实证[J].地理学报,2019,74(5):992-1010.
Song X Q, Li X Y. Theoretical explanation and case study of regional cultivated land use function transition[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2019,74(5):992-1010.
[11]瞿诗进,胡守庚,童陆亿,等.长江中游经济带城镇建设用地转型的时空特征[J].资源科学,2017,39(2):240-251.
Qu S J, Hu S G, Tong L Y, et al. Spatiotemporal patterns of urban land use transition in the middle Yangtze River Economic Belt[J]. Resources Science, 2017,39(2):240-251.
[12]胡守庚,童陆亿,龙花楼.论土地利用转型潜力及其评价的理论框架[J].地理研究,2019,38(6):1367-1377.
Hu S G, Tong L Y, Long H L. Land use transition potential and its assessment framework[J]. Geographical Research, 2019,38(6):1367-1377.
[13]张佰林,高江波,高阳,等.中国山区农村土地利用转型解析[J].地理学报,2018,73(3):503-517.
Zhang B L, Gao J B, Gao Y, et al. Land use transition of mountainous rural areas in China[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2018,73(3):503-517.
[14]黄晶,薛东前,董朝阳,等.干旱绿洲农业区土地利用转型生态环境效应及分异机制:基于三生空间主导功能判别视角[J].地理科学进展,2022,41(11):2044-2060.
Huang J, Xue D Q, Dong C Y, et al. Eco-environmental effects and spatial differentiation mechanism of land use transition in agricultural areas of arid oasis:A perspective based on the dominant function of production-living-ecological spaces[J]. Progress in Geography, 2022,41(11):2044-2060.
[15]龙花楼.论土地利用转型与乡村转型发展[J].地理科学进展,2012,31(2):131-138.
Long H L. Land use transition and rural transformation development[J]. Progress in Geography, 2012,31(2):131-138.
[16]郝晓敬,张红,徐小明,等.晋北地区土地利用覆被格局的演变与模拟[J].生态学报,2020,40(1):257-265.
Hao X J, Zhang H, Xu X M, et al. Evolution and simulation of land use/land cover pattern in northern Shanxi Province[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2020,40(1):257-265.
[17]苑韶峰,朱从谋,李胜男.基于格网尺度的杭州城西产业集聚区土地利用格局变化及热点分析[J].上海国土资源,2018,39(1):44-49.
Yuan S F, Zhu C M, Li S N. The patterns and hotspots of land-use change in Hangzhou Chengxi Sci-tech Innovation Zone according to grid scale[J]. Shanghai Land & Resources, 2018,39(1):44-49.
[18]李冬杰,杨利,余俞寒,等.都市生态旅游区土地利用碎片化对生态系统服务价值的影响:以武汉东湖生态旅游区为例[J].生态学报,2019,39(13):4782-4792.
Li D J, Yang L, Yu Y H, et al. Impact of land use fragmentation on ecosystem service values in an urban ecotourism area:A case study of East Lake ecotourism area, Wuhan[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2019,39(13):4782-4792.
[19]邓楚雄,彭勇,李科,等.基于生产-生态-生活空间多情景模拟下的流域土地利用转型及生态环境效应[J].生态学杂志,2021,40(8):2506-2516.
Deng C X, Peng Y, Li K, et al. Simulation of watershed land use transition and eco-environmental effects under multiple scenarios based on production-ecological-living space[J]. Chinese Journal of Ecology, 2021,40(8):2506-2516.
[20]Liu X P, Liang X, Li X, et al. A future land use simulation model(FLUS)for simulating multiple land use scenarios by coupling human and natural effects[J]. Landscape and Urban Planning, 2017,168:94-116.
[21]张文慧,吕晓,史洋洋,等.黄河流域土地利用转型图谱特征[J].中国土地科学,2020,34(8):80-88.
Zhang W H, Lyu X, Shi Y Y, et al. Graphic characteristics of land use transition in the Yellow River Basin[J]. China Land Science, 2020,34(8):80-88.
[22]杜国明,张瑞,于凤荣.基于地学信息图谱的东北黑土区种植模式分析[J].应用生态学报,2022,33(3):694-702.
Du G M, Zhang R, Yu F R. Analysis of cropping pattern in black soil region of Northeast China based on geo-information Tupu[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2022,33(3):694-702.
[23]肖东洋,牛海鹏,闫弘轩,等.1990—2018年黄河流域(河南段)土地利用格局时空演变[J].农业工程学报,2020,36(15):271-281,326.
Xiao D Y, Niu H P, Yan H X, et al. Spatiotemperal evolution of land use pattern in the Yellow River Basin(Henan section)from 1990 to 2018[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering, 2020,36(15):271-281,326.
[24]陈帅,侯孟阳,李园园,等.黄河流域水资源、能源与粮食生产的时空匹配及阻尼效应[J].农业工程学报,2022,38(18):246-254.
Chen S, Hou M Y, Li Y Y, et al. Spatial-temporal matching patterns for grain production using water and energy resources and damping effect in the Yellow River Basin[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering, 2022,38(18):246-254.
[25]周浩,金平,夏卫生.省级国土空间“三生” 功能评价及其分区研究:以河南省为例[J].中国土地科学,2020,34(8):10-17.
Zhou H, Jin P, Xia W S. Functional zoning of territorial space in provincial level based on the production-living-ecological functions:A case of Henan Province[J]. China Land Science, 2020,34(8):10-17.
[26]周浩,雷国平,杨雪昕,等. RCPs气候情景下挠力河流域耕地水土资源平衡效应模拟[J].应用生态学报,2018,29(4):1302-1312.
Zhou H, Lei G P, Yang X X, et al. Simulation for balanced effect of soil and water resources on cultivated land in Naoli River Basin, Northeast China under the RCPs climate scene[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2018,29(4):1302-1312.
[27]单薇,金晓斌,冉娜,等.江苏省土地利用“生产-生活-生态” 功能变化与耦合特征分析[J].长江流域资源与环境,2019,28(7):1541-1551.
Shan W, Jin X B, Ran N, et al. “production-living-ecological” function evaluation and coupling coordination analysis of land use in Jiangsu Province[J]. Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin, 2019,28(7):1541-1551.
[28]路昌,周浩,张凤,等.基于地学信息图谱的山东省国土空间转型分析[J].农业机械学报,2021,52(7):222-230.
Lu C, Zhou H, Zhang F, et al. Land spatial transformation analysis in Shandong Province based on geo information map[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery, 2021,52(7):222-230.
相似文献/References:
[1]陈钱钱,舒晓波,曾凡彬.江西省三生空间结构时空格局的多尺度分析[J].水土保持研究,2020,27(04):385.
CHEN Qianqian,SHU Xiaobo,ZENG Fanbin.Multi-Scale Analysis of the Spatio-temporal Pattern of the Spatial Structure of Ecology-Production-Living Space in Jiangxi Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2020,27(04):385.
[2]冯 涛,石培基,张学斌,等.河谷型城市“三生”空间竞争与生态环境效应——以兰州市为例[J].水土保持研究,2021,28(03):229.
FENG Tao,SHI Peiji,ZHANG Xuebin,et al.Competition and Eco-environmental Effect of Ecological-Production-Living Spaces in Valley City[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2021,28(04):229.
[3]李媛洁,叶长盛,黄小兰.基于CLUE-S模型的南昌市“三生”空间时空演变及情景模拟研究[J].水土保持研究,2021,28(05):325.
LI Yuanjie,YE Changsheng,HUANG Xiaolan.Temporal-Spatial Evolution and Scenario Simulation of Production-Living-Ecological Space in Nanchang Based on CLUE-S Model[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2021,28(04):325.
[4]邓 彤,罗志军,曾建玲.基于适宜性和空间功能值的德兴市矿粮复合区“三生”空间优化研究[J].水土保持研究,2024,31(01):395.[doi:10.13869/j.cnki.rswc.2024.01.022]
Deng Tong,Luo Zhijun,Zeng Jianling.Study on the Spatial Optimization of ‘Production-Living-Ecology' in Mine-Grain Complex Area of Dexing City Based on Suitability and Spatial Function Value[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2024,31(04):395.[doi:10.13869/j.cnki.rswc.2024.01.022]
[5]陈 振,郭 杰,张雪微,等.耦合景观生态安全格局的南京市“三生”空间多情景模拟[J].水土保持研究,2024,31(04):383.[doi:10.13869/j.cnki.rswc.2024.04.009]
Chen Zhen,Guo Jie,Zhang Xuewei,et al.Multi-scenario Simulation of Production-Life-Ecology Space in Nanjing Coupled with Landscape Ecological Security Pattern[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2024,31(04):383.[doi:10.13869/j.cnki.rswc.2024.04.009]
[6]马炎生,吴大放,罗改改.长株潭“三生”空间适宜性耦合协调度分析[J].水土保持研究,2024,31(05):389.[doi:10.13869/j.cnki.rswc.2024.05.045]
Ma Yansheng,Wu Dafang,Luo Gaigai.Analysis on the Suitability Coupling Coordination Degree of Production-Living-Ecology Space in Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2024,31(04):389.[doi:10.13869/j.cnki.rswc.2024.05.045]
备注/Memo
收稿日期:2023-08-09 修回日期:2023-09-08
资助项目:河南省重点研发与推广专项项目(232400410036); 河南省豫地科技集团重点科研项目(JTZDKY202404)
第一作者:颜俊君(1983—),女,河南省郑州人,本科,中级工程师,主要从事国土空间资源管理及规划研究。E-mail:15093285339@163.com
通信作者:王小玉(1981—),女,河北省唐山人,硕士,高级工程师,主要从事自然资源调查与评价研究。E-mail:37717941@qq.com