Deng Lingying,Li Hongbo.Spatial and Temporal Evolution of Land Use Carbon Emissions and Analysis of Driving Factors in Wuhan Metropolitan Area[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2024,31(01):345-353.[doi:10.13869/j.cnki.rswc.2024.01.034]
武汉城市圈土地利用碳排放时空演变及驱动因素
- Title:
- Spatial and Temporal Evolution of Land Use Carbon Emissions and Analysis of Driving Factors in Wuhan Metropolitan Area
- 文章编号:
- 1005-3409(2024)01-0345-09
- 关键词:
- 低碳发展; 驱动因素; 时空地理加权回归模型; 武汉城市圈
- Keywords:
- low-carbon development; driving Factors; spatiotemporal geographically weighted regression model; Wuhan Metropolitan Area
- 分类号:
- F301.24
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- [目的]产业和人口的集中造成大量资源消耗和高额碳排放,开展城市圈尺度的碳排放研究可以为城市圈碳减排提供科学参考和借鉴。[方法]以遥感影像和经济社会数据为基础,构建碳排放测算模型及时空地理加权回归模型,探究武汉城市圈3期(2000年、2010年、2020年)土地利用碳源/碳汇时空演变规律及其影响因素的时空异质性。[结果](1)武汉城市圈土地利用碳排放由2000年的3 129.69万t增加到2020年的14 590.51万t,年均增长8.45%;(2)影响武汉城市圈碳排放的主要因素有产业结构,技术水平和建设用地占比;(3)武汉城市圈碳排放影响因素存在明显的空间异质性,各类因素对不同区域的碳排放影响存在较大差异。[结论]城市圈碳排放具有明显的时空异质性,不同城市资源水平及发展重心存在差异,从而导致碳排放水平产生变化。在进行区域碳减排政策制定和碳减排任务分配时,应充分考虑各地的经济水平及产业结构等因素。
- Abstract:
- [Objective] The concentration of industries and increase in population cause large resource consumption and high carbon emissions. The research on carbon emission at metropolitan area can provide reference for carbon emission reduction policies and methods. [Methods] The spatiotemporal evolution of land use carbon sources/carbon sinks in the three periods of Wuhan metropolitan area(2000, 2010, and 2020)was explored through establishing the carbon emission estimation model and spatial-temporal geographic weighted regression model based on remote sensing image data and economic and social data. [Results](1)The carbon emissions in Wuhan metropolitan area increased from 31,296,900 tons in 2000 to 145,905,100 tons in 2020, with an average annual growth rate of 8.45%.(2)The main influencing factors of carbon emissions in the Wuhan metropolitan area were industrial structure, technology level, and the proportion of construction land.(3)The influencing factors of carbon emissions in Wuhan metropolitan area showed an obvious spatial heterogeneity, and the impact of various factors on carbon emissions varied widely across regions. [Conclusion] Carbon emissions in urban areas have significant spatial and temporal heterogeneity, and the level of resources and focus of development varies greatly from city to city, which lead to changes in carbon emission levels. When formulating regional carbon emission reduction policies and allocating carbon emission reduction tasks, factors such as the economic level and industrial structure of each region should be fully considered.
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备注/Memo
收稿日期:2022-10-14 修回日期:2022-12-18
资助项目:国家自然科学基金项目(41871179); 华中农业大学自主科技创新基金资助(2016RC014)
第一作者:邓灵颖(1996—),女,安徽铜陵人,硕士研究生,研究方向为土地资源利用与管理。E-mail:964799790@qq.com
通信作者:李红波(1972—),男,湖北应城人,教授,博士生导师,研究方向为土地资源利用与管理。E-mail:lihb20132013@163.com