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收稿日期:2020-12-22 修回日期:2021-01-27资助项目:国家重点研发计划项目“不同温升情景下区域气象灾害风险评估”(2019YFA0606900); 安徽高校协同创新项目(GXXT2019047); 国家自然科学基金项目(41601023,41771536); 安徽省自然科学基金(1808085QD117)第一作者:江雯(1999—),女,安徽黄山人,硕士研究生,主要从事水土流失研究方面工作。E-mail:344542889@qq.com通信作者:孙鹏(1986—),男,山东青岛人,教授、博士生导师,主要从事于气象水文学和水土保持方面研究工作。E-mail:sun68peng@163.com