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[1]郭荣中,申海建,杨敏华.基于改进生态足迹因子的长株潭地区可持续发展[J].水土保持研究,2019,26(05):174-180.
　GUO Rongzhong,SHEN Haijian,YANG Minhua.Sustainable Development of Chang-Zhu-Tan Region Based on Improved Ecological Footprint Factors[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2019,26(05):174-180.

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基于改进生态足迹因子的长株潭地区可持续发展

《水土保持研究》[ISSN:1005-3409/CN:61-1272/P] 卷: 26 期数: 2019年05期页码: 174-180 栏目: 出版日期: 2019-09-06

Title:: Sustainable Development of Chang-Zhu-Tan Region Based on Improved Ecological Footprint Factors

作者:: 郭荣中¹, 申海建², 杨敏华³; 1. 长沙环境保护职业技术学院, 长沙 410004;
2. 湖南省测绘科技研究所, 长沙 410004;
3. 中南大学地球科学与信息物理学院, 长沙 410083

Author(s):: GUO Rongzhong¹, SHEN Haijian², YANG Minhua³; 1. Changsha College of Environmental Protection Occupation and Technology, Changsha 410004, China;
2. Hunan Institute of Mapping, Changsha 410004, China;
3. School of Info-Physics and Geomatics Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410083, China

关键词:: 生态足迹; 均衡因子; 产量因子; 可持续发展; 长株潭地区

Keywords:: ecological footprint; equilibrium factor; yield factor; sustainable development; Chang-Zhu-Tan region

分类号:: F301

摘要:: 可持续发展的标志是资源的永续利用和良好的生态环境。应用改进的生态足迹因子对长株潭地区2002—2014年的生态足迹及其可持续发展能力进行了定量评价，并构建灰色GM （1，1）模型进行了预测。结果表明：长株潭地区生态足迹由期初的2 120.50万hm²逐年增加到期末的3 181.29万hm²，同期可利用生态承载力由488.02万hm²逐年增加到493.15万hm²，生态赤字由-1 632.48万hm²逐年持续增加到-2 688.14万hm²；2002—2014年长株潭地区的万元GDP生态足迹和生态适度人口呈现逐渐下降的趋势，生态足迹利用效率呈现逐渐快速上升的趋势，生态可持续指数呈前期下降，后期平稳波动趋势；同时根据预测得到2026年人均生态赤字将上升到-2.340 6 hm²。呼吁当地政府积极采取措施改善生态环境，以实现经济社会的可持续发展。

Abstract:: The sign of sustainable development is the sustainable use of resources and a good ecological environment. In the present study, the ecological footprint and ecological capacity of Chang-Zhu-Tan City are calculated and analyzed from 2002 to 2014 by use of the improved ecological footprint factor, as well as its developed trend is predicted by the grey model. The results show that during 2002-2014, its ecological footprint increased from 2.120 50×10⁷ hm² to 3.181 29×10⁷ hm², the ecological carrying capacity gradually decreased from 4.880 2×10⁶ hm² to 4.931 5×10⁶ hm², while the ecological deficit per capita increased from -1.632 48×10⁷ hm² in 2002 to -2.688 14×10⁷ hm² in 2014; from 2002 to 2014, the ecological footprint and ecological population of 10,000-yuan in the Changzhutan region showed a gradual decline, and the ecological footprint utilization efficiency showed a gradual and rapid trend; the ecological sustainability index showed a decline during the early stages but stable fluctuations during the later stages, the per capita ecological deficit has been predicted to be risen up to -2.340 6 hm² in 2026. Urgent calls on the local government actively are to take measures to improve the ecological environment in order to achieve sustainable economic and social development.

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备注/Memo

收稿日期:2018-12-03;改回日期:2018-12-26。
基金项目:湖南省自然科学基金项目“长株潭地区生态系统服务价值评估及权衡协同研究”（2019JJ70013）；湖南省教育厅科研项目“环境伦理视域下长株潭地区生态足迹和生态承载力研究”（18C1801）；湖南省社会科学成果评审委员会课题“生态正义视域下澧水流域生态补偿机制研究”（XSP19YBC297）
作者简介:郭荣中(1979-),女,湖南桂东人,副教授,高级工程师,博士,主要从事土地信息与土地生态研究。E-mail:865495696@qq.com

更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01