[1]何刚,夏业领,秦勇,等.长江经济带水资源承载力评价及时空动态变化[J].水土保持研究,2019,26(01):287-292,300.
　HE Gang,XIA Yeling,QIN Yong,et al.Evaluation and Spatial-Temporal Dynamic Change of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in the Yangtze River Economic Belt[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2019,26(01):287-292,300.
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长江经济带水资源承载力评价及时空动态变化

《水土保持研究》[ISSN:1005-3409/CN:61-1272/P] 卷: 26 期数: 2019年01期 页码: 287-292,300 栏目: 出版日期: 2019-02-28
Title:
Evaluation and Spatial-Temporal Dynamic Change of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in the Yangtze River Economic Belt
作者:
何刚1, 夏业领1, 秦勇2, 朱艳娜1, 王雯雯1
1. 安徽理工大学 经济与管理学院, 安徽 淮南 232001;
2. 成都理工大学 管理科学学院, 成都 610059
Author(s):
HE Gang1, XIA Yeling1, QIN Yong2, ZHU Yanna1, WANG Wenwen1
1. School of Economics and Management, Anhui University of Science & Technology, Huainan, Anhui 232001, China;
2. School of Management Science, Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu 610059, China
关键词:
长江经济带; 水资源承载力; TOPSIS模型
Keywords:
Yangtze River Economic Belt; water resources carrying capacity; TOPSIS model
分类号:
TV213.9
摘要:
以长江经济带水资源承载力综合评价为中心，构建涵盖水资源、社会经济、生态等方面的水资源承载力综合评价指标体系。运用TOPSIS综合评价方法，测算研究了2007-2016年长江经济带11省市水资源承载力动态变化及区域差异，并利用ArcGIS 10.2软件，可视化2007年与2016年长江经济带11省市水资源承载力等级分布。结果表明：2007-2016年长江经济带水资源承载力呈波动上升趋势，承载力水平基本维持在警戒和中级水平；经济发达的东段地区水资源承载力高于经济欠发达的中段和西段地区，近年来差距不断扩大；长江经济带11省市水资源承载力年均增长率位于前三的分别是贵州、上海和云南，而湖北、重庆、四川年均增长率为负值；长江经济带各省市水资源承载力整体水平仍较低，且各省市间水资源承载力均衡性差异并未随着时间推移而产生大的改观。
Abstract:
Taking the comprehensive evaluation of the water resources carrying capacity of the Yangtze River economic belt as the center, we constructed the comprehensive evaluation index system of water resources carrying capacity through water resources, society, economy and ecology. The dynamic changes and regional differences of water resources carrying capacity in 11 provinces and cities of the Yangtze River Economic Belt in 2007-2016 were calculated by using TOPSIS method. The ArcGIS 10.2 software was used to visualize the calculation results of carrying capacity of water resources in various provinces and cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt in 2007 and 2016. The results showed that in 2007-2016, the carrying capacity of water resources in the Yangtze River Economic Belt presented the upward trend of fluctuation, and the carrying capacity was basically maintained at the alert and intermediate level; the water resources carrying capacity of the economically developed eastern region was gradually higher than that in the underdeveloped middle and western regions, and the gap was expanding in recent years; the provinces or municipality with average annual growth rates of water resources carrying capacity ranked in the first three among the 11 provinces and cities of the Yangtze River Economic Belt are Guizhou Province, Shanghai, and Yunnan Province. the provinces or municipality with the negative annual average growth rate of water resources carrying capacity are Hubei, Chongqing and Sichuan. In general, the overall level of water resources carrying capacity of the provinces and cities of the Yangtze River Economic Zone was still low, and the balance of water resources carrying capacity was low, and it did not change too much over the time.

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备注/Memo

收稿日期:2018-4-22;改回日期:2018-5-8。
基金项目:国家自然科学基金"个体与环境交互作用下煤矿员工安全行为能力评价及动态预警"（51574010）；安徽理工大学青年教师科学研究资助项目"皖江城市带生态安全共生耦合水平动态测度与预警研究"（QN2017111）；校级大学生创新资助项目"区域生态安全评价与预警研究"（2017CX2124）
作者简介:何刚(1966-),男,安徽合肥人,博士,研究员,博士生导师,研究方向:矿区安全与评价。E-mail:hgang0111@163.com
通讯作者:夏业领(1993-),女,安徽六安人,硕士研究生,研究方向:生态环境评价与治理。E-mail:xiayeling@163.com

更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01