[1]赵国永,韩艳,刘明华,等.1961-2013年河南省极端降水事件时空变化特征[J].水土保持研究,2018,25(06):115-120.
　ZHAO Guoyong,HAN Yan,LIU Minghua,et al.Spatial-temporal Variation of Extreme Precipitation Events in Henan Province from 1961 to 2013[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2018,25(06):115-120.
点击复制

1961-2013年河南省极端降水事件时空变化特征

《水土保持研究》[ISSN:1005-3409/CN:61-1272/P] 卷: 25 期数: 2018年06期 页码: 115-120 栏目: 出版日期: 2018-10-26
Title:
Spatial-temporal Variation of Extreme Precipitation Events in Henan Province from 1961 to 2013
作者:
赵国永1,2,3, 韩艳1,2, 刘明华1,2, 侯俊丽1, 时海萍1, 刘维真1, 郭伊利1, 乔强1
1. 信阳师范学院 地理科学学院, 河南 信阳 464000;
2. 信阳师范学院 气候与环境演变重点实验室, 河南 信阳 464000;
3. 信阳师范学院 南北过渡带研究中心, 河南 信阳 464000
Author(s):
ZHAO Guoyong1,2,3, HAN Yan1,2, LIU Minghua1,2, HOU Junli1, SHI Haiping1, LIU Weizhen1, GUO Yili1, QIAO Qiang1
1. School of Geographic Sciences, Xinyang Normal University, Xinyang, Henan 464000, China;
2. Key Laboratory of Climate Change and Environmental Evolution, Xinyang Normal University, Xinyang, Henan 464000, China;
3. Research Center of North and South Transition Zone in China, Xinyang Normal University, Xinyang, Henan 464000, China
关键词:
河南省; 极端降水指数; 时空变化
Keywords:
Henan Province; extreme precipitation indices; spatial-temporal variation
分类号:
P426
摘要:
以1961—2013年河南省17个站点逐日降水量数据为研究对象，运用Sen’s倾向估计、Mann-Kendall显著性检验和空间插值等方法，分析了河南省11个极端降水指数时间和空间变化特征及其影响因素。结果表明：（1）过去53年，河南省极端降水指数变化趋势不显著。（2）河南省区域内，东南部极端降水量、降水日数、降水强度大于西北部。过去53年，商丘和西华降水量、降水日数和降水强度显著增加，而安阳、新乡、孟津、三门峡等地显著减少。（3）将河南省极端降水指数与其他区域进行了比较表明，极端降水指数存在区域性差异。（4）极端降水指数与纬度因素之间相关性强于经度和海拔因素。（5）除CDD指数外，其余指数与年总降水量均具有较高相关性。其中，极端降水量（R95p）、年降水日数降水量（R10，R20和R25）对年总降水量贡献最大。
Abstract:
Daily precipitation data of 17 meteorological stations in Henan Province during 1961—2013 were selected in this study. Some methods, including Sen’s tendency estimation, Mann-Kendall test and spatial analysis, were applied to detect spatial and temporal characteristics of eleven indices of extreme precipitation across Henan Province and their impact factors. The results showed that: (1) extremes precipitation indices across Henan Province presented an indistinctive variation trend during the last 53 years; (2) the extreme precipitation, rainfall days and intensities of precipitation in southeastern Henan Province were stronger than in northwest; the extreme precipitation, rainfall days and intensities of Shangqiu and Xihua exhibited significant increasing trend during the recent 53 years, and presented the decreasing trend in Anyang, Xinxiang, Mengjin and Sanmenxia areas; (3) compared with other regions, variation trend of extreme precipitation indices in Henan Province was different from the results found in the other regions of China, which exhibited regional difference; (4) the correlation between extreme precipitation indices and latitudes was much more significant than those between longitudes and altitude factors; (5) except for CDD, indices had close correlations with annual precipitation amounts. The precipitation of R95p, R10, R20 and R25 mostly contributed to annual total precipitation amount.

参考文献/References:

[1] IPCC. Climate Change 2013:The Physical Science Basis[M]. Cambridge, United Kingdom:Cambridge University Press, 2013.
[2] 翟盘茂,王翠翠,李威.极端降水事件变化的观测研究[J].气候变化研究进展,2007,3(3):144-148.
[3] 丁一汇,王遵娅,宋亚芳,等.中国南方2008年1月罕见低温雨雪冰冻灾害发生的原因极其与气候变暖的关系[J].气象学报,2008,66(5):808-825.
[4] Alexander L V, Zhang X, Peterson T C, et al. Global observed changes in daily climate extreme of temperature and precipitation[J]. Journal of Geophysical Research, 2006,111(D05109):1-22.
[5] Choi G, Collins D, Ren G, et al. Changes in means and extreme events of temperature and precipitation in the Asia-Pacific Network region, 1955-2007[J]. International Journal of Climatology, 2009,29(13):1906-1925.
[6] Easterling D R, Meehl G A, Parmesan C, et al. Climate extremes:observations, modeling, and impacts[J]. Science, 2000,289(5487):2068-2074.
[7] 顾西辉,张强,孔冬冬.中国年和季节极端降水时空特征及极值分布函数上尾部性质[J].地理科学,2017,37(6):929-937.
[8] 杜军,路红亚,建军.1961-2012年西藏极端降水事件的变化[J].自然资源学报,2014,29(6):990-1002.
[9] 任正果,张明军,王圣杰,等.1961-2011年中国南方地区极端降水事件变化[J].地理学报,2014,69(5):640-649.
[10] 袁文德,郑江坤,董奎.1962-2012年西南地区极端降水事件的时空变化特征[J].资源科学,2014,36(4):766-772.
[11] 王炳钦,江源,董满宇,等.1961-2010年北方半干旱区极端降水时空变化[J].干旱区研究,2016,33(5):913-920.
[12] 赵安周,朱秀芳,潘耀忠.1965-2013年黄土高原地区极端降水事件时空变化特征[J].北京师范大学学报:自然科学版,2017,53(1):43-50.
[13] 佘敦先,夏军,张永勇,等.近50年来淮河流域极端降水的时空变化特征及统计特征[J].地理学报,2011,66(9):1200-1210.
[14] 于泽兴,胡国华,陈肖,等.近45年来浏阳河流域极端降水变化[J].水土保持研究,2017,24(5):139-143.
[15] 李胜利,巩在武,石振彬.近50年来山东省极端降水指数变化特征分析[J].水土保持研究,2016,23(4):120-127.
[16] 余卫东,柳俊高,常军,等.1957-2005年河南省降水和温度极端事件变化[J].气候变化研究进展,2008,4(2):913-920.
[17] 朱叶玉,顾万龙,王记芳,等.河南省汛期极端降水事件分析[J].长江流域资源与环境,2009,18(5):913-920.
[18] Ghosh M, Sen P K. Estimates of the regression coefficient based on Kendall’s Tau[J]. Publications of the American Statistical Association, 1968,63(324):1379-1389.
[19] Hamed K H. Trend detection in hydrologic data:the Mann-Kendall trend test under the scalling hypothesis[J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2008,349(3):350-363.
[20] 韩艳,赵国永,江蕾蕾,等.1951-2013年河南省降水量时空变化特征[J].中国农学通报,2015,31(25):235-240.

相似文献/References:

[1]吴明作,申冲,杨喜田,等.河南省降雨侵蚀力时空变异与不同算法比较研究[J].水土保持研究,2011,18(02):10.
　WU Ming-zuo,SHEN Chong,YANG Xi-tian,et al.A Study on Spatial and Temporal Variation of Rainfall Erosivity in He’nan Province and Comparison of Its Calculation Methods[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2011,18(06):10.
[2]高军波,彭荣胜.河南省生态空间占用及化石能源利用效率动态分析——基于1995-2008年数据的实证[J].水土保持研究,2011,18(03):232.
　GAO Jun-bo,PENG Rong-sheng.Dynamic Analysis of Ecological Footprint and Fossil Energy Economic Efficiency During 1995-2008 in He’nan Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2011,18(06):232.
[3]张永民,程维明,刘海江,等.2005-2010年河南省土地利用结构变化分析[J].水土保持研究,2015,22(02):258.
　ZHANG Yongmin,CHENG Weiming,LIU Haijiang,et al.Analysis on Changes in Land Use Structure in He’nan Province from 2005 to 2010[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2015,22(06):258.
[4]史佳良,王秀茹,李淑芳,等.近50年来河南省气温和降水时空变化特征分析[J].水土保持研究,2017,24(03):151.
　SHI Jialiang,WANG Xiuru,LI Shufang,et al.Variation Characteristics of Air Temperature and Precipitation in He’nan Province in Recent 50 Years[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2017,24(06):151.
[5]文倩,孟天醒,范慧平,等.河南省水土资源与经济发展耦合效应及其时空分异[J].水土保持研究,2017,24(03):234.
　WEN Qian,MENG Tianxing,FAN Huiping,et al.Coupling Effect and Spatiotemporal Differentiation Between Water-Land Resource and Economic Development in He’nan Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2017,24(06):234.
[6]贺山峰,杜丽萍,高秀华.河南省县域单元自然灾害社会脆弱性评价[J].水土保持研究,2015,22(06):293.
　HE Shanfeng,DU Liping,GAO Xiuhua.Assessment of Social Vulnerability to Natural Disasters on County Scale in He’nan Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2015,22(06):293.
[7]范昕,李江风,陈万旭,等.河南省县域尺度城镇化协调发展时空差异及影响因素[J].水土保持研究,2018,25(04):309.
　FAN Xin,LI Jiangfeng,CHEN Wanxu,et al.Spatial-Temporal Difference of Coordinated Development of County Urbanization and Driving Factors in Henan Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2018,25(06):309.
[8]余玉敏,陈万旭,朱丽君,等.河南省农业生产效率测度及影响因素[J].水土保持研究,2018,25(05):262.
　YU Yumin,CHEN Wanxu,ZHU Lijun,et al.Study on the Measurement and Influencing Factors of Agricultural Production Efficiency in Henan Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2018,25(06):262.
[9]杨孟豪,刘阿敏,曹连海,等.重点农区县域农村居民点用地时空变化及影响因素——以河南省为例[J].水土保持研究,2019,26(05):304.
　YANG Menghao,LIU Amin,CAO Lianhai,et al.Spatiotemporal Variation Characteristics and Influencing Factors of Rural Residential Land in Key Agricultural Areas—A Case Study of He’nan Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2019,26(06):304.
[10]李谢辉,王磊.河南省土地利用/覆盖景观格局变化分析[J].水土保持研究,2012,19(05):83.
　LI Xie-hui,WANG Lei.Analysis on Changes of Land Use/Cover and Landscape Pattern in He’nan Province[J].Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2012,19(06):83.

备注/Memo

收稿日期:2017-11-23;改回日期:2018-02-08。
基金项目:国家自然科学基金（41602187）；河南省科技计划项目（162102310123）；河南省高等学校重点项目（17A170011）；信阳师范学院资助项目（0201306，2015GGJS-01）
作者简介:赵国永(1985-),男,河南开封人,博士,副教授,主要从事气候变化与环境演变研究。E-mail:zhaogy@xynu.edu.cn
通讯作者:韩艳(1985-),女,河南许昌人,硕士,讲师,主要从事气候变化研究。E-mail:hanyan@xynu.edu.cn

更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01